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  1. allmanbro

    Baseball Is Broken (on the field, proposed rule changes, attendance, etc.)

    Posnanski lists it with a bunch of things clearly related to actual play - so I am giving him the benefit of the doubt, not MLB, in thinking there might be something there. Unfortunately, you are probably right. Edit: google is mostly failing me, but this fangraphs article from 2016 at least...
  2. allmanbro

    Baseball Is Broken (on the field, proposed rule changes, attendance, etc.)

    I think if you move the mound back, you have to deaden the ball. There might be some sweet spot there for balls in play, but also balanced offense. It would likely take significant tinkering in indy/MiLB to find. The Posnanski article mentions different colored seams on the baseballs. This is...
  3. allmanbro

    ST 2023 MLB News & Notes

    If Lux is out any significant time, Miguel Rojas is presumably the starting SS. This year's dodgers are vulnerable.
  4. allmanbro

    Beat The Clock

    I agree that long commercial breaks are terrible, and should go away. But people have studied this, and those are (probably) not a major factor in the increase in game time. The biggest causes are time between pitches, and number of pitches thrown - especially pitches per plate appearance...
  5. allmanbro

    Beat The Clock

    I bet they do this at first, but i hope it fades into the background as everyone gets used to it. When replay review was new, mlbtv/gameday used to put up this big red alerts next to games undergoing a review, as if that was exciting. But that went away when the novelty was gone.
  6. allmanbro

    Let's sign some hitters!

    It will be really interesting to see how teams value Yoshida, given that he walks more than he strikes out. If the leaguewide rule/ball changes aimed at reducing three-true-outcomes ball actually do their job, players with that profile could become the next undervalued asset. We might have seen...
  7. allmanbro

    Let's sign some hitters!

    Another shot in the dark "take on salary" trade might involve Arizona. The trade simulator has MadBum + Alek Thomas at near 0 total value. They had almost too many promising-but-not-great young OFs last year and Marte will be coming back, so they would be dealing from a position of surplus. If...
  8. allmanbro

    Sox acquire Eric Hosmer

    I think this is where you look for the "upside" in acquiring Hosmer. If he can rebound some with the park + shift ban, (and maybe a new coach, change of scenery, or whatever), and Casas is ready as the starter, then Hosmer could have trade value next June. If that works, then Hosmer gets you...
  9. allmanbro

    Red Sox Trade Deadline 2022

    The way this team absolutely caught fire in June should also show just how close this team was to being good. If they had managed to be just "bad" or even mediocre in July, they could be buyers now in the heat of the race. They collapsed epically, of course, but it took a lot of injuries and...
  10. allmanbro

    Tracking the Mendoza's (league batting average).

    Since I've heard a lot on the deadend ball, I quickly calculated March/April Isolated Slugging the last few years: Year BA SLG ISO 2014 0.249 0.389 0.140 2015 0.250 0.390 0.140 2016 0.249 0.405 0.156...
  11. allmanbro

    The Rafael Devers Extension Thread

    That's an exciting lineup to look at. Maybe a less exciting pitching staff though. If you think Duran or Jimenez can stick, then there may not be a need to extend Kiké, and that money can go to a starter; add a Montas/Musgrvoe/Nola/Marquez/Castillo level SP in his place, and the overall payroll...
  12. allmanbro

    Only God Can Judge Judge

    I've always figured the aging curve has to be pretty harsh for Judge. He's a big guy with an injury history, and his K rates have gone down recently, but will likely become a problem if he loses any bat speed. I don't really know how teams model these things, but can we expect him to be above...
  13. allmanbro

    The Rafael Devers Extension Thread

    Part of the worry in FA is that somebody somewhere will be willing to pay Devers like a 3B and play him there. I wonder if this could be a sales pitch to get Xander to swap with Story: "we feel comfortable with Devers at 3B only if Story can cover some of the ground next to him." If Devers...
  14. allmanbro

    The 15th Almost Annual Tommy John Surgery Contest

    Zac Gallen
  15. allmanbro

    Red Sox in season discussion

    Pittsburgh has such great baseball history too. It's been way too long since that team has had any sustained success.
  16. allmanbro

    Red Sox in season discussion

    I hope so. Cherington could make a pretty good career for himself as the rebuilding specialist, moving from team to team. Kind of the anti-Dombrowski.
  17. allmanbro

    Can rules changes save baseball?

    Flipping around on MLB.TV or even watching national/playoff games, I am often completely shocked at how much time announcers spend complaining about how baseball is played today. It's wild. These are supposed to be the people explaining, advocating, and selling the game to viewers. But some...
  18. allmanbro

    Can rules changes save baseball?

    This idea is pretty wild, but I love it. I think this is 100% right - and the attempt to get more balls in play is not just about small ball, but about OF ranging way into the corner to catch a liner, or singles into the gap that the hitter tries to stretch into a double. Even those relatively...
  19. allmanbro

    Chris Sale aiming to return

    The optimistic read is that all this time off allows Sale's various arm injuries to heal, he decides Novavax is OK, and we can get a couple years of 80% peak Sale before the wheels fall off again. I don't see any reason to expect that, but it might happen.
  20. allmanbro

    Red Sox in season discussion

    I'd guess if another OF comes, it's by trade. People have mentioned some targets here recently. But it seems like there is still a chance to take on the Myers contract to get some prospects/pitching from SD. Or maybe the A's would include Laureano with one of their pitchers.
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