Recent content by Jack Rabbit Slim

  1. J

    Revised contract predictions for Snell and Montgomery

    5/130 guaranteed PLUS opt outs is way too much imo. If he goes the 1 yr opt out route it will be more like 3/75 or 4/90 guaranteed. But I don't think it makes any sense for JM to do that since he will likely never be in a better position than this offseason (age, prior years performance). I...
  2. J

    Should the Sox sell high on Jarren Duran?

    I voted trade Duran, but not really for the reason listed. I think there is enough in the bat to make him a starting caliber outfielder, he just isn't a very good fit for the Red Sox in particular. I don't believe he will ever be anything more than slightly below average defensively in CF, but...
  3. J

    Offseason rumors

    Well in this scenario they would be trading just one of Houck/Crawford for Hunter Brown, a 25 year old starting pitcher who pitched 155 innings at a 5.09 ERA/4.37 FIP in his first full year. I would prefer to add Brown to the rotation mix and keep both, but I don't see anyway Houston would make...
  4. J

    Offseason rumors

    Just for something else to discuss.... There was an article today that the Astros are looking for a LHH OF with speed to share CF with Jake Meyers. Obviously that describes Jarren Duran quite well, so I was curious if there was anything to match up with in Houston for a trade. They are all...
  5. J

    Let's Lay Off That Throttle

    The article below clearly lists the Red Sox as one of four likely remaining suitors, along with the Rangers, Giants and Angels. I am not sure how that is anything other than "one of the final teams in the running". MLBTR Poll: Jordan Montgomery's Market - MLB Trade Rumors
  6. J

    The Red Sox Payroll Poll

    The Red Sox traded for Hosmer with San Diego sending along enough money to cover his entire contract other than the major league minimum. The Sox then DFA Hosmer and no one claimed him, so they are on the hook for the rest of his contract (this year and next year at ML minimum are all that...
  7. J

    The Red Sox Payroll Poll

    Hosmer has the major league minimum count against the LT for the next 2 years. Turner counts for $4.15M against the LT this year because of his unusually large buyout on his player option.
  8. J

    Offseason rumors

    Not that I am necessarily disagreeing that the Sox should go over the threshold, but Giolito could definitely get a QO at the end of the year. The fact that they set the deal up so he would only be a free agent if he had a good year (and thus would likely get a big contract) makes me think they...
  9. J

    Offseason rumors

    Small quibble - they would also get worse compensation picks for any QOs they offer.
  10. J

    To Exceed the CBT, or not . . . that is the question

    Preamble – apologies for the incredibly long post, but I think going through the fine details is the only way to do this. Maybe this should be its own thread, but it seemed to fit some of the discussion being had here. There has been a lot of discussion lately around the remaining budget with...
  11. J

    Offseason rumors

    Is anyone else very intrigued by Harold Ramirez? 29 year old RHH DH/1B/LF who put OPS+ of 118 and 125 the last 2 years. He is not good defensively so he should mostly DH, but he has enough experience to backup Casas and Yoshida. He has 2 arb years remaining (maybe a total of $10-12M?) and...
  12. J

    Offseason rumors

    I would say the most interesting thing from this quote is Boras' mouthpiece saying Montgomery might get $160M, implying current offers are below that. 6/150 for Montgomery seems like a perfectly cromulent deal for the Sox.
  13. J

    2023 Offseason MLB News/Rumors Thread

    Every SOSHer in Boston better be out mopping the streets for Yamamoto.
  14. J

    What does the Red Sox middle infield look like in 2024?

    With the Padres outfield now Tatis and two question marks, does Duran for Kim get the Padres interested? FWIW, BTV shows Duran as twice as valuable but I have less confidence in that site every time I look at it. Kim only has 1 year of control left @ $8M (2025 looks to be a mutual option) but...
  15. J

    What does Red Sox starting pitching look like in 2024?

    There is definitely more uncertainty with Lugo but I think that is also reflected in the price. If he was a regular 33 year old starting pitcher that just put up that line, he is probably looking at $100M+ instead of half that. Also, calling it a career year seems like a strange use of that...