Search results

  1. L

    Finn: Red Sox Potentially Changing Radio Broadcast Approach

    I've been listening for a while, hardly ever get to see a game on TV. And I'll agree about Sean McDonough. But, not seeing the games, I've never understood the Dave O'Brien hate. The few years he was on radio with Joe C. were a treat -- it sounded like there was real chemistry between...
  2. L

    May The Best Team Win...

    Indeed. There's a new paper, How often does the best team win? A unified approach to understanding randomness in North American sport, but the blog version addresses the question for both the regular season and post-season. Short version, of the major American professional sports, MLB has the...
  3. L

    Are you worried about the Red Sox?

    Come for the angst, stay for the Bayesian analysis.
  4. L

    The Anatomy of Losing (or how good teams play so poorly)

    This is something we can estimate! For a team with a true ability of 0.593 (the 2007 series-winning Sox), how likely is it that the team's season will include a 24-game run where they go 9-15 or worse (this dismal June)? Turns out, simulating lots of seasons, that we can expect a 24-game run...
  5. L

    Contrived stats and other discussion about metrics

    To my mind what a confidence interval adds is information about how small the sample size is, in the units that are being measured. If someone tells me that JBJ has an OBP of 0.400, with a 95% CI of 0.150 to 0.600, then I immediately know that my conclusion should be "Hunh. Based on this...