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    Book Review Needed

    Some one just called this to my attention because I wrote Epic Season about the 1948 pennant race. It sounds interesting but I'm confused. What is the purpose of the reviews you are looking for? Thanks. David Kaiser
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    Lou Merloni: Mookie asking price is 12 years, $420 million.

    Well, this morning Dan Shaughnessy (who effectively endorsed trading Betts some months ago when he compared him to Fred Lynn) and Peter Abraham finally saw the light, much too late, about Betts. I don't know if they could have stopped the trade but I wish they had tried harder. My point about...
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    Lou Merloni: Mookie asking price is 12 years, $420 million.

    Certainly for much of his tenure as owner John Henry wanted to win very badly and spent whatever he had to to do so. I'm saying the decision to trade Betts indicates that that era is over. Why, I can only speculate. Henry isn't getting any younger. More importantly, he now owns Liverpool, which...
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    Lou Merloni: Mookie asking price is 12 years, $420 million.

    "David, what were Verdugo and Gonsolin worth last year, and what do you see them worth next year? " Verdugo earned 0.7 WAA in 277 plate appearances which would project out to a little over 1.5 for a full season. Gonsolin wasn't in the majors enough to show meaningful statistics and I have no...
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    Lou Merloni: Mookie asking price is 12 years, $420 million.

    The trade of Mookie Betts, in my opinion, will mean the end of the Red Sox as serious contenders for the foreseeable future. Until now John Henry has always been willing to spend his money to make them as competitive as possible (and in fact has wasted a good deal.) Now he is going to give up...
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    Dan Shaughnessy: Taking a dump in your mouth one column at a time

    Reposting from another forum on the off season. This morning Dan Shaughnessy, whom I usually respect (partly because he answers emails), argues that Mookie Betts isn't any better than Fred Lynn or Nomar Garciaparra and that he should be traded, as they were when they were about his age. He is...
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    2019-20 Offseason Discussion

    Thanks, I'll repost it there.
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    2019-20 Offseason Discussion

    This morning Dan Shaughnessy, whom I usually respect (partly because he answers emails), argues that Mookie Betts isn't any better than Fred Lynn or Nomar Garciaparra and that he should be traded, as they were when they were about his age. He is totally, completely, demonstrably, absolutely...
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    Where the Red Sox have gone wrong

    Moreland so far is a totally average player and Pearce is worse.
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    Where the Red Sox have gone wrong

    Going back to square one after a few weeks: it does look as if the Red Sox had the answer to the second base problem in the minor leagues in Chavis. Don't forget, even an average performance--which he is way ahead of at this point--would mean several more wins than last year. Vazquez is also...
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    Where the Red Sox have gone wrong

    The Red Sox clinched the division in 2018 with 9 games to go. The difference between the 108 games they won and their projected 103 wins is about 50 runs. Thus, if Adrian Dome;s argument is correct, the Red Sox would have scored 50 runs more in their last 9 games, or given up 50 runs less in...
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    Where the Red Sox have gone wrong

    I completely agree with that and I was not reasoning from the start. Indeed I'm sorry I didn't make that whole post before the season started, as I easily could have.
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    Where the Red Sox have gone wrong

    So far, much of the bad Red Sox start has to be put down to bad luck, or random performance variance. There's no way that the team that won 108 games last year can be anywhere near this bad over a whole season. On the other hand, the Red Sox in my opinion did not assess themselves...
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    Craig Kimbrel: Dominant Closer

    I like to think I've learned to take the long view about players and teams, and not to jump on anyone for a couple of bad performances. Kimbrel, however, obviously has no business on the mound at all the way he's pitching now. He doesn't seem to want to throw his fastball, which is weird. I...
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    Price is right

    My point was that the expectation that Price would be an ace and dominant in post season was not justified by his record. It gave the expectation that he would be a somewhat above average starting pitcher but not the kind of guy who makes the difference between winning the pennant, or not...
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    Price is right

    The Boston press is cranked up to blame David Price for the loss of today's game, with frequent references to the size of his contract ($217 million) and an implication that he didn't deserve it or has failed to perform up to expectations after signing it. I hope that Price does well tonight...
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    Red Sox Post Season roster-ALDS- 2018 edition

    David KaiserMemberSoSH Member Messages: 11 I apologize that this is not exactly on topic, but it looks like the best place to post a comment on the Red Sox's postseason chances. I would guess this has come up here. Looking at run differential it turns out that the Red Sox aren't the best team...
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    Red Sox Post Season roster-ALDS- 2018 edition

    Put this in the wrong place, sorry.
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    Red Sox acquire Ian Kinsler

    If Kinsler stays healthy his acquisition will help the Red Sox significantly. Kinsler this year is a slightly above average player overall, thanks in part to a superb season he's having in the field (DRA shows him saving 15 runs so far this year--this is the best year he's had in a while, so...
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    The 2018 Lineup

    My new book, Baseball Greatness: Top Players and Teams According to Wins Above Average, 1901-2017, was published earlier this month. You can listen to me discuss it on a podcast here, if you wish--note there are several ways to reach the podcast--and it's available here, where you can also see...