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  1. M

    Red Sox in season discussion

    He's obviously not signing that. If you're assuming that doesnt include his arb3 year, its a bit of a stretch to say hell be 35 during the deal. That would be the end of October of the last year of the deal. His last year would be his age 34 season for any sort of statistical comparisons. The...
  2. M

    Red Sox Trade Deadline 2022

    I'd drive those two to the airport and pay their airfare for that deal. Neither of them move the needle at all. Crawford might eventually be a bulk innings reliever. Bonaci has zero power - theres almost no way hes a major league player. The rest of the article reads like Jim Bowden is working...
  3. M

    Downs up, Norwood wide right

    Sure the power tool has always been solid - there is a reason they kept him over Arauz - that isnt a stunning endorsement though, Arauz is pretty awful at everything involving a bat. The question has always been the hit tool his entire time in the minors (and to a lesser extent could he stick at...
  4. M

    Downs up, Norwood wide right

    He would have been in AA. He had close to 500 PAs at A+ in 2019 and 60-70 PAs in AA at the end of 2019. AAA for 2021 was a bit aggressive, but not overly so - a lot of the top 100 skipped a league that they would have been at during the COVID year. The fact that he was as terrible as he was in...
  5. M

    How to get back in this thing

    Weve had this discussion before, but arguing that Xander has three more years when he has already indicated hes testing the market. Its reasonable to call that obtuse. Maybe he blows out his elbow or knee or gets the Hellenic flu. We're talking about 1% tail outcomes of serious injuries...
  6. M

    Fenway to be fully cashless, among other changes for 2022

    Not sure where youre getting the idea theres more theft on credit card transactions. It is the safest method for merchants, especially in large organizations where there are significant number of short term employees accepting cash. It's also not just "theft." Cash opens up the risk that...
  7. M

    NESN to offer standalone streaming service for games (IN MARKET)

    I remember it being the same in the late 90s in MA. This was also at a time when close to 80 games were over the air on channel 68 in Boston, so NESN might have been carrying 80ish games a year compared to 140-145. If I still lived in Boston where the racket of Comcast pricing leads to $150...
  8. M

    How to get back in this thing

    His contract is a 1/10 with a 2/26 option at the end so not following your numbers. The $10M was considerably more than he would have gotten on a one year pillow deal (likely would have been in the $4-$5M flyer range). If he doesnt pitch this year, I dont see that option getting picked up, but...
  9. M

    BOS offered Bogaerts 1/30 additional not to opt out (Heyman report)

    I wouldnt assume that. Seems more likely that hes admitting to himself that if they give him the money he wants in July rather than in March, he will take it. Doubt the price is any lower than it was in March.
  10. M

    Pats 2022 draft class

    This is a great argument that its directionally accurate; not so much that it is precise to use it as to whether someone would still be out there in 15, 20, or 30 picks. Its proof of accuracy without precision.
  11. M

    Pats 2022 draft class

    Ill go one further and say it wont happen at all (that a GM is hired above Bill and Bill stays on). Bill is either here or he's gone - that was the deal from the beginning and its difficult to see how it would work given the 20+ years of historical operations. Not to mention that I suspect he...
  12. M

    Red Sox ‘22 offense: offensively offensive

    They can only keep 14 pitchers until the end of May as a roster cap of 13 will go into effect so they're going to have to add a bench guy in the next few weeks for a pitcher no matter what happens.
  13. M

    Patriots select WR Tyquan Thornton

    Yes and Randy Moss was 6'4"+. They have very comparable body types. Just like Moss was never going to be 220 in the NFL, Thornton will never be 200-205, but he will likely play in the 190s, which should be perfectly fine. As others have mentioned, he has the exact same size and body type as...
  14. M

    BOS offered Bogaerts 1/30 additional not to opt out (Heyman report)

    Your language about honoring the contract sounds a lot like football hold-outs especially in this context as Xander didn't agree to play 2023-2025 for $20M AAV back in 2019 - he agreed that he would agree after the 2022 season if he would or if he wanted to be a free agent. In other words he...
  15. M

    BOS offered Bogaerts 1/30 additional not to opt out (Heyman report)

    Arguing that Xander should be held to anything after 2022 is disingenuous. The deal Xander signed gives him the right to be a free agent after 2022 - ignoring that part of the deal and equating it with a football style holdout is just wrong. I cant imagine they went to him with that logic...
  16. M

    BOS offered Bogaerts 1/30 additional not to opt out (Heyman report)

    The Yankees added 1/30 onto CC's deal in exchange for him declining his opt out (made a 4/92 option into 5/122), but that was agreed to right before the opt-out date. I dont see any reason a team would be less likely to negotiate with a player with an opt out after the season whose deal has...
  17. M

    Welcome back, Jackie Bradley Jr.

    We can conclude that on 30 plate appearances? Thats the equivalent of a playoff series - results are going to be all over the place - even a guy who is 2021 Bradley is going to have a stretch of a few games where he plays reasonably well. I guess its better than him striking out 35% of the time...
  18. M

    BOS offered Bogaerts 1/30 additional not to opt out (Heyman report)

    Semien isnt a materially better bet to play short going forward - hes never been good there and came to free agency a full year older. He's actually somewhat similar in that UZR likes him as a solid-average fielder but toth OAA and DRS think hes pretty poor. Obviously there's a ton more risk in...
  19. M

    BOS offered Bogaerts 1/30 additional not to opt out (Heyman report)

    I dont see any gain to making numbers up so the downside might be limited, but theres no real pay off. I'm inclined to believe the report if it is Boras - it may have been an initial offer that has since been revised, but it seems really unlikely to me that he just made up the numbers. This isnt...
  20. M

    BOS offered Bogaerts 1/30 additional not to opt out (Heyman report)

    I dont think its particularly likely that X is getting into the $250 to $300M range of those deals, but there is a massive chasm between those deals and the reported offer. Something around what Marcus Semien got seems a reasonable estimate of what Xander might get on the free agent market (it...