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  1. effectivelywild

    Sox Rotation '22- The Good, The Pretty Good, The Not-Bad, the Pretty Bad and the Ugly

    What astonished me at the time and continues to astonish me is who the Sox traded to get Pivetta and Seabold. Brandon Workman and Heath Hembree! These were two relief pitchers that we had in a lost season and they weren't even good relievers! Cumulatively they had generated 0.1 WAR that season...
  2. effectivelywild

    Sox Rotation '22- The Good, The Pretty Good, The Not-Bad, the Pretty Bad and the Ugly

    Yikes, tough crowd. I mean, yeah Wacha is overperforming his peripherals, but even his peripherals suggest he's a perfectly cromulent starter with a FIP of around 4. And Pivetta---his overall peripherals are pretty good. Was just reading about his overall performance the last several starts in a...
  3. effectivelywild

    Jarren Duran: Improving in His Second Shot

    I saw that and thought "Who the hell would bother to make an account just to troll SOSH about Covid?" And my first guess is I think incorrect, since "MiguelDeLosSantos" is not an anagram for "Curt Schilling."
  4. effectivelywild

    Jarren Duran: Improving in His Second Shot

    What do you think the odds are that Ryan Fitzgerald has been feeding him anti-vax articles, figuring there's an outside chance it'll get him a shot (pun intended) in the Bigs?
  5. effectivelywild

    Jarren Duran: Improving in His Second Shot

    Hey, in all fairness, it takes a long time to get through ALL the Google results.
  6. effectivelywild

    Nick Pivetta

    Some of both. You don't hold batters to ~.160 average without significant luck. Even prime Pedro couldn't maintain a sub .210 BABIP. But the things that he has more control over---K%, BB% and HR%, GB rate and LD% (the last one is probably less sticky) all support the idea that it's not just luck.
  7. effectivelywild

    Red Sox Trade Deadline 2022

    I don't think its as straightforward as every team needs a capital-C Closer but I also don't think that it doesn't matter what "role" a reliever is in across the board. I think there are probably some guys that their "title" has an effect on them and other guys that you could plug into the game...
  8. effectivelywild

    6/20 Faedo vs. Winckowski

    I'm following on MLB gameday and it listed it as a "ground rule double on a ground ball through the hole at second base" and I was trying to figure out how that would happen. Sounds like ultimately she saved a run if it otherwise would have been a triple. Maybe she can get an award as the...
  9. effectivelywild

    ERod to Tigers: 5 years/$77 million, opt out after Y2

    I heard about that, wasn't the issue that Mrs. Zobrist didn't want Ben to be the only multi-positional person in the household?
  10. effectivelywild

    Alex Cora-- what do we have here? Perhaps the best manager in baseball.

    I do think it's interesting that Wealthy Knoll has added a skidder to his conglomeration of flings, especially given that is registering as around 13% of his pitches so far this year but it is also atypically slow, even adjusting for his velocity paucity, clocking in this year at a robust 69...
  11. effectivelywild

    Chris Sale aiming to return

    Even that could be used to help fertilize the outfield grass.
  12. effectivelywild

    Chris Sale aiming to return

    Sale is quoted as saying he'll do anything to help the team, except for ceasing to eat the thing that looks like cotton candy.
  13. effectivelywild

    How to get back in this thing

    For those ruing the Yanks scorching start, the inimitable Deadspin may have a salve. "But you shouldn’t be that impressed by the Yankees winning in the regular season. It’s what they’ve done consistently since the year 2000. The problem is the postseason, where the Yankees have been ordinary...
  14. effectivelywild

    Alex Cora-- what do we have here? Perhaps the best manager in baseball.

    Yeah, though Hill has been a breaking ball heavy pitcher for years now. Since 2010 his FB% has only cracked 55% of his pitches once (2018) and that 3 year Dodgers stint is the only time in that timeframe that he has been above 50% fastballs. If anyone can handle this kind of usage peak, it's Hill.
  15. effectivelywild

    Sox Rotation '22- The Good, The Pretty Good, The Not-Bad, the Pretty Bad and the Ugly

    It is, in a ways. FIP is based on K's, BB's and HRs---that's it. From Baseball Reference "Fielding Independent Pitching, or FIP, is a sabermetric pitching statistic that is philosophically derived from the concept of Defense-Independent Pitching Statistics (also known as "DIPS"). The core tenet...
  16. effectivelywild

    Red Sox ‘22 offense: offensively offensive

    If his hitting approach is off though, then wouldn't you expect to see some sort of change when comparing him to previous years (when he was a more effective hitter)? Is his swing really all that different? I've tried to compare clips of his from 2021 vs. 2022 and his swing looks pretty...
  17. effectivelywild

    Red Sox in season discussion

    I think if we want to attribute Verdugo's struggles relative to his rate stats to a specific deficiency, we should try to see if we can figure out what the problem is. In my thinking, there are two things we should then try to address: 1. Verdugo's underperformance in regards to his past...
  18. effectivelywild

    Red Sox in season discussion

    I think its interesting how we view process vs. results for players, particularly because I feel like we treat pitchers and hitters differently. Obviously we would all be happier if Verdugo's time at the plate was producing tangible benefits to the team but in terms of trying to predict future...
  19. effectivelywild

    Everything Must Go? The 2022 Red Sox as Sellers?

    I mentioned this in another thread but The Athletic had an interesting article the other day about the offseason work that Bogaerts (and Devers) put in working on their defense. Xander's work in particular seemed to be focused on his pre-pitch stance and overall mechanics.
  20. effectivelywild

    Trevor Story has signed with the Boston Red Sox

    The FO should lobby to have their first road series in 2023 be in Texas.