Recent content by David Kaiser

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    Book Review Needed

    Some one just called this to my attention because I wrote Epic Season about the 1948 pennant race. It sounds interesting but I'm confused. What is the purpose of the reviews you are looking for? Thanks. David Kaiser
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    Lou Merloni: Mookie asking price is 12 years, $420 million.

    Well, this morning Dan Shaughnessy (who effectively endorsed trading Betts some months ago when he compared him to Fred Lynn) and Peter Abraham finally saw the light, much too late, about Betts. I don't know if they could have stopped the trade but I wish they had tried harder. My point about...
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    Lou Merloni: Mookie asking price is 12 years, $420 million.

    Certainly for much of his tenure as owner John Henry wanted to win very badly and spent whatever he had to to do so. I'm saying the decision to trade Betts indicates that that era is over. Why, I can only speculate. Henry isn't getting any younger. More importantly, he now owns Liverpool, which...
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    Lou Merloni: Mookie asking price is 12 years, $420 million.

    "David, what were Verdugo and Gonsolin worth last year, and what do you see them worth next year? " Verdugo earned 0.7 WAA in 277 plate appearances which would project out to a little over 1.5 for a full season. Gonsolin wasn't in the majors enough to show meaningful statistics and I have no...
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    Lou Merloni: Mookie asking price is 12 years, $420 million.

    The trade of Mookie Betts, in my opinion, will mean the end of the Red Sox as serious contenders for the foreseeable future. Until now John Henry has always been willing to spend his money to make them as competitive as possible (and in fact has wasted a good deal.) Now he is going to give up...
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    Dan Shaughnessy: Taking a dump in your mouth one column at a time

    Reposting from another forum on the off season. This morning Dan Shaughnessy, whom I usually respect (partly because he answers emails), argues that Mookie Betts isn't any better than Fred Lynn or Nomar Garciaparra and that he should be traded, as they were when they were about his age. He is...
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    2019-20 Offseason Discussion

    Thanks, I'll repost it there.
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    2019-20 Offseason Discussion

    This morning Dan Shaughnessy, whom I usually respect (partly because he answers emails), argues that Mookie Betts isn't any better than Fred Lynn or Nomar Garciaparra and that he should be traded, as they were when they were about his age. He is totally, completely, demonstrably, absolutely...
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    Where the Red Sox have gone wrong

    Moreland so far is a totally average player and Pearce is worse.
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    Where the Red Sox have gone wrong

    Going back to square one after a few weeks: it does look as if the Red Sox had the answer to the second base problem in the minor leagues in Chavis. Don't forget, even an average performance--which he is way ahead of at this point--would mean several more wins than last year. Vazquez is also...
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    Where the Red Sox have gone wrong

    The Red Sox clinched the division in 2018 with 9 games to go. The difference between the 108 games they won and their projected 103 wins is about 50 runs. Thus, if Adrian Dome;s argument is correct, the Red Sox would have scored 50 runs more in their last 9 games, or given up 50 runs less in...
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    Where the Red Sox have gone wrong

    I completely agree with that and I was not reasoning from the start. Indeed I'm sorry I didn't make that whole post before the season started, as I easily could have.
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    Where the Red Sox have gone wrong

    So far, much of the bad Red Sox start has to be put down to bad luck, or random performance variance. There's no way that the team that won 108 games last year can be anywhere near this bad over a whole season. On the other hand, the Red Sox in my opinion did not assess themselves...
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    Craig Kimbrel: Dominant Closer

    I like to think I've learned to take the long view about players and teams, and not to jump on anyone for a couple of bad performances. Kimbrel, however, obviously has no business on the mound at all the way he's pitching now. He doesn't seem to want to throw his fastball, which is weird. I...
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    Price is right

    My point was that the expectation that Price would be an ace and dominant in post season was not justified by his record. It gave the expectation that he would be a somewhat above average starting pitcher but not the kind of guy who makes the difference between winning the pennant, or not...