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  1. Moog

    Bad Hombres: Jerseys Ashore

    This post deserves more love.
  2. Moog

    That was then: Celebrating what was

    Consider this hypothetical team and its playoff successes since 2001: SB wins: 3 SB appearances: 4 Conf Champ appearances: 5 Playoff wins: 10 Byes: 7 Division titles: 5 Pretty great, right? Indeed, this hypothetical franchise would be one of the best non-Patriots teams of the last 15 years...
  3. Moog

    2017 MLB HOF ballot released

    Sigh. When the discussion is about how one player's dramatic late-career improvement compares historically—even against all-time greats who were able to maintain their performance until exceptionally late in their careers, yet who still did have some eventual age-related decline—then, um, yes...
  4. Moog

    2017 MLB HOF ballot released

    Jesus. Aaron's 162-game average was 39 HR/year after age 35, higher but not ridiculously so compared to his career before age 34 (162-game avg 37 HR/year). The part where you strategically omit the three seasons he played after age 39 to bolster your argument? That's what I mean by...
  5. Moog

    2017 MLB HOF ballot released

    Huh? I read this at first as a comparison of their 162-game averages before and after X year—only later realized you're comparing the entirety of their careers prior to X year with that single, cherry-picked outlier year. For straight up comparison of their 162-game average HRs before and after...
  6. Moog

    The NFL will have a spring league starting in the spring of 2017

    The line between hilariously terrible and boringly terrible is often exceedingly fine.
  7. Moog

    The NFL will have a spring league starting in the spring of 2017

    There ya go: http://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/18519346/spring-league-invites-rice-manziel-adds-former-nfl-players I can't tell if this league sounds like the greatest idea ever or the worst idea ever.
  8. Moog

    2016-2017 NBA Game Thread

    Utterly random thought on how hard it is to win as many games as the Warriors did last season: 1. Through 42 games (36-6), GS is only 2 games behind last season's pace (38-4). 2. That means they'd have to win 26 straight to equal last year's record by they time they lost their 7th game (62-6).
  9. Moog

    2017 MLB HOF ballot released

    Cumulative WAR by age: Bonds' spike after age 35 was remarkable even relative to all-time greats like Mays, Aaron, Williams who maintained their numbers and/or had career years into their 30s.
  10. Moog

    Rank-'em: Top NFL Coaches not named Bill Belichick

    Barnwell ranks decision-making skills for the four coaches still in the playoffs, predictably with McCarthy at the bottom and BB at the top: http://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/18514479/clutch-coaching-rankings-bill-barnwell-stacks-final-four-nfl-2016-playoffs
  11. Moog

    2017 MLB HOF ballot released

    Some players do add power, but I don't think it's particularly normal to have a second career peak with 1.316 OPS, 241 OPS+, and 52 HR/season at ages 35-39. (His career numbers prior were .968 OPS, 163 OPS+, 32 HR/season—generational, but not break-the-game-of-baseball numbers.) Posnanski had...
  12. Moog

    2017 MLB HOF ballot released

    I'd wondered whether I needed to qualify the above with a statement about whether Bonds should be in the HOF, since the assumption would be that those numbers were posted as an argument against it. I was answering the question about when he was accused of starting to take PEDs, since there was a...
  13. Moog

    2017 MLB HOF ballot released

    The specific accusation (in Pearlman's book) was that Bonds declared to Griffey after the 1998 season that he would begin taking "some hard-core stuff," in frustration that (to him) lesser players like McGwire/Sosa were taking PEDs and getting all the attention...
  14. Moog

    Best final four QBs ever?

    Among QBs who have played since 2004, categories in which Peyton, Brady, Brees, Romo, Rodgers, Rivers, Roethlisberger, Palmer are ALL ahead of Eli: Passer rating Adjusted Net Yds/Pass Attempt Yards/Pass Attempt Pass Completion % Pass Interception % Passing Touchdown %
  15. Moog

    Best final four QBs ever?

    He has been above league average, but not by much. Avg passer rating since 2004 is 82.8; Eli's is 83.7. (He was below league average each of his first four years 04-07, but has been above every year since except 2013 and 2016.) Among contemporaries who have played through the same years...
  16. Moog

    2016 Jets: Diaper Dandies

    Jets 2017: Make England Great Again
  17. Moog

    That was then: Celebrating what was

    I have no spur To prick the sides of my intent, but only Vaulting ambition, which o'erleaps itself And falls on the other.
  18. Moog

    Best final four QBs ever?

    This was effectively my point with all the long-winded numbers above. When he's certain to be behind 3 of his contemporaries (Peyton, Brees, Brady, not counting Favre as a contemporary exactly) and likely in the mix with up to 5 other contemporaries who have played fewer seasons and/or are...
  19. Moog

    2016 Belichick Thread: Cheater de Force

  20. Moog

    Best final four QBs ever?

    Thanks for this context. My question was really that, a question, and this is helpful. I went back and looked at when QBs entered the top 10 in passing yards, for frequency and how much the threshold for top-10 status went up by year. If we conservatively project 4000+ yards/year* for those who...
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