Euro 2020, round of 16, day 4: ENGvGER, SWEvUKR

Nick Kaufman

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I am not a Sterling hater at all, and think he is a really talented player who brings a lot to the table and should be in the team sheet every week.

He's killed England today. It feels like a half-dozen times he has tried to dribble through 4+ defenders instead of making the quick pass to a teammate making a dangerous run.
even though he scored the goal, I agree. And he sold the ball to Germany which led to Mueller missing the unmissable chance.
 

BaseballJones

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Wow you just don't see top players miss that kind of chance that often. Basically had half the goal wide open.
 

coremiller

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Can we get a moratorium on announcers declaring "Surely that seals the victory" after going into a two-goal lead, at least for 24 hours after yesterday?
 

dirtynine

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Regardless of what England do from here on out, I imagine beating both Scotland and Germany in a big tourney would be a pretty satisfying memory.
 

Dummy Hoy

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I’m going to go the other way. In spite of Southgate, England are better and Germany haven’t looked good to me except when Portugal failed to adjust to Gosens. Southgate looks to be making potentially a similar mistake starting 2 CDMs like Portugal did but it looks like he may have matched wingbacks and I just don’t know if Germany can create if you nullify them wide. I predict a cagey England win followed by a soul crushing defeat to Sweden because England are still England
looks like this to me. The English (fans and media, hope not players and staff for their sake) will walk away from this thinking how great they are, when they really didn’t play that well and pretty easily could have lost this one. Credit for pulling this one out, some nice combinations led to goals, but I don’t think either team impressed today.
 

DennyDoyle'sBoil

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I'm not sure if England are good enough to win the tournament but there is one thing I sure as fuck do know.

David Beckham sure is handsome.
 

Nick Kaufman

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looks like this to me. The English (fans and media, hope not players and staff for their sake) will walk away from this thinking how great they are, when they really didn’t play that well and pretty easily could have lost this one. Credit for pulling this one out, some nice combinations led to goals, but I don’t think either team impressed today.
They don't play well upfront, but their defense is a tough nut to crack. I still think they are mediocre, but they have an easy bracket and home field advantage if they go into the semis.
 

Philip Jeff Frye

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looks like this to me. The English (fans and media, hope not players and staff for their sake) will walk away from this thinking how great they are, when they really didn’t play that well and pretty easily could have lost this one. Credit for pulling this one out, some nice combinations led to goals, but I don’t think either team impressed today.
Yeah, they beat a German team that is clearly not up to past standards, but this is going to create too much expectation. Everyone in England is going to see a clear road to the final, just like the Dutch were doing a few days ago.
 

Kliq

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People have given very reasonable explanations for rooting against England, but I love this stuff. So much fun.
 

singaporesoxfan

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I don't know why England suddenly look so more dangerous since Grealish came on, Saka is just as good as he is.
I've loved Grealish's play this season, and I think there was something about how he distributed the ball from the wing after he came on that nicely counterbalanced the tendency of Sterling this game to over-dribble
 

Kliq

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I think Southgate got it right. The defense did its job and prevented Germany from getting too many great chances to score, and controlled the ball well on offense. They were not particularly efficient on offense, but they were able to create two good chances to score and converted on both of them thanks to solid play on the wing for Shaw. His subs were well-timed and made a big difference in the game.
 

DennyDoyle'sBoil

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I think Southgate got it right. The defense did its job and prevented Germany from getting too many great chances to score, and controlled the ball well on offense. They were not particularly efficient on offense, but they were able to create two good chances to score and converted on both of them thanks to solid play on the wing for Shaw. His subs were well-timed and made a big difference in the game.
Yeah, I buy that analysis. And credit to Pickford for paying it off and doing what he needed to do to make it work.
 

coremiller

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I think Southgate got it right. The defense did its job and prevented Germany from getting too many great chances to score, and controlled the ball well on offense. They were not particularly efficient on offense, but they were able to create two good chances to score and converted on both of them thanks to solid play on the wing for Shaw. His subs were well-timed and made a big difference in the game.
Disagree. I think Southgate did not anticipate how conservative the Germans would be. He wanted two pacey wide forwards to get in behind Kane on counters because he expected Germany to attack aggressively like they did in the group stage, hence playing Saka. His plan was to soak up pressure and then hit Germany with pacey counters. When Germany didn't play that way, Saka was useless (he never got on the ball in space) and England had no Plan B for how to attack because they had no creative midfield players to link things together and play combinations. He waited too long to make any changes.

Through about 70 minutes I thought Germany were slightly the better side. England created NOTHING before the Sterling goal, they had only like 3 shots up to that point. And for a team playing extremely negatively they still gave up a good chance to Werner on a break and Havertz' half-chance that Pickford saved, plus that Muller chance at the end.

Bringing on Grealish was the right move and it changed the game immediately, but even there Southgate waited 15 minutes too long to do it.

The xG ended up basically even. The difference in the game was that England created two good chances and converted both, while Germany created two good chances and converted neither.
 

Kliq

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Disagree. I think Southgate did not anticipate how conservative the Germans would be. He wanted two pacey wide forwards to get in behind Kane on counters because he expected Germany to attack aggressively like they did in the group stage, hence playing Saka. His plan was to soak up pressure and then hit Germany with pacey counters. When Germany didn't play that way, Saka was useless (he never got on the ball in space) and England had no Plan B for how to attack because they had no creative midfield players to link things together and play combinations. He waited too long to make any changes.

Through about 70 minutes I thought Germany were slightly the better side. England created NOTHING before the Sterling goal, they had only like 3 shots up to that point. And for a team playing extremely negatively they still gave up a good chance to Werner on a break and Havertz' half-chance that Pickford saved, plus that Muller chance at the end.

Bringing on Grealish was the right move and it changed the game immediately, but even there Southgate waited 15 minutes too long to do it.

The xG ended up basically even. The difference in the game was that England created two good chances and converted both, while Germany created two good chances and converted neither.
I think the disagreement we might have is that I didn't see England's weak first half as a coaching problem, more like that some of England's players, particularly Sterling, did not make the correct play at certain times which limited their chances for real scoring opportunities. When Grealish came on and Sterling moved moved over, there was better, more incisive play which created the two goals.

I also think it's not particularly fair to say that each team had two good chances created for them, and assess that to the tactics of the manager(s). Germany's first scoring chance with Werner imo was not an amazing opportunity; the pass took Werner wide and Stones really closed down the angle and Pickford did a great job rushing him so it was actually a pretty difficult finish. The second chance was a great chance to score, but was also created by just a terrible give-away which is basically luck. England's two chances were straight tap-ins.
 

Kliq

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Isak and Kulusveski up top together for Sweden; really interesting.

Don't let Yarmalenko get it on his left, guys!
 

Nick Kaufman

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I think Southgate wanted first and foremost to preserve a clean sheet, if something materialized, great, if not, he had the options to apply pressure on the late game.

I keep thinking that the 5 substitute change the way a game can be managed and that 5 sets of fresh legs can make a far bigger difference vs a tired team.
 

Philip Jeff Frye

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I think the disagreement we might have is that I didn't see England's weak first half as a coaching problem, more like that some of England's players, particularly Sterling, did not make the correct play at certain times which limited their chances for real scoring opportunities. When Grealish came on and Sterling moved moved over, there was better, more incisive play which created the two goals.

I also think it's not particularly fair to say that each team had two good chances created for them, and assess that to the tactics of the manager(s). Germany's first scoring chance with Werner imo was not an amazing opportunity; the pass took Werner wide and Stones really closed down the angle and Pickford did a great job rushing him so it was actually a pretty difficult finish. The second chance was a great chance to score, but was also created by just a terrible give-away which is basically luck. England's two chances were straight tap-ins.
Definitely agree on the first German chance. If anybody but Werner did that, the commentary would be "Oooh, that was a good chance, might have scored there, but Pickford did well to react as he did." As it was, the ball almost squirted through Pickford's legs - he kind of saved it with his ass. But because it was Timo "I've missed 836 chances this season" Werner, it's a flub.
 

Kliq

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Definitely agree on the first German chance. If anybody but Werner did that, the commentary would be "Oooh, that was a good chance, might have scored there, but Pickford did well to react as he did." As it was, the ball almost squirted through Pickford's legs - he kind of saved it with his ass. But because it was Timo "I've missed 836 chances this season" Werner, it's a flub.
It was a chance that would take a really good finish; I think that its substantially different than Kane/Sterling with ended up with squared balls in front of empty nets from inside the six yard box.
 

speedracer

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I keep thinking that the 5 substitute change the way a game can be managed and that 5 sets of fresh legs can make a far bigger difference vs a tired team.
Curious as to why this seems to be much more the case in this tournament than over the last year+ of league play?