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  1. pokey_reese

    How good are Fangraphs Predictions (2023 Edition)

    Following up on Slammin's point, you also generally want to create a dummy or 'null' model to compare the accuracy of your predictions against. One option would be 81-81 (in this case, that's the 'null' model), but also the previous year's record, the previous year's record averaged with 81-81...
  2. pokey_reese

    Jordan Montgomery signs with Arizona

    I'm going to assume for now that the Sox had either an offer for a longer period of time at a lower value that wasn't appealing to him because it would let him hit the market again soon enough (i.e., something like 5/80), or they weren't really in on him at all. That said, while I agree with...
  3. pokey_reese

    Is this an app? A UX tool? Help me be less dumb.

    Agree with Hendu. Depending on how many questions there are, you could literally just store the whole shebang as a JSON like dictionary right in the code, probably no need to add infrastructure.
  4. pokey_reese

    Rest in Peace, DaveRoberts'Shoes

    It's going to take so many posts before I stop doing a double-take. It still doesn't feel real, and I keep hoping that it's a misunderstanding.
  5. pokey_reese

    Should the Sox sell high on Jarren Duran?

    Sometimes I think that BABIP is one of those metrics that no one cared about for too long, but now everyone cares about too much, without taking the time to dig deeper. Like, should it generally be expected to regress? Sure, but not always to the same point. Duran had a .381 BABIP last year...
  6. pokey_reese

    Is It Over Now? Chiefs/Niners SB Thread

    CMC has looked like a really average player tonight, but then again, Kelce hasn't exactly stood out. edit: I finally did a reverse jinx!
  7. pokey_reese

    Is It Over Now? Chiefs/Niners SB Thread

    Good lord, so many injuries for the Niners.
  8. pokey_reese

    Rest in Peace, DaveRoberts'Shoes

    Damn, that's a blow, to everyone. I feel terrible for his close friends and family, and it's a loss for this community as well as the one he had outside of SoSH. Rest in Peace, DRS, and know that the world will be a worse place without you. This hurts. Every time.
  9. pokey_reese

    2024 NCAA Wrestling

    I gotta say, I'm a wrestling fan, but reading that lineup feels like it should include: #1 Bobson Dugnutt, Penn State vs Todd Bonzalez, Michigan
  10. pokey_reese

    Offseason rumors

    Yeah, it's easy to dump on the 2/28 offer, if that's even what it actually was. But trying to extrapolate what it would have taken to sign him from that is useless, given the information that other teams were also interested, and knowing that he ultimately signed for 1/23. We can assume that...
  11. pokey_reese

    A Festivus poll: Where does Yamamoto end up?

    I voted Yanks, just feels like all of the smoke around him, plus the GFIN aspect of adding Soto to the lineup, makes too much sense.
  12. pokey_reese

    Mark Cuban sold $3.5 billion majority stake in Mavs to the Adelsons

    That was my first thought. Seems like the opposite of what you would want in that case, keeping control of basketball ops but giving up passive income. Hard to imagine doing the whole candidate/maybe president thing while also running a team.
  13. pokey_reese

    Someone has to take the hit. Opie Steps up vs Giants

    LOL, right into triple coverage, looking at him the whole time. We might actually deserve the #1 pick.
  14. pokey_reese

    Happy Thanksgiving

    I really thought this was going to be about a surprise FA signing, or at least some flight tracking. I’m thankful, too, though.
  15. pokey_reese

    Luis Urías to the Mariners for RHP Isaiah Campbell

    They are really trying to appeal to the East Cambridge fish market demographic.
  16. pokey_reese

    Week 9 Commies vs. Pats

    Nothing like a back-and-forth battle with Washington in November. Hard to get amped up over these big plays...
  17. pokey_reese

    Week 8 Pats @Fins

    Can we just concede the rest of the season, and move on with our lives?
  18. pokey_reese

    Week 6 - Pats @ Raiders

    This is like watching a preseason game.
  19. pokey_reese

    Week 6 - Pats @ Raiders

    Same thing, since I'm 40. But yeah, I don't remember the 80s teams, but from the early 90s on, I can't remember any team that had less talent. Caveat being that we had some talent at least on the defensive side of the ball week 1, but now, it's hard to see anyone who isn't replacement-level.
  20. pokey_reese

    Week 6 - Pats @ Raiders

    Maybe I should have said 'worst team' rather than specifying the offense...