NBA 20/21 season thread

benhogan

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While the Holliday deal is a fleecing this is a steal for Bucks. Why would Sac do this? Why wouldn’t someone top it?
Bog is a 3pt sniper that shoots 37% from 3 and plays mediocre defense... they paid for an upgrade on offense (and a downgrade on defense). Bog is a nice player. Hield gets his starting spot back

If this gets Giannis to sign on the line that is dotted then it's worth it, otherwise, nothing much to see here.
 
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lovegtm

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Man, this is all wild. I'm old enough to remember an expiring Kawhi Leonard going for almost 0 value.

I guess the demise of the Warriors has (correctly) convinced a ton of teams that they have a legit shot?

That Brogdon no-deal is looking awful. The heuristic in the NBA should be that, absent a really good reason, you always retain your restricted guys if they have on-court value and are positive-value deals. You figure out the tax part later: there will always be a cap-room team that will facilitate a 3-teamer if necessary.
 

benhogan

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Man, this is all wild. I'm old enough to remember an expiring Kawhi Leonard going for almost 0 value.

I guess the demise of the Warriors has (correctly) convinced a ton of teams that they have a legit shot?

That Brogdon no-deal is looking awful. The heuristic in the NBA should be that, absent a really good reason, you always retain your restricted guys if they have on-court value and are positive-value deals. You figure out the tax part later: there will always be a cap-room team that will facilitate a 3-teamer if necessary.
Yep, should have kept El Presidente

I wanted the C's to sign/trade for Brogdon last Summer, instead, Danny opted for Kemba

I wonder if Mil used that Indy 1st they got from Brogdon in the Pels deal?
 

scottyno

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Yep, should have kept El Presidente

I wanted the C's to sign/trade for Brogdon last Summer, instead, Danny opted for Kemba

I wonder if Mil used that Indy 1st they got from Brogdon in the Pels deal?
They did, because the Cs already have the bucks 1st this year
 

BigSoxFan

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Jrue Holiday is 30. Why is he going to convince Giannis to stay? What a terrible trade.
 

Jed Zeppelin

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I do feel for teams in smaller markets that have prodigious talents they can’t hang onto (it’s hard to win a championship!), but this is wild and I can’t help but root for this to blow up in their faces.
 

wade boggs chicken dinner

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I do feel for teams in smaller markets that have prodigious talents they can’t hang onto (it’s hard to win a championship!), but this is wild and I can’t help but root for this to blow up in their faces.
Why? So Giannis can go play with LeBron or KD?

Obviously, Giannis gave them their marching orders. Agreed that this is a cascade result from not signing Brogdon but desperate times call for desperate measures. Besides, if Giannis leaves, who in ownership cares if they suck for five years or 10?
 

Average Game James

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I do feel for teams in smaller markets that have prodigious talents they can’t hang onto (it’s hard to win a championship!), but this is wild and I can’t help but root for this to blow up in their faces.
In a lot of ways, owners brought this issue on themselves. They fought for the max salary and limits on contract length in order to be protected from themselves. Now, as a result, if you're a mid-market team with a super star, you're pretty much always a year away from your star wanting out. So now instead of potentially franchise crippling contracts that could set a team back a decade, we get... potentially franchise crippling trades that could set a team back a decade. I guess from the owner's perspective, at least the franchise crippling trade is cheaper?
 

bsj

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Looks like all the big time Eastern players are going to improve. Sigh. Do we have ANY pathways left to add a significant player at this point?
 

Pablo's TB Lover

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Geesh I think the fact that there are no sure stars in this year's draft class is being used for teams (the Bucks in particular) to justify throwing ALL their upcoming picks away. If Giannis walks away next year, whew that will look like the Nets/Celtics trade part 2 in upcoming seasons.
 

Average Game James

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Geesh I think the fact that there are no sure stars in this year's draft class is being used for teams (the Bucks in particular) to justify throwing ALL their upcoming picks away. If Giannis walks away next year, whew that will look like the Nets/Celtics trade part 2 in upcoming seasons.
I would think the condensed season plays a big role as well. There's only 5 weeks from the draft to the start of the season with limited camp/pre-season games. And with a tighter regular season schedule, you're also looking at much less practice time. So it's just harder for a rookie, even a very good one, to come in and make an immediate impact. Not impossible, of course, but for this season there is probably a lot more certainty/value in signing established players.
 

Pablo's TB Lover

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Per Dallas Morning News reporter Brad Townsend, Gallinari leaning towards a 2 year deal offered by at least 2 Eastern Conference teams.

He has said he is willing to take a pay cut to play for a contender, so full MLE probably gets it done. Heat are the logical destination, but wouldn't mind seeing him in green...
I think this is one of the contingencies the C's have laid out, in the event they really don't know which way Hayward is leaning, or if there is a sign-and-trade teed up. If Hayward stays, I don't know if Gallinari would be convinced to accept a more minor role with the Celtics to be on a contender as opposed to an equally minor role on the Heat for instance. Based on numbers alone, Gallinari is an upgrade from Hayward for 3-point shooting and rebounding (edge in height). I have never seen Danilo play for long stretches, but my sense is you give up a lot from Hayward in court awareness and facilitation. He is more an inside/outside player than Hayward who can play the mid-range and help bust a zone defense around the foul line area. But on the other hand maybe the C's think this will create an opening for more drives from the Js and Kemba.
 

Cellar-Door

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While the Holliday deal is a fleecing this is a steal for Bucks. Why would Sac do this? Why wouldn’t someone top it?
Well it isn't really about topping it since he's a RFA. He chose where he wanted to go. But yeah, If I were SAC I honestly would have said.... nah, not enough, go find an offer sheet.
Word is they have a much higher valuation on Donte, but... yeah.
 

the moops

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Teams aren't even allowed to officially talk to free agents yet, right? How the hell can the league approve a Bogdanovich trade when he and MIL can't even discuss parameters of an offer sheet?
 

PedroKsBambino

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Well it isn't really about topping it since he's a RFA. He chose where he wanted to go. But yeah, If I were SAC I honestly would have said.... nah, not enough, go find an offer sheet.
Word is they have a much higher valuation on Donte, but... yeah.
Right, which is why I said top it---while the player controls where he signs and offer sheet the team controls whether it will make the deal, so my understanding is they work together on these.

Certainly, there exist situations where the player won't go to someone the team wants a deal with....and Milwaukee may be appealing to the player here....but it doesn't feel like a big return at all to me.
 

Cellar-Door

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Teams aren't even allowed to officially talk to free agents yet, right? How the hell can the league approve a Bogdanovich trade when he and MIL can't even discuss parameters of an offer sheet?
Technically how they would say it worked is that MIL called SAC about a trade, SAC told his agent that they had an offer to trade him if he was interested in signing at $X and going to Milwaukee. In reality... yeah nobody follows the rules.

Right, which is why I said top it---while the player controls where he signs and offer sheet the team controls whether it will make the deal, so my understanding is they work together on these.

Certainly, there exist situations where the player won't go to someone the team wants a deal with....and Milwaukee may be appealing to the player here....but it doesn't feel like a big return at all to me.
I agree it's light, but SAC isn't really taking offers for him since he's a FA. Basically his agent likely said... he is going to MIL if you want to trade him, otherwise he'll sign with ATL for a number we know you don't want to match.

My guess is that the team didn't want him back at the 15-16M he's signing for, given how much they have on the books for Hield.
 

Jed Zeppelin

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Why? So Giannis can go play with LeBron or KD?

Obviously, Giannis gave them their marching orders. Agreed that this is a cascade result from not signing Brogdon but desperate times call for desperate measures. Besides, if Giannis leaves, who in ownership cares if they suck for five years or 10?
Because it's funny when teams mess up horribly. Not going to sweat a superteam. They'll happen either way and they tend to be good for the league's popularity.
 

Cellar-Door

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If Giannis walks those picks are juicy.
It's interesting, basically they got picks for when Giannis' next deal will be expiring. Betting against them being able to build around Giannis, so either he's gone, or you're getting picks when he's in his 30s taking up a huge chunk of the cap, and Bogdanovic, Middleton and Jrue are either gone or mid-30s.
 

DeJesus Built My Hotrod

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Jrue trade picks....
2020 1st
unprotected 2025 and 2027 1sts
Swaps in 2024 and 2026


In order to make it work, MIL also trades a 2nd to CLE to remove the protections from the 2022 1st they owe.
Milwaukee is getting a lot of flak for these deals but the reality is that Horst's hands are tied.

As far as decisions go, this is as binary as it gets. If Giannis stays, these trades are winners and if the Bucks win a championship all the better. But if Giannis doesn't stay, Horst isn't there to clean up the mess on the backside. That Edens signed off on such a levered play either is very on brand for him as a optimistic investor or completely out of character for someone who has a background in risk management.
 

DannyDarwinism

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Milwaukee is getting a lot of flak for these deals but the reality is that Horst's hands are tied.

As far as decisions go, this is as binary as it gets. If Giannis stays, these trades are winners and if the Bucks win a championship all the better. But if Giannis doesn't stay, Horst isn't there to clean up the mess on the backside. That Edens signed off on such a levered play either is very on brand for him as a optimistic investor or completely out of character for someone who has a background in risk management.
Also, I think that given the magnitude of the trade, it’s highly likely that Giannis approved it, which makes me really think they have reason to believe he’s staying and I don’t think they make this deal if they don’t. I think they’re a better team than they were yesterday, and the real losers of this deal are the Warriors, Heat, Mavs or potential other Giannis suitors.
 

DeJesus Built My Hotrod

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Also, I think that given the magnitude of the trade, it’s highly likely that Giannis approved it, which makes me really think they have reason to believe he’s staying and I don’t think they make this deal if they don’t. I think they’re a better team than they were yesterday, and the real losers of this deal are the Warriors, Heat, Mavs or potential other Giannis suitors.
Completely agreed. That said, Giannis saying he will stay and actually staying are two different things of course.
 

Kliq

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Milwaukee is getting a lot of flak for these deals but the reality is that Horst's hands are tied.

As far as decisions go, this is as binary as it gets. If Giannis stays, these trades are winners and if the Bucks win a championship all the better. But if Giannis doesn't stay, Horst isn't there to clean up the mess on the backside. That Edens signed off on such a levered play either is very on brand for him as a optimistic investor or completely out of character for someone who has a background in risk management.
It's also a proactive move for dealing with the fanbase. If Giannis leaves, the team is probably going to suck for years regardless (albeit, they would have the draft picks to rebuild with) but now if Giannis does leave, Milwaukee's front office can say with a straight face that they tried absolutely everything to try and retain Giannis, and Giannis would be the bad guy for wanting out after Milwaukee sacrificed everything for him.
 

Smokey Joe

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This seems unlikely. Jrue Holiday is a clear upgrade over Bledsoe/Hill and Bogdanovich is a great get especially considering they lost some shooting with Hill being traded.
The Bucks now have 6 players on their roster and are hardcapped. I don’t see how this ends well.
 

wade boggs chicken dinner

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STOP THE CAP!

(I got that from twitter).

The Bucks now have 6 players on their roster and are hardcapped. I don’t see how this ends well.
They actually have 7 - Giannis, Middleton, Holiday, Justin James (from SAC), Bogdanovic, Thanasis Antetokounmpo and Brook Lopez - and $15M to fill the roster.

Maybe this has one silver lining - Budenholzer will have to play Giannis more than 30 minutes in the playoffs.
 

Jimbodandy

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Finding veteran minimum guys to fill out the roster in this bizarro offseason shouldn't be too hard. There's no scenario where they can't roster 15, is there?
 

PedroKsBambino

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STOP THE CAP!

(I got that from twitter).


They actually have 7 - Giannis, Middleton, Holiday, Justin James (from SAC), Bogdanovic, Thanasis Antetokounmpo and Brook Lopez - and $15M to fill the roster.

Maybe this has one silver lining - Budenholzer will have to play Giannis more than 30 minutes in the playoffs.
Is there another Antetokuoumpo brother out there?
 

Average Game James

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Same thing was said about the Lakers last year after trading away half their roster for AD
Jrue and Bogdan aren't exactly AD, but the Bucks really only need two guys to fill out a playoff rotation which shouldn't be too hard. Regular season record may suffer, especially if they keep star minutes limited, but that won't matter much in the playoffs.
 

nighthob

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If the Nets are offering LaVert and scrapple, Philly should be able to trump that with Simmons/Richardson and no picks at all.
 

PedroKsBambino

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If you're Houston does your desire to dump Westbrook go up, down, or not change now? You aren't a contender, but then again you don't have your own picks so little value to bottoming out either.

Presumably he can go back to being "Russell with the ball all the time" in the post-Harden era.
 

JCizzle

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If the Nets are offering LaVert and scrapple, Philly should be able to trump that with Simmons/Richardson and no picks at all.
If you're Houston does your desire to dump Westbrook go up, down, or not change now? You aren't a contender, but then again you don't have your own picks so little value to bottoming out either.

Presumably he can go back to being "Russell with the ball all the time" in the post-Harden era.
Simmons plus a not traded Westbrook would be amazing.
 

lostjumper

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