Recent content by NobodyInteresting

Here in the UK we've already seen one sport (F1) replaced on TV by its esport equivalent...at least as a one off. It was...strange. I actually think F1 or any kind of motorsport is probably the easiest to replace with a computerised version - the simulations there are closer to reality than in...

Doesn't everyone who has two (or more) children know how to solve this? It's basically the same problem as dividing a cake fairly, no? No kick off in overtime. Team A chooses the ball starting position. Team B then chooses which team starts with the ball. Then you play with the current rules...

The overwhelming hatred for the 3 hitter minimum proposal is interesting to me, because I like that idea a lot. I find "real-time" baseball excruciatingly slow (I actually took advantage of being in the UK to watch the games last year the following morning at 1.5x speed and nothing, including...

Ridiculous as it sounds, I actually remember seeing a rugby sevens international in which this scenario happened. New Zealand (utterly dominant) v Japan (pretty new to international rugby at the time). The all blacks won the ball on every single kick-off, scored on every possession, racked up...

Of course, it's thinking that this is what the models are saying that is causing the people who understand what the models are actually saying to suggest that the people who don't understand what the models are saying don't understand what the models are saying. If you see what I'm saying.

FWIW, Fangraphs defensive values are one of the few stats that don't update nightly (or at least they haven't in previous years). I'm not sure how frequently they update, or when the last update was, but the numbers they're currently displaying could be a week or more out of date.

I got several posts into the thread before I realised they were talking about last year. Uncanny how similar his start has been this year. Alas I suspect a .600 BABIP may be too much to hope for going forward. Fangraphs projections agree, expecting a miserly 249/307/353 for the rest of the...

I hope he's got an early tee-time next weekend. Getting in 36 holes in a day is tougher than it seems.

Whenever my girlfriend makes fun of TBs "rushing" abilities (which is quite often) I point out that he ranks 3rd among active players in playoff rushing TDs. That's 3rd among all players, not 3rd among QBs. (Brady has 6, behind only Blount with 8 and Lynch with 9)...

While I don't disagree that Margot is likely going to be the main value traded, Brock Holt has provided around $30m of surplus value to the Red Sox (per Fangraphs). If Asauje does the same for San Diego, and I think a Holt-like path looks a reasonable possibility at this point, that's the kind...

They do. Projections include expectations of playing time for the actual personnel at the club, updated daily(ish)

You're not kidding. I'm away with no tv/internet access for three weeks starting on the 19th. It's a scheduling disgrace not to put the days off then.

FWIW, Chapman pitched 15.1 meaningful innings for the Cubs last year, since they were all but guaranteed a playoff spot before his arrival. He finished with a postseason ERA of 3.45 with 4 saves and 3 blown saves. His WPA was 0.17. I think describing him as "a big part" is generous. The Cubs...

Mookie Betts wRC+ since he joined the team: 129, 119, 135, 116 (YTD). His minor league numbers: 103, 160, 166, 177, 158 Xander Bogaerts wRC+ since he joined the team 85, 81, 109, 113, 112 His minor league numbers: 145, 123, 144, 159, 153, 133 Even if you believe completely that Lin's 139 wRC+...

It is what it is. When you're predicting one single baseball stat off another single baseball stat 0.3 is completely reasonable. To put that number in context, the Rsq means the correlation is just over 0.50. By comparison, correlation of AVG from one year to the next is lower than that (0.427...