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  1. Savin Hillbilly

    JD and the opt out

    He played 146 games and came to the plate 657 times. Hard to paint that as a harbinger of durability issues. And while back problems may not "go away", I don't think they very often become career-threatening, do they? I think for most people they come and go, and you lose a few games here and...
  2. Savin Hillbilly

    JD and the opt out

    Climate change. As Manram suggested, I think it's simply an indication that Andrus is a fringe-average, declining player who's unlikely to find a better deal on the open market than the one he's got. Saying Boras will always take the FA route is saying he's a shitty agent, because only a...
  3. Savin Hillbilly

    AFL 2019

    "Consistent contact" seems like an awfully generous description of a 26.9% K rate (according to BBref: 14 K in 52 PA). I mean, it's not horrific, but it doesn't seem like something one would call out as a plus.
  4. Savin Hillbilly

    The DD Replacement. Who's Next?

    What exactly do you mean by this? Do you mean that all the information available at that time pointed to him being the superior candidate? And unless you're a Sox FO insider from 2002 posting incognito, how do you really know what information was available to those people at that time? (Never...
  5. Savin Hillbilly

    2019 NLCS - Nationals vs Cardinals - Gamethread

    I think the question gets even tougher to answer when you make it 6 and add in Greinke and Corbin, one of whom is a possible HoFer and both of whom are in the top 15 in MLB in fWAR over the past four years. I'd say the last time two teams with that kind of elite, evenly matched rotation depth...
  6. Savin Hillbilly

    2019 NLDS - Nationals vs Dodgers - Gamethread

    I agree completely. But the comparison blew my mind because in terms of Sox lore, it's a little like asking, "Is Jesus the new Satan?".
  7. Savin Hillbilly

    2019 NLDS - Nationals vs Dodgers - Gamethread

    The MLB.com link line is "Could Dave Roberts be the next Grady Little?" Which completely fries my brain.
  8. Savin Hillbilly

    Another Surgery for Pedey

    So every feeling you have about your own behavior is rational? You've never felt a scruple or inhibition about something that you knew perfectly well, on a non-emotional level, was morally justified? Congratulations on having escaped that particular form of neurosis. Not all of us are so lucky...
  9. Savin Hillbilly

    Another Surgery for Pedey

    I did not make it a moral dilemma. I specifically said it wasn't a moral dilemma. Three times now. I'm not "talking out of both sides of my mouth," I'm making a point that seems simple enough to me but apparently is too nuanced for you. Oh well.
  10. Savin Hillbilly

    Another Surgery for Pedey

    Purely the picture of him that's been filtered through the media lens over the years, as further filtered by my own experiences and expectations, which obviously adds up to highly limited and unreliable knowledge. I've said unequivocally in more than one post, I think, that he has absolutely no...
  11. Savin Hillbilly

    Another Surgery for Pedey

    Of course. No one's suggesting that Pedroia has any obligation to retire just to do the franchise and the fans a favor. (And if they are, they're an idiot.) I hold out some slight hope that he may, because he strikes me as the kind of personality who might be uncomfortable collecting a check for...
  12. Savin Hillbilly

    Another Surgery for Pedey

    I think it's actually debatable that the risk came to fruition, at least more than trivially. Fangraphs says he's earned about $98M of a $110M contract. When signing or extending a guy into his late 30s, I'll take that outcome every day and twice on Sunday. The issue with Pedroia's contract...
  13. Savin Hillbilly

    Speier: Disagreements led to pitching coach change

    No. You need an analytics guy to tell the pitchers which strikes to throw to whom, when. If pitching were as simple as throwing strikes, Rick Porcello would have been the best starting pitcher on the Sox this past year, and Rodriguez the worst.
  14. Savin Hillbilly

    Speier: Disagreements led to pitching coach change

    Typically excellent Speier. I love the way he tells a story about conflict with the focus on understanding what happened and why, rather than picking good guys and bad guys like so many boyfriends, uh, I mean sportswriters, would.
  15. Savin Hillbilly

    Another Surgery for Pedey

    I don't doubt that you're right (especially given your tagline), but the first part puzzles me. Are you implying that the MLBPA would be against this kind of transfer-the-salary-to-a-non-playing-position gambit? And if so, why? It would free up money to be spent on more players, without actually...
  16. Savin Hillbilly

    Modern-day version of Casey at the Bat

    I usually hate get-off my lawn stuff, but I have to admit this was funny. He manages to squeeze in nearly everything about the current game that prompts eye-rolling in one quarter or another.
  17. Savin Hillbilly

    Active Hall of Famers

    This argument ignores defense, but voters won't. Pedroia was an elite defender, by both numbers and popular perception; Garciaparra was not. Granted that differences in WAR based on defense, the least reliable of its components, need to be used cautiously--especially when comparing across...
  18. Savin Hillbilly

    Mookie BBetts - 2019 Campaign

    I think it's a mistake to judge a market by the deals that are turned down. Let's see what Rendon actually gets before using him as a comp.
  19. Savin Hillbilly

    Sox owners want to be under cap in '20

    If they negotiate a buyout, it's a buyout of his existing contract, and therefore wouldn't it count toward the CBT the same as if the buyout had been negotiated into the contract in the first place?
  20. Savin Hillbilly

    Sox owners want to be under cap in '20

    Well, up till now they've chosen not to let it get in the way, but as stepson points out, the CBA makes ignoring the LT a self-limiting strategy--the longer you pursue it, the harder it gets to continue. So it was pretty much inevitable that at some point, they were going to have to adjust their...