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  1. nvalvo

    We're at the ASB, where are you with the 2024 Boston Red Sox?

    I am sure that Henry more than anyone else understands how much money you can make with a winning baseball team in New England. I can see him feeling pinched and not wanting to sink a bunch of money into the team to move from fifth to fourth place, but once the cheap version of the team has...
  2. nvalvo

    We're at the ASB, where are you with the 2024 Boston Red Sox?

    I had them in the high 80s, which I revised down to .500 when Giolito went down. We could definitely use him, but I needn’t have worried. A team ahead of schedule is the best kind of baseball team.
  3. nvalvo

    What *is* the Breslow/Bailey/Willard pitching philosophy, after all?

    I’ve been thinking about this all morning, and I guess Mariano Rivera is the poster boy for this reasoning. If you can do one thing really well… It is also interesting in that I suspect that that philosophy might be detrimental in developing hitters. Yes, we look for “carrying tools,” but you...
  4. nvalvo

    What *is* the Breslow/Bailey/Willard pitching philosophy, after all?

    That is really fascinating: against well-roundedness. That really clicks with Payton Tolle, who seems utterly unremarkable except that he has tremendous extension.
  5. nvalvo

    What *is* the Breslow/Bailey/Willard pitching philosophy, after all?

    Very interesting. Could you either describe these stats in a bit more depth or point us towards a good explanation of what they are?
  6. nvalvo

    What *is* the Breslow/Bailey/Willard pitching philosophy, after all?

    There is a sense that the new CBO, director of pitching, and pitching coach have brought a new philosophy about pitching to the organization, but some of the descriptions we hear from the media don't seem to add up. Nor is it especially likely that the pitching philosophy is straightforward...
  7. nvalvo

    Who to buy at the trade deadline?

    I’d say him or Hamilton, yeah.
  8. nvalvo

    Who to buy at the trade deadline?

    Does Worcester help the EVs? Or just the results?
  9. nvalvo

    Who to buy at the trade deadline?

    Man, I've been a Yorke pessimist for a minute, but that sounds fantastic.
  10. nvalvo

    MLB Draft 2024 - Potential future Red Sox

    Neely's MLB.com writeup:
  11. nvalvo

    Where will Braden Montgomery land in Red Sox Top Prospects?

    I heard from SoxProspects that he was hitting a ton of popups for a minute (and thus earning a very low BABIP), but he seems to have ironed that out.
  12. nvalvo

    MLB Draft 2024 - Potential future Red Sox

    Not disagreeing, but this is a bit less true than it was last offseason. Taking an inventory of the guys in the pipeline who look like plausible starters: Perales (AA, flat out dealing — but just had TJS) Sandlin (A+, flat out dealing since a rough couple starts back from the IL, should be in...
  13. nvalvo

    Who to buy at the trade deadline?

    Jonathan India is an interesting thought. Mediocre defender, but great on-base skills and decent pop would make a lot of sense between Duran and Devers in the lineup. He's controllable through 2026. How about a Hamilton and Lugo for India swap?
  14. nvalvo

    Red Sox, Ceddanne Rafaela agree to contract extension

    The sample size for those zone-based defensive stats is measured in seasons. Most defensive plays are either easy or impossible, so defensive value is all about the plays at the margin: plays that some guys make but others don't. And of course, most guys make *some* of those plays. But those...
  15. nvalvo

    Bryan Mata & Cam Booser to be called up? ( Justin Slaten to IL w/ right elbow inflammation)

    I think you're right that a DFA is a likely outcome: we've run out the string as far as we can with this guy, and now somebody's got to decide. If it's me, I'm optioning Criswell and giving Mata a few low-leverage outings against MLB competition. But I will hardly be shocked if they decide...
  16. nvalvo

    Who to buy at the trade deadline?

    I see this very differently. Rooker has years of control beyond the present. Our window is opening, not closing.
  17. nvalvo

    2024 Rotation and Bullpen

    Unfortunately, we haven’t seen the strides I hoped for from our Worcester relievers Troye and Zeferjahn.
  18. nvalvo

    Game 92: 7/11-A's at Sox

    Oh, if one year were an option—like, if he accepted a QO—I'd be happy with that. He fills a need. But he has an .871 OPS and RH power is rare, and he's mostly been on the field. He will probably get a 3 or 4 year deal, maybe even 5, and I worry that whoever wins that auction will regret it.