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  1. Super Nomario

    Pats QB Options

    He had no arm whatsoever his last year in Denver, but has arm was well below average in 2013 and 2014 when he put up those monster numbers (2012, too). He never got back his pre-2011 arm strength after multiple neck surgeries.
  2. Super Nomario

    Pats QB Options

    Again, I think Drew Brees is a pretty strong counter-example to this point, as is late-career Manning. Ceiling at QB, I would argue, is mostly defined by mental traits and technical traits. Brees had a weak arm but is arguably the most accurate QB of all time. Manning was as smart as any QB...
  3. Super Nomario

    Pats QB Options

    His 40 was averageish, as you say. His 3-cone and shuttle were also pretty much average. But having average speed and agility at 6'3" 228 pounds is really impressive. He has an 8.45 RAS. But if you don't consider size part of the physical traits, fine: what I'm really objecting to is...
  4. Super Nomario

    Pats QB Options

    I don't think that's an accurate characterization of Harry - he tested really well, he is just terrible against press and his route-running is bad. I would not have described him as "polished." A.J. Brown was a lot more polished coming out IMO. They've gotten burned on different kinds of guys...
  5. Super Nomario

    Pats QB Options

    This is basically what Belichick did in Cleveland. Their big QB move was Vinny Testaverde for a song after Testaverde washed out of Tampa Bay.
  6. Super Nomario

    Before the Draft: Tales told by idiots, full of sound and fury, signifying nothing

    Is this based on anything or are you just guessing? I think OL and DE are a lot less safe than you have them here.
  7. Super Nomario

    Before the Draft: Tales told by idiots, full of sound and fury, signifying nothing

    I wouldn't say it's not a skill; I would say that you've got 32 mostly smart people in mostly smart organizations dealing with roughly the same imperfect amount of information in an exercise (predicting the future) with a vast amount of uncertainty. I do think you can be shitty at drafting; I...
  8. Super Nomario

    Pats QB Options

    I think there's always stuff you can tell from the film and stuff you have to extrapolate from. For all his fewer attempts, Lance played in a more "pro style" offense than any of the other top QB prospects. So if you're the 49ers and you run a heavily under center, bootleg roll out, play action...
  9. Super Nomario

    Pats QB Options

    If they skipped the Pro Day, when they obviously need a QB, it would be too obvious they're interested and just skipping to make people think they're not interested. So they've got to send somebody so they don't tip teams off. Unless, teams realize that they have to send somebody or tip them...
  10. Super Nomario

    Pats QB Options

    It's not a great defensive class at the top. It will likely be the first year since 2012 an edge rusher doesn't go in the top 10, and a interior defensive lineman might not go in the top 20. You could argue the two best defensive prospects are Micah Parsons and Caleb Farley, and both opted out...
  11. Super Nomario

    wtf is the Davey O'Brien Award and how did Mac Jones win it?

    He had the best numbers this year.
  12. Super Nomario

    Pats QB Options

    He sat as a true freshman too, so if he sits an NFL year, it will be one season + one game played out of four seasons. The plus side with Lance is you hear nothing but A+ evaluations of his off-field, his whiteboard acumen, his understanding of the game, etc. NDSU runs a complex offense with...
  13. Super Nomario

    Pats QB Options

    If you move on from Ryan next offseason, you eat $40 MM against the 2022 cap, but then you're free and clear for 2023. So you sit your rookie QB this year, you've got next year where you're still eating leftover cap issues, and then you've got three years of cost control rookie with no Ryan...
  14. Super Nomario

    Pats QB Options

    Yes, that's why I said "other than those." Those are two cases where they did get younger. I may have phrased it confusingly. Two of those guys didn't play last year, and Jules only played 6 games, so none of that moves the needle in terms of team age. You've also got Hightower coming back...
  15. Super Nomario

    Pats QB Options

    My point in asking the question was to point out that most teams are not starting the QB taken first in his respective draft class. That's not a realistic opportunity to hold out for. Maybe the Falcons go your route and wind up fourth again in a draft that only has one good QB, or two, which is...
  16. Super Nomario

    Pats QB Options

    Probably not great. But can you build a better team around a rookie QB on a rookie contract than Matt Ryan making $43.6 MM (which is what his 2023 cap hit will be if they don't touch his contract again)? That I can believe.
  17. Super Nomario

    Pats QB Options

    Probably after the 2021 season. Maybe after 2022. Yes, and to be clear, I'm not arguing they should take a QB just to take him. They should do their due diligence on these guys, and decide if any of them has the traits they like, is a scheme fit, etc. (and FWIW, they appear to be doing so -...
  18. Super Nomario

    Pats QB Options

    Yeah, their Pythag was 7-9, which is what they finished both the two years before. They haven't done anything in FA because of their cap issues, so the team on paper is worse. Ryan turns 36 next month, Julio is 32 ... I think the ship has sailed on chasing a championship, and Ryan's contract...
  19. Super Nomario

    Pats QB Options

    They haven't really gotten younger. They signed FA on the young side, but other than Judon swapping in for John Simon and Jalen Mills replacing Jason McCourty, the FAs are replacing younger or same-aged players. Like Kendrick Bourne is young, but he's likely to take N'Keal Harry's snaps, so...
  20. Super Nomario

    Pats QB Options

    I don't agree. I actually wrote about it for ITP: http://insidethepylon.com/nfl/teams-nfl/nfc-south/atlanta-falcons/2021/04/05/atlantas-dilemma-at-four/