Recent content by greenmountains

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    My Ideal Metric - TOTAL bases

    A Home Run is 4 total bases with 1 AB....while 4 singles is 4 total bases in 4 AB's. So a home run is worth 4x a single when accumulated; triple 3x; and double 2x. The question I have is should a base on balls also be considered a AB (for this metric). In isolation, why would a walk (1 base...
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    Red Sox, Ceddanne Rafaela agree to contract extension

    Baseball Analysts (Jason Stark, Buster Olney, Tim Kurkjian, Jeff Passan) think he has game changing defense. I think it was Stark who said "he's already one the top 10 defensive outfielders in the game, with the ability to be the best defensive centerfielder in baseball for many year."...
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    March/April: Red Sox discussion, observations and trend tracking...AKA It's not all about the Benjamins

    I'm a Rafaela fanboy....the batting eye seemed improved in ST. And it looked real in game one (yes, I know...very small, irrelevant sample size). Pencil him into CF for the then 12 years. I like how Tyler O'Neal plays the game. I like that Trevor Story seems to calm everyone down. I think...
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    Who Should The Sox Extend?

    From Baseball Prospectus - COTS contracts....Here's what I have. (In my view, "Best Time" to extend is to buy out last two years of Arbitration and 3 years of Free Agency. That will give the player some life changing money and the team a deal. That changes when the player is a clear All...
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    Offseason rumors

    I'm skeptical about Rafaela's decision making / free swinging. However his defense in game changing. I'd live with his offense in order to get his glove out there. I think JBJ level of performance....with breakthru potential if he ever finds the strike zone judgement. I'm just skeptical...
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    Offseason rumors

    Emphasis added by me. I'd simply qualify this with a question about what is profitable? If the Boston Red Sox enterprise loses 25 million operating year after year, but the Franchise value increases 75 million year after year - that investment is growing by 50m annually. The 25m is cash...
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    How much better can we get by just not playing stupid?

    OF Defense - This is why I want Rafaela in CF day 1. Let him play plus defense and make the right plays. I think Duran will never be anything other than passable...I'm not bullish on him. Rafaela is close to JBJ as his floor. If the CFer can cover 44% of the outfield (plus 5% in each...
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    The Fallacy of the Anthony/Mayer/Teel "Window"

    Only direct quotes....the article doesn't say anything we don't already know / haven't discussed. Zero discussion of others. “We’ve been ferociously protecting prospects in our minor-league system for a long time, going back to 2020, 2021,” Kennedy said. “And I think we’re at the stage now...
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    The Fallacy of the Anthony/Mayer/Teel "Window"

    https://theathletic.com/5220049/2024/01/23/red-sox-marcelo-mayer-roman-anthony-kyle-teel-expectations/ Good article on Mayer, Anthony and Teel for those with subscription. I don't know how much I can cut and paste here without raising the ire.
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    The Fallacy of the Anthony/Mayer/Teel "Window"

    Grissom isn't a big bet. As a Chris Sale fan, the Sox jettisoned a 15 to 20 start pitcher with overmarket contract. Grissom is a good prospect, and hopefully he fills the blackhole that is second base. But look across the field today and into tomorrow for cost controlled player that are...
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    Let's Lay Off That Throttle

    100% Here's what Breslow can't say....."It doesn't matter what another team offers, we are going to outbid them. We need a starting pitcher and we will not be denied." It's Scott F'ing Boras. He knows how much the Sox need pitching. But you at least have to keep him from putting his...
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    Offseason rumors

    Didn't Sonny Gray go from Oakland to NYY....and struggle his ass off? He looked like a #2 floor when the Yankees traded for him and was out of town within 1 1/2 years. Some can't handle the big market pressure. Sonny Gray appears to be that guy who couldn't handle the big lights (at least in...
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    State Taxes Where They Play. And Canada

    I'm not sure of California rules. But every individual taxpayer is a Cash Basis, not an Accrual Basis, taxpayer. Therefore income is taxed when paid, not when earned. It's why people defer a December payment / bonus until January. The tax on that bonus is not due until April of the...
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    Not our Star Blazer: Yamamoto signs with the Dodgers for $325 million, 12 years

    Maybe....this is why the Sox let this be known. YY, bring your own interpetor when you sign with us. Didn't YY confirm he was coming to Fenway for a visit? Do did I make that up?
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    Offseason rumors

    Didn't Sonny Gray implode during his time in NY? I want nothing to do with any guy that can't handle the heat. He can prosper in Oak, Minn, Cincy, but there is evidence that he didn't handle the limelight. New York, Boston, Philly are just different places.