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  1. johnnywayback

    Red Sox Offseason News and Notes

    Bannister is still widely regarded as one of the best pitching analytics and development guys in the industry -- my guess is that, per @Van Everyman, they want him focused on that. Or perhaps the approach of bringing what Bannister does well directly into the clubhouse was less successful than...
  2. johnnywayback

    Down on the Farm, 2019 edition

    Chatham seems like trade bait to me. If the hit tool develops a little, he can be a second-division starting shortstop. If it doesn't, he's kind of an awkward fit as a utility guy given that so much of his value is wrapped up in his ability to play a competent SS. I would think that...
  3. johnnywayback

    Foundation for next year?

    Marco Hernandez is the guy you're thinking of for 2B. Ideally, they'd re-sign Holt, but I imagine he'll get overpaid somewhere to start full-time. I don't think they will or should waste money on a closer. The bullpen, as has been extensively documented, is already a lot better than people...
  4. johnnywayback

    Chris Sale to IL with elbow inflammation

    It's definitely fair to point out that this ownership group has been good at executing the "go all-in on elite talent rather than focusing on depth" strategy -- although I think the playoffs are largely a crapshoot, and that the difference between "flags fly forever" and "the Buffalo Bills" is...
  5. johnnywayback

    Chris Sale to IL with elbow inflammation

    Or pursue a strategy where you prioritize building/maintaining depth over signing/trading for specific elite players regardless of the value proposition, which does not seem to be the strategy of this ownership group as presently constituted.
  6. johnnywayback

    Chris Sale to IL with elbow inflammation

    I think the idea would be that you use the ~$30M he's owed in arbitration to buy stuff that is helpful in 2020, which is probably a starting pitcher from the group of Gerrit Cole, Cole Hamels, Tanner Roark, Zack Wheeler, Kyle Gibson, etc, perhaps with money left over for an outfielder and a...
  7. johnnywayback

    Chris Sale to IL with elbow inflammation

    This is just sophistry. The fact that Sale is hurt now does not prove that he was hurt when he agreed to the contract, and it doesn't prove that you were right that they should have viewed his willingness to accept that deal as a sign that he was "unsure of his own health."
  8. johnnywayback

    Is Dave Dombrowski back with the Sox in 2020?

    I don't believe for a second that Shaughnessy is doing any actual reporting here, but I still voted No. It's very easy to see the team arriving at a real crossroads this offseason, contemplating a Betts trade or some other dramatic re-invention, and it's also easy to imagine some of the young...
  9. johnnywayback

    Is the problem Dana LeVangie? Dombrowski's vision?

    They hired Dombrowski because they wanted to go all-in on a different strategy. Instead of the Epstein/Cherington model of patiently building depth, developing talent, and obsessing about value (a model they didn't always execute well), they wanted a model where you get the elite guys you want...
  10. johnnywayback

    Let's Talk Exten$ions...

    I mean, they'll get a fourth-round pick. That's a massive loss compared to what you could get in return for a year of Betts, even counting that year's worth of production. As for Cole, he doesn't extend the window, it's the return for Betts that does. Imagine getting Drew Waters and one of...
  11. johnnywayback

    Let's Talk Exten$ions...

    It should be. Well, the second half, anyway. The first half should be centered around finding out if he's going to insist on going to free agency, or whether he's ready to sign the massive, bigger-than-everyone-but-Trout extension I'm sure we're going to offer. If not -- whether it's because...
  12. johnnywayback

    2019 Trade Deadline

    Sure, it would be good to have an established and consistent closer. The problem is that it's impossible to know whether a given guy can fill that role in a given year. 2008 Papelbon and 2014 Uehara were good. 2005 Foulke and 2019 Kimbrel, not so much. As @Savin Hillbilly illustrates, if...
  13. johnnywayback

    2019 Trade Deadline

    Dalbec for Diaz is actually a great value proposition, even if we wind up including, say, Chatham and a fun DSL guy to round it out. Dalbec is never going to play 3B for us, and his defense there is a big chunk of his value, so I've always thought we'd end up trading him.
  14. johnnywayback

    Has Mookie peaked?

    I think Mookie will be fine -- 2018 may well wind up being his best season, but his true talent level is a lot closer to that than it is to what we're seeing now. I desperately want them to sign him to a long-term deal and for him to play the rest of his Hall of Fame career in a Red Sox...
  15. johnnywayback

    Nathan Eovaldi to close

    This actually strikes me as a bit of a punt on the season. It takes the immediate pressure off to trade for a reliever, which makes sense only if you don't think you're ever going to be buying -- i.e., if you thought this was a playoff team, you would make a move right now instead of waiting...
  16. johnnywayback

    Building a Bullpen, 2019 edition

    I do believe in Barnes and Workman. But I think adding another elite arm makes a lot of sense, both in case one of them burns out and in order to push Brasier and everyone else back an inning. Will Smith really is the perfect target. Unfortunately, their biggest intermediate-term need is in...
  17. johnnywayback

    Eovaldi to the IL

    It’s kind of too bad that they extended Sale and Bogaerts. I mean, not really — I’m glad they’re sticking around — but if this season is going to circle the drain, it would have been fun for prospect humpers like me to see what they could have fetched come July.
  18. johnnywayback

    Let's Talk Exten$ions...

    They'd only get a 4th-round pick if they let him walk, and there's no way they can't beat that in a trade. Still, you're right that the July market was underwhelming for other stars. That's why they'd need to trade him the winter before, not at the deadline. The other reason they need to...
  19. johnnywayback

    2018-19 Offseason Thread

    Buttrey could be a pretty good middle reliever in 2019, and his ceiling is probably something like Matt Barnes. That's a valuable player. Good thing we have Travis Lakins, Durbin Feltman, Mike Shawaryn, Chandler Sheperd, and Darwinzon Hernandez, all of whom also fit that description, plus guys...