2013-2014 Syracuse Basketball: Same Zone, New Conference

benhogan

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ivanvamp said:
The D was terrific. Dayton made quite a few lucky shots and still scored just 55. But you can't go 0-10 from three and have your best scorers be as bad as SU's were tonight and hope to win.

One reason I hope they have a longer bench next year is because in years past they'd run, run, run out of the zone. But this year they didn't because Ennis had to play almost every minute of every game due to the lack of a bench.
FACT. Rarely a run out for an easy one.
 
0 for 10 from the 3 point line, really tough pill to swallow.  
 
Had a feeling we would go as far as Cooney would take us, guess Trevor decided it was time to get back to the Hill and study for midterms.
 

LeoCarrillo

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Well, we all knew their stock was overvalued at 25-0 and No.1. Too many close games and the schedule backloaded.

We'll never know what JB wasn't seeing in practice, but giving no run to Patterson, BJ Johnson or really Roberson either was the choice he made to give this team its best chance.

Gotta trust JB, but they certainly appeared to wear down in that final, excruciating month.

I'll choose to remember Fair's 3 3/4 overachieving seasons and not the last few games. If one of Ennis/Grant return, I'll be elated.

Bring on McCullough.
 

Rossox

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In the end this team just couldn't make shots. Period.

I love the Tourney. Love it! But shesh, is their anything more meaningless than the college basketball regular season? That Feb. 1 win in the Dome over Duke seems like ages ago.

Silver lining? I hope this poor showing convinces Grant (doesn't need the money, strong draft class, he could learn to be more physical, etc) and Ennis (no jump shot) to come back.
 

ivanvamp

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Jul 18, 2005
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Grant and Ennis both return and SU will be really good again next year.  They both leave and SU will simply be good.  Not that there's anything wrong with good.  I just prefer *really* good.
 
It's like the Patriots - you know they're going to win 11+ games and win the AFC East.  SU will win 22+ games and make the NCAA tournament.  It's just what they do.  Occasionally you get the exceptional year.  
 

LeoCarrillo

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Read somewhere recently an interesting notion on why guys like, say, Ennis would be crazy to stay. YMMV on drafting position, but it was about guys in the 15-30 range of the first round. Sure, they could improve with another year of college and go top 10 next year. But the NBA basically pays you minimal for five years after you're drafted. In staying for a sophomore season, it's less about the $1M now, and more about starting the clock on your free agency after five seasons in the pros. If the NBA wanted to do the right thing, they'd consider a scale where a one-and-done goes five years till he's a FA but a two-and-done only has to go four.
 
That would provide a lot more incentive for a late first-rounder to play two years.
 

bsj

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I will never kill a kid for coming out early. 
 
But I gotta say....seems like most of them get their one contract then never amount to anything. So 
 
Rudy Pemberton said:
While that's true, if a player isn't ready and comes out early, they may never get that second deal. I think Jonny Flynn was right to go when he did, and Fab Melo and Donte Greene maybe didn't have a choice, but where are they now? Then again, MCW made the right move. 
 
Guess it all depends on the player, where you get picked and who you go to. Latest mocks have Ennis 14th to the Suns and Grant 21st to the Wolves. 
 
I'll assume they're gone and hope to be pleasantly surprised.
 
I think there is a lot to this. Doesnt mean they "shouldnt" go....but I think there is a lot of value to staying. In the case of both Ennis and Grant I think there is a lot to gain by staying. Grant, in particular, I think could become a legit top 5 draft pick with 1 more year of development and a year of being the hands down #1 option. I think his ceiling is incredibly high. Ennis, on the other hand, I think is projected as a top 15 or so pick, and I think he's a top 10 guy highest, so probably would make more sense for him to go. 
 

ivanvamp

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Jul 18, 2005
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Looking towards next year….
 
For sure here:
 
G - Cooney, Gbinije, BJ Johnson, Patterson
F - Roberson, Nassar
C - Christmas, Coleman
 
That's it.  They have two excellent recruits:  Kaleb Joseph and Chris McCullough.  If Grant and Ennis return, the team is once again loaded.  
 
Starters:  Ennis, Cooney, Roberson, Grant, Christmas
Key reserves:  Gbinije, Coleman, McCullough, Patterson(?)
 

The Filthy One

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I'm usually a doomsdayer by default, so take it for what it's worth, but if Grant and Ennis both leave (which I think they will) I think SU could be in for a down year next year. Unless someone like Ron Patterson steps up and becomes a big-time shooter, they are stuck with Cooney as the 2 and the only deep threat. They will be starting Kaleb Joseph at the point. Maybe Joseph is Ennis 2.0, but you have to worry about playing the freshman point guard lottery two years in a row. And there's the larger question of who the offense flows through. No Fair, no Ennis, no Grant...I guess McCullough could come in and be a star right away, but freshmen big men are rarely ready to be the focal point of an offense. 
 
This is a year where I'd welcome a junior college player or last-minute transfer. Just so tough to see them being a good offensive team next year with the roster as presently constructed. 
 

ivanvamp

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I think Roberson is the kind of player who could flourish in his second year at SU.  And Gbinije, I thought, was their best player against Dayton.  That's not saying a lot, but he looked very good to me.  I think he can be very solid.  
 

benhogan

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If Ennis and Grant return, pre-season top 10.
If 1 returns, pre-season top 20.
If both go pro, out of the top 30. 
 
That's how I see it shaping up for next year.  
 
Then again I was talking about Trevor Cooney having a NBA future about a month ago.  EPIC FAIL on my part.
 

ivanvamp

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Yeah I initially thought he could play in the League, but I backtracked about a month ago.  Holy cow now I see that he would get absolutely abused in the NBA.  Right now, anyway.  Still time for lots of improvement.  I hope he makes a JJ Redick caliber leap next year.
 

LeftyTG

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The Filthy One said:
I'm usually a doomsdayer by default, so take it for what it's worth, but if Grant and Ennis both leave (which I think they will) I think SU could be in for a down year next year. Unless someone like Ron Patterson steps up and becomes a big-time shooter, they are stuck with Cooney as the 2 and the only deep threat. They will be starting Kaleb Joseph at the point. Maybe Joseph is Ennis 2.0, but you have to worry about playing the freshman point guard lottery two years in a row. And there's the larger question of who the offense flows through. No Fair, no Ennis, no Grant...I guess McCullough could come in and be a star right away, but freshmen big men are rarely ready to be the focal point of an offense. 
 
This is a year where I'd welcome a junior college player or last-minute transfer. Just so tough to see them being a good offensive team next year with the roster as presently constructed. 
 
 
benhogan said:
If Ennis and Grant return, pre-season top 10.
If 1 returns, pre-season top 20.
If both go pro, out of the top 30. 
 
That's how I see it shaping up for next year.  
 
Then again I was talking about Trevor Cooney having a NBA future about a month ago.  EPIC FAIL on my part.
I agree with these two posts.  If Grant and Ennis both leave, I think Syracuse will be middle of the pack in the ACC.  McCullough is probably a top 5 talent in his class, but he has motor issues and a pretty immature game.  He isn't Melo or Ennis, i.e. the kind of freshman that will step in and dominate.  Joseph is a nice recruit, but, again, not the caliber of recruit that will step in, play major minutes, and lead an elite team.  I'd love to have him as a 3rd/4th guard next year playing behind, and at time, with Ennis.  Joseph can get to the rim and has a well developed midrange game for a high school senior.  But he ain't Ennis.
 
I do expect Roberson to take a big step forward, but he'll be nowhere near ready to be a #1 option on offense.  Cooney and Gbinije won't either.  BJ Johnson has nice potential and would be sort of an X factor.  Patterson was recruited as a defense guy and I don't think there is much expected of him offensively, even fully developed.  Offense would be UGLY - potentially the worst Boeheim offensive team ever.
 
ivanvamp said:
Yeah I initially thought he could play in the League, but I backtracked about a month ago.  Holy cow now I see that he would get absolutely abused in the NBA.  Right now, anyway.  Still time for lots of improvement.  I hope he makes a JJ Redick caliber leap next year.
Just...no.  Cooney will never sniff the NBA.  He simply doesn't have the talent.  I want you to know that I will forever resent you for making me do this (defend JJ Redick  :barf:  ) but don't even think about comparing Cooney to Redick.  Redick was an outstanding player for 4 years.  He just missed making 100 3's his (true) freshman season (he made 95) and was up over 100 his other 3 years (hitting 139 his senior season).  He shot 40% from 3 in each of his 4 seasons.  For perspective, Cooney hit 90 3's at a 38% clip (and that's an inflated percentage, as when ACC play started his percentage nosedived.  He beat up on inferior competition).  I now need to take a shower.
 
Don't forget that Cooney took a redshirt.  He is in his 3rd year in the program.  He's physically developed.  There comes a point with a player where you are what you are.  You can only maximize what God gave you.  People look at Cooney, see that he can jump pretty high for a white guy, and conclude he is athletic.  He isn't.  There is way more to athleticism than how high you jump.  Cooney has no fluidity to his game, no flexibility, no smoothness in his changes of direction.  It is almost comical watching him try to drive to the hoop.  He just spazzes out most of the time.  He has definite strengths and is a damn good shooter when he avoids drifting and has his feet set.  He's pretty good with the one or two dribble in and pop move.  Ideally, I think Cooney would be a great college 3rd guard, someone who can come off the bench and can a few 3's, make the defense think, and change the flow and strategies of a game.  But his presence on the court for 35 minutes absolutely killed the Syracuse offense when he wasn't hitting his share of 3's.  Teams get right up on him and don't have to fear getting blown by.  He runs off picks, but if  teams stick with him he has no option but to pass back to Ennis.  He just does not create offense for others.  I think the Dayton game demonstrated some of what Gbinije at least brings to the table.  Much of what little offense Syracuse generated came from him.  He had a nice back cut, took the ball to the hoop a few times, created help situations and passed to the open man. 
 
Speaking of Gbinije - HOW IN THE HELL DOES YOUR SHOE COME OFF TWICE????????????????????????????  And why in the world did he go fetch it the second time and hold it in his hand, while the Dayton player knocked a wide open 3 down.  I had forgotten about that until now and I'm pissed all over again.  Is it that hard to tie your shoes tight enough so you don't step out of your shoes twice in ten minutes?
 
 
As you can see, I'm still working through my stages of grief. 
 

ivanvamp

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Haha. Me too.  I just sent my old SU roommate an email venting my frustration.  My goodness, with Stanford winning they had a WIDE OPEN WINDOW TO THE FREAKING REGIONAL FINAL, and they blew it by shooting worse than a local CYO league team.  
 
Yeah, I think I've come around on Cooney.  I like your idea of him being a scoring/shooting spark off the bench.  Gbinije and (hopefully) Ennis need to be the starters next year.  Though unless either develops their outside shot, it could still be one of the worst shooting teams I've ever seen from SU.  
 
Still, they will have talent, the zone will give teams fits, the ACC isn't really as strong as people make it out to be, and the non conference schedule is such that you can almost guarantee 20 wins next year even if Ennis and Grant do not return.  Somebody will step up.  Somebody always does.
 

LeoCarrillo

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DaJuan Coleman has offensive skillz. Baby Rick Jackson? And for the love of god, is it too much to ask that Christmas gives us 8-10 per as a senior?
 

ivanvamp

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LeoCarrillo said:
DaJuan Coleman has offensive skillz. Baby Rick Jackson? And for the love of god, is it too much to ask that Christmas gives us 8-10 per as a senior?
 
No question Christmas is capable of that.  They just never get him the ball.  He can make 2 jump hooks a game, an alley-oop, a put-back, and two free throws.  It's really not asking that much.  
 

LeoCarrillo

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ivanvamp said:
 
No question Christmas is capable of that.  They just never get him the ball.  He can make 2 jump hooks a game, an alley-oop, a put-back, and two free throws.  It's really not asking that much.  
Amen.
 

Rossox

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Nice, this Tourney is slowly moving up North. First D.C., then Brooklyn and the final crown jewel will be when this Tourney is held at MSG. Need to get the championship game held there in prime time. Not a fan of the Sunday afternoon championship.
 

Rossox

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Not surprised either. Draft boards seem to have Ennis much higher than Grant.
 
We'll see if the next domino to fall is Jerami.
 

bsj

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Rossox said:
Not surprised either. Draft boards seem to have Ennis much higher than Grant.
 
We'll see if the next domino to fall is Jerami.
 
In my opinion....Ennis had a lot to lose and not as much obvious to gain (at least initially....I think developing could have prolonged his career). He's a top 8-10 pick now. Would not have gone much higher than that no matter what. 
 
Grant, on the other hand, projected as a 20 or so pick now, I really think is one big year away from being a legit top 5 type pick. His body and skillset so perfectly translates. This is why I am hoping he comes back. 
 

luckysox

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Damn, I hate losing Ennis. I'd do the same thing, but he was fun guy to watch play the game. Grant oughta stay for the reasons listed above by bsj. If he comes back healthy and mean, he could bbs pone of the better players n the college game next season and it should positively affect his draft spot - significantly. That said, I understand the risk of staying. Tough call for kids in his situation.
 

LeftyTG

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It sucks, but I don't blame the kid and wish him nothing but success.  At the very least it'll be nice to be able to claim having a guard drafted in the lottery 3 years in a row.  That'll help on recruiting and keep the pipeline flowing.  Syracuse seems to be strong position for Tyus Battle, a huge 2016 guard recruit that Syracuse has as their number 1 priority, and being able to point to this will only help.  I wonder if Ennis leaving earlier than expected opens Syracuse back up for Isaiah Briscoe, a 2015 recruit that played with Ennis last year in high school but didn't want to play with Ennis in college because he wants to be featured at the point.  
 
Next year is going to be painful though.  The streak of lottery guards definitely ends after this year.
 

The Filthy One

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Yeah, I can't fault the kids for leaving early. I'll miss Ennis, and I think he's going to be very tough to replace, but it's the right decision for him. Time for the Kaleb Joseph show!
 

ivanvamp

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Not happy about Ennis leaving.  Not surprised though, either.  Grant staying is a key for this team for 2014-15, as others have said.  I'm preparing myself for the worst.
 

JimD

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Mike Hopkins is getting a fair amount of interest from teams with head coaching vacancies (BC, Wake Forest, Marquette).  None of the jobs mentioned are probably considered sexy enough to convince him to abandon his current 'Next Syracuse HC in waiting' gig, but he did sign with an agent last winter so who knows how much more patient he's willing to be.
 

LeoCarrillo

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I wonder if JB even tries to talk these kids into staying. MCW is shooting 39% from the floor yet about to win Rookie of the Year and is 1/5th of the way to a free-agent payday.
 

bsj

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LeoCarrillo said:
I wonder if JB even tries to talk these kids into staying. MCW is shooting 39% from the floor yet about to win Rookie of the Year and is 1/5th of the way to a free-agent payday.
 
I hope he is trying to talk to Grant. He could legitimately make millions by staying one more year.
 

bsj

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JimD said:
Mike Hopkins is getting a fair amount of interest from teams with head coaching vacancies (BC, Wake Forest, Marquette).  None of the jobs mentioned are probably considered sexy enough to convince him to abandon his current 'Next Syracuse HC in waiting' gig, but he did sign with an agent last winter so who knows how much more patient he's willing to be.
 
If he doesnt go this year, then I think we can conclude that there is a fixed date for JBs departure and that Hopkins already has a contract to take over. Something beyond "unspoken"
 

Grin&MartyBarret

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A couple of days back he said:
 
I’m not going to be specific about anybody but my experience is guys look and if they see they fall where they’re favorable [they leave]…If you go 15th in the draft, you’re nothing. You might be out of the league in two years. It used to be a first-round draft pick you had a chance. That’s nothing. Those guys are out of the league. Half the guys taken in the first round the last three years are not even in the league.
 
“You gotta be in the top seven, eight, 10 picks to make sure you’re going to be playing in the NBA.”
Two of Boeheim’s players — freshman point guard Tyler Ennis and sophomore forward Jerami Grant — are projected as first-round picks.
Asked if he’s given them this spiel, Boeheim said, “Well, I talk to them about it. But you gotta be ready physically. Just because you play good in a college game, that doesn’t mean anything. Are you big enough, strong enough, can you shoot?
 
“It’s not even dominate. You gotta have a skillset. They don’t work with you up there. You’re either ready to play up there or you’re not. You go up there and you can’t shoot, you’re not playing. You up there and you’re not strong enough, you’re not playing. People forget how good the players are in the NBA.
 
 
So I think it's pretty clear he's trying to get them to stay. Trying so hard, in fact, that he's basically just making stuff up.
 

Otto

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If I'm misreading your post, I apologize - but Greene left after his freshman year too, right?
 

bsj

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Otto said:
If I'm misreading your post, I apologize - but Greene left after his freshman year too, right?
 
Didnt Greene have academic reasons that made it unlikely he would be able to stay? Or am I remembering it wrong? 
 

Grin&MartyBarret

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Rudy Pemberton said:
Ennis joins Carmelo as the only players to leave Syracuse for the pros after their freshman year. Honestly, I don't know that Boeheim's assessment is wrong...he may be being too generous by saying that "you gotta be in the top ten picks" to be playing in the NBA, as Flynn and Wes Johnson fell in that range, and the former was certainly a bust while the latter only now enjoying some moderate success in the league. 
 
SU players who have gone pro early is a pretty diverse list: Ennis, MCW, Waiters, Melo, Johnson, Flynn, Paul Harris, Devendorf, Donte Greene, and Anthony.
 
More than anything, I think you need to get on the right team and an organzation that is committed to you. Get on a lousy team, and then the guy who drafts you gets fired, and who the hell knows.
 
Well, the part about needing to be a top 15 pick, and "half the guys taken in the first round in the last three years" being out of the league is garbage. In the last three drafts, only 7 first rounders aren't currently playing the NBA and three of them were Euro stash guys anyhow.
 
Telling somebody that they shouldn't leave school unless they're a top 10 pick because otherwise you might not stick in the NBA is pretty self serving. I also, frankly, think that his entire premise--that the NBA doesn't develop players--is flawed. It actually sort of looks a lot more like Jim Boeheim doesn't do a good job of preparing guys for the NBA, and he's pinning the blame on the NBA. I'm just not sure which NBA skill Fab Melo was going to develop sitting in the middle of Beoheim's zone for another 2 years? And what Wes Johnson going to gain from spending his age 23 season playing against a bunch of 18 year olds? There seems to be this perception that an extra year of college means more development, while a year on the bench in the NBA or the D-League means a player doesn't develop at all, and I don't think there's any evidence to suggest that. In fact, I think we're rapidly approaching a point where the D-League will be better for player development than the NCAA, though I think it'll take a very long time for the D-League to become de-stigmatized to the point that 18 year olds consider that a real option.
 

JimD

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Thamel just tweeted that Grant will declare for the NBA draft today.
 

ivanvamp

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Ugh.  Well, they'll still win a bunch of games but in no way, barring some miracle, will they be national title contenders.  
 

luckysox

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Damn. I understand it's just a weighing of which risk is bigger: staying and getting hurt and losing value, (or possibly dropping in draft value for straight-up performance reasons), or leaving and risking a low 1st round draft position (or worse), and little guarantee in the way of a life-chaning payday.  But if he stayed and didn't get hurt, I think he'd see the payday likelihood rise significantly. I hope he makes it.
 
Also, blah for next season.
 

LeftyTG

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well, today isn't all bad news, as Syracuse received a verbal commitment from Franklin Howard, a 4 star recruit in the Class of 2015 from Maryland, beating out Maryland, Georgetown, Virginia, NC State, and Ohio State.  Howard is a 6'5" combo guard that Syracuse is recruiting to play PG.  Syracuse sees Howard as in the same mold as Carter-Williams.  Howard missed all of last year with an ACL injury, but is now cleared and just recently resumed play.  
 
This is a good pickup.  Howard will provide some stability in the backcourt, giving Syracuse a much needed second ball handler (next year will be two years in a row Syracuse will play without a true backup point guard.  Howard and Joseph are both actual point guards.  Additionally, Syracuse also has a verbal from 5 star Malachi Richardson, a lights out shooter, who is 6'6".  Together, Howard and Richardson will form a killer top of the zone.
 
So far Syracuse has Howard, Richardson, and 6'8" PF Tyler Lydon (another accomplished shooter).  They have one more scholarship for the class, targeted for either Thomas Bryant or Moustapha Diagne, both centers (though it is possible they go for Derrick Jones, a crazy athletic wing player in the mold of Wes Johnson).  Recruiting continues to be strong.
 
Edit:  Here's a youtube clip of his announcement
 
http://youtu.be/eEe-buqi1S0
 

LeoCarrillo

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Unless Joseph and McCullough come in and dominate, next year will be pretty shitty. JB must be tempted to starve McCullough for minutes (a la Waiters and MCW) and get two years out of him. If so, our 2015-16 team could be mad dog, as deep and deadly as three years ago:
 
PG Kaleb Joseph
SG Cooney
C Dajuan Coleman
PF Chris McCullough
SF Gbinije/Tyler Roberson
 
B team: 
 
PG Franklin Howard
SG Malachi Richardson/Ron Patterson
C Chinoso Obokoh
PF Tyler Lydon
SF BJ Johnson
 
That's 12 deep to pick from. Even if McCullough is a 1-and-done, that's still looking like a contender for 2015-16.
 

ivanvamp

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LeoCarrillo said:
 
Unless Joseph and McCullough come in and dominate, next year will be pretty shitty. JB must be tempted to starve McCullough for minutes (a la Waiters and MCW) and get two years out of him. If so, our 2015-16 team could be mad dog, as deep and deadly as three years ago:
 
PG Kaleb Joseph
SG Cooney
C Dajuan Coleman
PF Chris McCullough
SF Gbinije/Tyler Roberson
 
B team: 
 
PG Franklin Howard
SG Malachi Richardson/Ron Patterson
C Chinoso Obokoh
PF Tyler Lydon
SF BJ Johnson
 
That's 12 deep to pick from. Even if McCullough is a 1-and-done, that's still looking like a contender for 2015-16.
 
 
But we have to suffer through a crappy 2014-15 first?  Ugh.  
 
And when I say "crappy" I don't mean "what a normal program experiences as crappy".  The non conference schedule will virtually guarantee 11-12 wins right there.  Then you just have to get 6 more maybe in-conference to get to 18 wins.  I still think they find a way to get 18-20 wins.
 

LeoCarrillo

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2016 class shaping up. Third junior signs. 6-9 Moustapha Diagne from Sparta, NJ.

That justs sounds like a guy who swats four a night in the paint.
 

LeftyTG

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LeoCarrillo said:
2016 class shaping up. Third junior signs. 6-9 Moustapha Diagne from Sparta, NJ.

That justs sounds like a guy who swats four a night in the paint.
class of 2015 =)  Syracuse can now turn its focus to the class of 2016, where they are in a dogfight for Tyus Battle and are the favorite for Jamal Murray (though they still haven't officially offered Murray).
 
It was important that Syracuse get either DIagne or Bryant.  For a long time it seemed like Bryant would be the guy - he is from Rochester and was high school teammates with Obokoh - but Bryant has indicated he wants to wait until spring to decide and publicly stated in interviews that he wanted to be recruited by Kentucky.  I'm glad Syracuse moved on.
 
Diagne looks like he is 40 already, but he is athletic for his size and already carries 240 pounds.  He has nice form on his jumper (better than Jerami Grant) and can finish in the post with either hand.  He came over from Africa in high school, so he is still relatively new to the game and is a year older (he'll be 20 when he suits up for his first game at Syracuse).
 
Syracuse is full for 2015.  It is at or near the top rated class now and will likely stay in the top 5 when it is all said and done.  It is a very balanced class with shooting and length, all 4 star players or greater.  
6'6" Frank Howard - combo guard recruited to play point
6'5" Malachi Richardson - shooting guard, elite shooter in the class
6'8" Tyler Lydon - power forward, also a top shooter (think Chandler Parsons)
6'9" center - Moustapha Diagne, physical post presence
 
One of the best, all around, recruiting classes Syracuse has ever brought in.  There is still some feeling that Syracuse isn't done.  McCullough is on record as wanting to be one and done.  If he leaves after a year, or if a guy transfers (I'm looking at you, Patterson), and a scholarship opens, Syracuse is still recruiting the aforementioned Bryant as well as Derrick Jones, a super athletic small forward.
 

ivanvamp

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Jul 18, 2005
6,104
Yeah, that really stinks for him.  And for SU.  I mean, I think he would have been the next guy to be the classic SU make-the-leap junior.  I think he would have been an 18-20 point scorer this coming season and would have almost certainly vaulted himself into being a lottery pick next year.
 
Oh well.  Good luck in Philly, Jerami.