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  1. rodderick

    The Michael McCorkle "Mac" Jones Thread

    2006 Patriots: 7th in scoring (couldn't find EPA/Play for that time frame) 2013 Patriots: 7th in scoring, 8th in offensive EPA/Play. 2019 Patriots: 7th in scoring, 15th in offensive EPA/Play. The 2023 Patriots at this point are 24th in offensive EPA/Play. I honestly couldn't care less how Mac...
  2. rodderick

    The Red Sox have fired Chaim Bloom

    I have to admit, the contrast between the whole "he did what they asked him to do" line of thinking and the predictions thread having most people believing they'd have a better record than they'll end up with is a little funny.
  3. rodderick

    X Leaves the Spot for San Diego: 11 years, $280M

    I mean, that's literally the bar if reports are true he would've taken something around the Story deal.
  4. rodderick

    Game 2 Mia, goats

    My only objection is that I believe we can look at the guy independent of what he has as well. If Mac is provided weapons, very good coaching and a good OL, I'm sure he would be much better than he is today, the offense would score points and the team would be better off. But just like the 49ers...
  5. rodderick

    The Michael McCorkle "Mac" Jones Thread

    Sure, but you could also get a Trey Lance or Zach Wilson in the second round, or at 19, and history tells us there's a correlation between draft spot and performance for quarterbacks. If you don't want to suck so you take your pick, you'll have to go grab one. All that matters is that you hit on...
  6. rodderick

    The Michael McCorkle "Mac" Jones Thread

    I mean, the Bills were a playoff team and traded up for Allen, same with the Chiefs and Mahomes. Lamar was picked at the end of the first round. It's not like Burrow and Lawrence at number 1 overall are the only way to get that guy. Herbert went 6th overall, you can trade from, say, 14th to 6th...
  7. rodderick

    Game 2 Mia, goats

    Bourne to me always seemed like a dangerous receiver with the ball in his hands in space, I don't know why they have him as the designated shot guy. Might speak to the overall lack of speed on offense, especially on the perimeter.
  8. rodderick

    The Michael McCorkle "Mac" Jones Thread

    I think there are a little more. Mahomes, Allen, Burrow, Jackson, Lawrence, Hurts, Herbert... I'd even throw Dak in there, but I'm higher on him than most. Of course you can debate some of these players, but I think none of their teams are looking for a quarterback or thinking about moving on at...
  9. rodderick

    Week 2 NFL Game Thread

    One thing that puzzles me with Mac is how consistently bad he's been in game context-neutral situations (i.e. with winning percentage between 20-80%). He was bad in those spots by EPA/Play in his good rookie season, he was bad last year and he's been bad to start 2023. He's disproportionately...
  10. rodderick

    The Michael McCorkle "Mac" Jones Thread

    They are trying to force him to play QB traditionally and he can't do it. I mean, the offense sucks, but when it works he can't do it. His biggest flaw in college was that he needed to see guys break open to throw the ball, lacked anticipation and vision and that's been magnified to the nth...
  11. rodderick

    The Michael McCorkle "Mac" Jones Thread

    Yeah, this is all predicated on the savings they get from QB being used to help the QB, but then again that's what we were expecting with having a starter on a rookie deal, so it's probably stupid to make the same mistake in projection.
  12. rodderick

    The Michael McCorkle "Mac" Jones Thread

    One thing I'll say is that while I liked and not loved Fields, I wanted them to trade up for him so bad in that draft and have been proven completely wrong. I'm sure he'd be a better player and win more games in NE than in the mess he has around him in Chicago, but the kid can't process. I think...
  13. rodderick

    The Michael McCorkle "Mac" Jones Thread

    Great work. I just think if this is the player he is, I'd rather go with a veteran who's marginally worse but makes a lot less while drafting a rookie and allocating the savings in other areas of need. Now, if by Year 5 he's Joe Burrow, give him whatever he wants. I'm just not a fan of investing...
  14. rodderick

    The Michael McCorkle "Mac" Jones Thread

    Does he have the 850 attempts he's on pace for in that scenario? Because if so, those volume stats become far less impressive. Either way, unless he completely implodes he'll be worth the 23 million or so of the fifth year option, at worst he's a representative QB and that's a very reasonable...
  15. rodderick

    Game 2 Mia, goats

    Oh, okay. Now I got it. It's basically passing EPA/Play on targets that didn't result in an interception. So not really a ton to discern in terms of specifically the pass catchers.
  16. rodderick

    Game 2 Mia, goats

    I think by the end of the season we'll have figure out why Bourne was featured a lot less in the passing game than fans thought he should be by two different coaching staffs.
  17. rodderick

    Game 2 Mia, goats

    Does this mean Tua by himself has negative EPA/Play? Because the Dolphins EPA/dropback is lower than the receiver number. I don't love these attempts at disassociating QB/receiver performance through EPA, I think it's way too granular for those stats to represent the reality. For that sort of...
  18. rodderick

    Game 2 Mia, goats

    No one? Which is why my argument is "this group and that group aren't fundamentally different" and not "this group is better". Though I do believe at the time of the Juju signing there were people who put him on a higher level than those other guys.
  19. rodderick

    Game 2 Mia, goats

    I guess I can buy that Kirk is marginally better than their best receiver, the rest of those guys are the same caliber of player. You're right about the difference in skill sets and athleticism, but no one was touting Zay Jones and Evan Engram as anything other than "meh" receivers at best...
  20. rodderick

    Game 2 Mia, goats

    Elandon Roberts had 38 yards receiving that game. This offense lacks top tier talent, it's been a consistent failure in roster building, it's also miles better than what they had to end the year in 2019. Mike Gesicki is their 5th option in the passing game now, he'd be number 2 with a bullet on...
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