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  1. Stitch01

    2018 AFCCG: Jags v. Pats (Non-Brady Edition)

    Teaser where they get middled on 7 and 3 doesnt really balance out Jags money (and I dont think Jags/Pats money ends up that unbalanced)
  2. Stitch01

    2018 AFCCG: Jags v. Pats (Non-Brady Edition)

    Didnt go through a key number, but line moved from -9.5 to 8. Which means books are somewhat OK with a teaser which is....interesting.
  3. Stitch01

    2018 AFCCG: Jags v. Pats (Non-Brady Edition)

    Yeah, that's why I said DVOA typically overrates the Patriots running game. It also cant separate the fact out that teams have to defend Tom Brady. But they rarely lose yardage, they are somewhat effective in power situations, and Lewis ranks as one of the best backs in the league by...
  4. Stitch01

    2018 AFCCG: Jags v. Pats (Non-Brady Edition)

    Weighted defense is 22nd, which seems about right to a touch light to me. Not sure why you wouldnt think the Pats are a good running team. Lewis grades very well by statistical and subjective measures. Even if you dont believe in DVOA as a bit of a black box (and it does historically tend to...
  5. Stitch01

    2018 AFCCG: Jags v. Pats (Non-Brady Edition)

    Weighted run defense likely better, Dareus seemed to help their run defense a lot. This is a matchup where Edelman's injury is costly.
  6. Stitch01

    2018 AFCCG: Jags v. Pats (Non-Brady Edition)

    Yeah, its probably going to be the easiest playoff path the Pats have had (certainly will be if Philly wins). But Atlanta, New Orleans, Pittsburgh, and KC (so far) weren't up to the challenge and no one else in the AFC was up to challenge of being the one seed and in position to benefit from the...
  7. Stitch01

    BBtL Discussion: Slated for Off-season

    I think you hit on the one real messageboard quality issue here. Taking shots at other teams, whatever, its part of sports messageboarding. I didnt think any of the Atlanta stuff was over the top. I have noticed occasional shots at Atlanta (and I think posted once) that I dont really...
  8. Stitch01

    The Nation's Tears: Volume II

    Ravens are, and will always be, the worst. Not only are they an easy to hate franchise replete with holier-than-though scumbags, but when the Patriots play the Ravens we get to deal with Raven derangement syndrome where their 3-8* record against BB/Brady Pats is supposed to show some sort of...
  9. Stitch01

    Divisional Round Gamethread

    Ha, didn’t know Harbaugh’s cheating caused a rule change.
  10. Stitch01

    Divisional Round Gamethread

    Yes this was likely correct strategy And yes line closed 5.5 if you did any line shopping so a dramatic last few minutes. Pete Carroll ran for two to cover in the terry glenn/PI game in 1998 in a similar scenario.
  11. Stitch01

    Divisional Round Gamethread

    Prep for Pats rematch full time prep plan seems to have a flaw..
  12. Stitch01

    2018 AFCCG: Jags v. Pats (Non-Brady Edition)

    Jags but most interested in Philly winning of remaining potential non Pat games
  13. Stitch01

    Patriots vs. Titans Divisional Playoff: The Buildup

    The players on the team shouldnt be overlooking the game. Its a pretty boring game as a fan. Its not much different from the Bills coming to town week 16, higher stakes I guess but the Pats arent going to lose this game barring some sort of crazy injury situation. I can't say Im particularly...
  14. Stitch01

    This Year's ESPN Hit Piece

    He threw an interceptable pass to start that Steeler drive, but I think this post sums it up nicely. Also wanted to note, that Steeler game was the Pats third straight road game, fifth road game in six weeks, the road trips included a two week stint to Mexico City and Denver, and they got the...
  15. Stitch01

    This Year's ESPN Hit Piece

    I have to confess, I am 100% lost at to what Patricia taking the Giants job is supposed to mean. Does it mean he was the source? BB was the source? Coordinators are leaving so BB could threaten Kraft? I dont understand the contention.
  16. Stitch01

    Patriots vs. Titans Divisional Playoff: The Buildup

    Yeah Texans last year were worse. Tebow Broncos probably, but this Pats team is a little better than the ‘11 team. Fuck the football gods, its the lol Titans
  17. Stitch01

    Celebrating What Is

    You wanted BB fired before the Super Bowl because of deflategate and said it made you embarassed to be a Pats fan. People forget that.
  18. Stitch01

    This Year's ESPN Hit Piece

    How does the ESPN article make it less likely BB leaves? He can just talk to Kraft directly. He's not going to need favorable press to set up his next opportunity if he leaves. I dont really understand this "100% of decision making" either. BB talking with Kraft about major personnel moves...
  19. Stitch01

    This Year's ESPN Hit Piece

    Probably better for Backwash, and its not aimed at Buck because I dont think he's trolling here, but +1 on the broader sentiment. Sometimes faux mods like to blindly cape up for dissenting opinions even if they come in the form of bad posts (and not bad as in "this opinion is bad" but bad as in...
  20. Stitch01

    This Year's ESPN Hit Piece

    Why exactly do we think its one source rather than Wickersham taking bits and pieces he heard from a handful of people and then crafting what he thinks is the story out of that color? Which disclosure is such a specific bombshell that its trackable and fireable? Its not like they have people...