Recent content by allmanbro

  1. allmanbro

    In the minors, a major change as the Atlantic League plans to move the mound back a foot

    I don't really like the double hook rule, but it might mean fewer mid-inning pitching changes, which would be OK by me - probably not by a lot. This might be an interesting wrinkle: instead of saying you only get to DH for the starting pitcher, why not say "you can only DH for one pitcher" -...
  2. allmanbro

    In the minors, a major change as the Atlantic League plans to move the mound back a foot

    A couple lines of thinking might connect this to HR specifically: by cutting down on Ks, hitters might feel less like they have to go all-in on those few times they can make contact, so the hitting strategy shifts towards line drives for singles/doubles. You could also think that this move would...
  3. allmanbro

    Maybe the Red Sox are good?

    Going in, I figured this was an 82-85 win team. They are already 3 games ahead of that pace. Those wins in the bank, so even if they play at that expected level going forward, the new range is 85-88. That might put them at the fringe of WC competition. But I also think it's reasonable to tack on...
  4. allmanbro

    Following Former Red Sox 2021 Edition

    I'm sure the standards of loving the game are very different: it's one thing to watch and read about it obsessively as a fan, it's another to spend 6 months of the year constantly on the road, beating up your body every day, and knowing that it could all fall apart instantly with one injury or a...
  5. allmanbro

    Following Former Red Sox 2021 Edition

    Ya, I think you are right that that was the intended meaning - not the clearest way of saying that. And agreed, that would have made sense for Mookie, if it's what he did.
  6. allmanbro

    Following Former Red Sox 2021 Edition

    The first two sentences in that quote seem to contradict one another - the way a lot of discussions of this do, ultimately saying nothing. I just don't think we can really confidently evaluate that process unless we have actual numbers of what was offered and what Mookie would have accepted...
  7. allmanbro

    Benintendi to Royals for Franchy Cordero, Mets RHP prospect Josh Winckowski, and 3 PTBNLs

    Ya, in one of those threads, I suggested cutting the controllable years down (maybe to 4) and massively increasing the MLB minimum. I think those changes would help solve a few problems.
  8. allmanbro

    Benintendi to Royals for Franchy Cordero, Mets RHP prospect Josh Winckowski, and 3 PTBNLs

    Well, if you change the incentives in the game, you make certain skillsets more valuable, which will then change the free agent market and get different kinds of players paid. The arbitration system is a weird backwater in that sequence - presumably it would filter down eventually if arb awards...
  9. allmanbro

    Spring Training 2021

    This is a great post and explanation. It really bothered me recently when the usually so great Joe Posnanski also trotted out the same line in his spring training summary of the Sox (paywalled). The bottom line is that the Sox had a ton of holes opening up, and almost nothing to look forward to...
  10. allmanbro

    MLB to Test Larger Bases, Defensive Positioning Restrictions in Minors in 2021

    So would moving back the strike plane: hitters can step back in the box and wait until the ball gets the the shoulder of the plate, rather than the front of the plate. If 8.5 inches makes a difference, it doesn't matter if it comes from the mound or the plate.
  11. allmanbro

    MLB to Test Larger Bases, Defensive Positioning Restrictions in Minors in 2021

    Interesting that he calls them optical illusions - really it seems like the lesson is that actually sticking to the 3d zone gives pitchers too big of an advantage. That seems like a reasonable worry to me. I still think a flat zone a couple inches back from the front of the plate better matches...
  12. allmanbro

    MLB to Test Larger Bases, Defensive Positioning Restrictions in Minors in 2021

    Especially because they are putting the plane at the front of the plate. We should have the pitchfx data to tell us how many pitches that would impact, so hopefully someone somewhere with those abilities wants to write that article. If you have to use a plane, I would guess that placing it at...
  13. allmanbro

    MLB to Test Larger Bases, Defensive Positioning Restrictions in Minors in 2021

    Ya, it will be interesting to see. Either way, hopefully the deadened ball will make a difference. That's by far this biggest issue.
  14. allmanbro

    MLB to Test Larger Bases, Defensive Positioning Restrictions in Minors in 2021

    A bunt against the shift has a single as the best-case outcome, and is not trivial to pull off. A hard line drive into a shiftless RF could be a single, double, or even triple or HR if it bounces right or carries. Lowering your launch angle is not the same as just taking a single. The question...