I agree. Doesn't a .329 OBP look low for a guy who posted a .404 OBP in a little less than 1,000 ABs in the minors?

Can someone speak to how OBP is typically translated and projected from the minor leagues? That seems like a big hit to me. Basically reduced by 18%.

I'm assuming that James' low OBP projection mostly reflects a low batting average projection, which hinges on the assumption that JBJ's BABIP and K rate will be considerably worse than they were in the minors, though not nearly as bad as last year.

However, the lower you assume JBJ's BA projection will be, the higher his ISO projection must be (since we know James is projecting a .420 SLG). So it gets kind of interesting--if you assume, for instance, that James is projecting a .240 BA, that means a .180 ISO, which is surprisingly high. If, on the other hand, you assume a .160 ISO--still pretty high--then the projected BA goes as high as .260, which in turn implies a .069 IsoD, far lower than JBJ has been at any level where he's had significant PA.

I assume James' real BA projection is somewhere between .240 and .260, but I'd be curious to know exactly where.