106 replies to this topic

[Titoschew]

Your predictions for how the tournament will shake out this season, make them here, rose colored as they may be.

AFC
------
Wildcard:
HOU over CIN
IND over BAL

Divisional:
IND over DEN
NE over HOU

Championship:
NE over IND

NFC
------
Wildcard:
GB over MIN
SEA over WSH

Divisional:
ATL over SEA
SF over GB

Championship:
SF over ATL

Super Bowl: NE over SF

[koufax32]

AFC

HOU over Cincy
BAL over Indy

NE over HOU
DEN over BAL

NE over DEN


NFC

GB over MIN
WAS over SEA

SF over GB
ATL over WAS

SF over ATL


Super Bowl

NE over SF 24-20

[Red(s)HawksFan]

AFC Wildcard
CIN over HOU
IND over BAL

AFC Divisional
DEN over CIN
NE over IND

AFC Championship
NE over DEN

NFC Wildcard
GB over MIN
SEA over WAS

NFC Divisional
SEA over ATL
SF over GB

NFC Championship
SEA over SF

Super Bowl
NE over SEA

I realize after doing this that I have the Seahawks coming east two weeks in a row and winning, which isn't something west coast teams have an easy time with, but I think the Seahawks are too hot to be slowed down.

[j44thor]

AFC

CIN over HOU
BAL over IND

NE over BAL
DEN over CIN

NE over DEN

---------------------------------------------------

NFC

GB over MIN
SEA over WAS

SEA over ATL
GB over SF

GB over SEA

---------------------------------------

SB

NE over GB

Edited by j44thor, 31 December 2012 - 09:41 AM.

[Hendu for Kutch]

AFC

CIN over HOU
BAL over IND

DEN over CIN
NE over BAL

NE over DEN

-----------------------------------------

NFC

GB over MIN
SEA over WAS

SF over GB
ATL over SEA

ATL over SF

-----------------------------------------

SB

NE over ATL

-----------------------------------------

My head says Atlanta is a paper tiger, but if they're ever going to do anything, now is the time. The NFC is pretty unpredictable in general. If SEA had a home game to work with I'd probably pick them to come out of the NFC, but I don't like them on the road enough to pick them for back-to-back east-coast road wins against playoff-quality teams. They did go 3-5 on the road this year against a laughably bad group of teams...Cardinals (L), Rams (L), Panthers (W), 49ers (L), Lions (L), Dolphins (L), Bears (W), Bills (W).

The AFC really just looks like a couple of weeks of formalities before Brady-Manning armageddon.

[jkempa]

AFC
------
Wildcard:
HOU over CIN
BAL over IND

Divisional:
DEN over BAL
NE over HOU

Championship:
NE over DEN

NFC
------
Wildcard:
GB over MIN
SEA over WSH

Divisional:
SEA over ATL
SF over GB

Championship:
SF over SEA

Super Bowl: SF over NE

[gtg807y]

AFC
------
Wildcard:
HOU over CIN
IND over BAL

Divisional:
DEN over IND
NE over HOU

Championship:
DEN over NE

NFC
------
Wildcard:
GB over MIN
SEA over WSH

Divisional:
ATL over SEA
SF over GB

Championship:
ATL over SF

Super Bowl: ATL over DEN

[loshjott]

I'm going against the grain and picking Wash East over Wash West in the WC round.

And, unfortunately, another title for P. Manning.

AFC
------
Wildcard:
HOU over CIN
IND over BAL

Divisional:
DEN over IND
NE over HOU

Championship:
DEN over NE

NFC
------
Wildcard:
GB over MIN
WSH over SEA

Divisional:
ATL over WSH
SF over GB

Championship:
SF over ATL

Super Bowl: DEN over SF

[Jeff Van GULLY]

AFC
------
Wildcard:
HOU over CIN
BAL over IND

Divisional:
DEN over BAL
NE over HOU

Championship:
DEN over NE

NFC
------
Wildcard:
GB over MIN
SEA over WSH

Divisional:
SEA over ATL
SF over GB

Championship:
SF over SEA

Super Bowl: SF over DEN

[jsinger121]

AFC
------
Wildcard:
CIN over HOU
IND over BAL

Divisional:
DEN over CIN
NE over IND

Championship:
NE over DEN

NFC
------
Wildcard:
GB over MIN
SEA over WSH

Divisional:
SEA over ATL
SF over GB

Championship:
SEA over SF

Super Bowl: NE over SEA

[RGREELEY33]

Your predictions for how the tournament will shake out this season, make them here, rose colored as they may be.

AFC
------
Wildcard:
Cin over HOU
Ind over BAL

Divisional:
DEN over Cin
NE over Ind

Championship:
NE over DEN

NFC
------
Wildcard:
GB over MIN
SEA over WSH

Divisional:
Sea over ATL
SF over GB

Championship:
Sea over SF

Super Bowl: NE over Sea

[mwonow]

AFC
------
Wildcard:
Cin over HOU
Ind over BAL

Divisional:
Cin over DEN
NE over Ind

Championship:
NE over Cin

NFC
------
Wildcard:
GB over Min
Sea over WSH

Divisional:
ATL over Sea
SF over GB

Championship:
SanF over ATL

Super Bowl: NE over SF

[Boston Brawler]

AFC
------
Wildcard:
HOU over CIN
IND over BAL

Divisional:
DEN over IND
NE over HOU

Championship:
NE over DEN

NFC
------
Wildcard:
GB over MIN
SEA over WSH

Divisional:
SEA over ATL
GB over SF

Championship:
GB over SEA

Super Bowl: NE over GB

[Myt1]

AFC
------
Wildcard:
HOU over CIN
BAL over IND

Divisional:
DEN over BAL
NE over HOU

Championship:
NE over DEN

NFC
------
Wildcard:
GB over MIN
SEA over WSH

Divisional:
SEA over ATL
SF over GB

Championship:
SF over SEA

Super Bowl: NE over SF 27-17

[Old Fart Tree]

AFC
------
Wildcard:
CIN over HOU
BAL over IND

Divisional:
DEN over CIN
NE over BAL

Championship:
DEN over NE

NFC
------
Wildcard:
GB over MIN
SEA over WSH

Divisional:
SEA over ATL
SF over GB

Championship:
SF over SEA

Super Bowl: SF over DEN

[Dgilpin]

AFC
------
Wildcard:
HOU over CIN
BAL over IND

Divisional:
DEN over BAL
NE over HOU

Championship:
NE over DEN

NFC
------
Wildcard:
GB over MIN
SEA over WSH

Divisional:
SEA over ATL
SF over GB

Championship:
SF over SEA

Super Bowl: NE over SF

Edited by Dgilpin, 31 December 2012 - 12:48 PM.

[JohnnyK]

AFC
------
Wildcard:
CIN over HOU
BAL over IND

Divisional:
DEN over CIN
NE over BAL

Championship:
NE over DEN

NFC
------
Wildcard:
GB over MIN
SEA over WSH

Divisional:
ATL over SEA
GB over SF

Championship:
ATL over GB

Super Bowl: NE over ATL

[Infield Infidel]

always one of my favorite threads. I used to just pick the team that played the tougher SoS, which worked surprisingly well in the past. but I can't really see Minnesota beating NE in the Super Bowl, so I'm going to temper it with the teams' win%, but still weighted toward SoS.
(win%+SoS*2)/3, w HFA being the tiebreaker

AFC - WC - Hou (.580) over Cin (.499) / Bal (.539) over Ind (.523)
Div - NE (.580) over Hou (.580) / Den (.576) over Bal (.539)
CCG - NE (.580) over Den (.576)

NFC - WC - Sea (.567) over Was (.539) / GB (.568) over Min (.553)
Div - Sea (.567) over Atl (.551) / SF (.576) over GB (.568)
CCG - SF (.576) over Sea (.567)

Super Bowl - NE (.580) over SF (.576)



Atlanta has not only played the worst schedule of any playoff team (.421), they are the only NFC team to play a schedule worse than .496. Every team in the NFC not only played a tougher SoS than Atl, they all played wayyyy tougher schedules, with 4 teams playing schedules over .500. Avg NFC playoff teams SoS was .492, but drop Atl and it jumps to .506

Three AFC teams played schedules under .496 : Cinci, Den, Indy. (Four teams overall played .496 OppW%: NE, Bal, Hou, Was)
Avg AFC teams SoS was .470, much less than the NFC. No team had a schedule over .500

Edited by Infield Infidel, 31 December 2012 - 01:28 PM.

[Victor Hatherley]

AFC

-----

Wildcard:

CIN over HOU
BAL over IND

Divisional:

DEN over CIN
NE over BAL

Championship:

DEN over NE

NFC

-----

Wildcard:

MIN over GB
WSH over SEA

Divisional:

ATL over MIN
WSH over SF

Championship:

ATL over WSH

Super Bowl: Falcons 27-20 Broncos

[jacklamabe65]

AFC
------
Wildcard:
CIN over HOU
IND over BAL

Divisional:
DEN over CIN
NE over IND

Championship:
NE over DEN

NFC
------
Wildcard:
GB over MIN
WSH over SEA

Divisional:
ATL over WSH
SF over GB

Championship:
SF over ATL

Super Bowl: NE over SF in Overtime, 30-24
"Titoschew is no nancy.

Edited by jacklamabe65, 01 January 2013 - 11:21 AM.

[BigSoxFan]

AFC
------
Wildcard:
HOU over CIN
BAL over INDY

Divisional:
DEN over BALT
NE over HOU

Championship:
DEN over NE

NFC
------
Wildcard:
GB over MIN
WSH over SEA

Divisional:
ATL over WSH
GB over SF

Championship:
ATL over GB

Super Bowl: DEN over ATL

[TheWalthamKid]

AFC
------
Wildcard:
HOU over CIN
IND over BAL

Divisional:
DEN over IND
NE over HOU

Championship:
NE over DEN

NFC
------
Wildcard:
GB over MIN
SEA over WSH

Divisional:
ATL over SEA
SF over GB

Championship:
SF over ATL

Super Bowl: NE over SF

Some quick notes:

- Interesting that so many people have DEN making the SB. Since they haven't won a game against a contender, it's hard to predict what they are going to do in the playoffs. Indy (over Houston), New England (over Houston), Houston (over Denver) and even Baltimore (over New England) all have wins over contenders. I'm not saying that Denver couldn't go all the way, but where is the evidence that they can beat a good team in a big game?

- Part of me really thinks that Houston could go down to Cincy, but the strength of the Bengals being the Bengals overpowers the Texans collapsing down the stretch.

- Atlanta seems like a lock for being the worse team with a bye, but I still think they can beat Seattle as long as they are at home. Seattle's impressive 8-0 home record tends to hide their mediocre 3-5 road record.

- I like the Pats over San Francisco in the SB because I just don't think that SF has the offensive weapons to beat the Pats. Unless that Pats make a ton of mistakes or SF gets really lucky (like say, recover over half a dozen fumbles) I don't think they can win.

Edited by TheWalthamKid, 31 December 2012 - 05:44 PM.

[JimBoSox9]

AFC Wildcard
CIN over HOU
IND over BAL

AFC Divisional
CIN over DEN
NE over IND

AFC Championship
NE over CIN

NFC Wildcard
GB over MIN
SEA over WAS

NFC Divisional
SEA over ATL
GB over SF

NFC Championship
GB over SEA

Super Bowl
NE over GB

[SMU_Sox]

The guy who got 10/11 last year is ready to try again .

As usual I will do two sets of picks - my adjusted DVOA based and my JL Special. Special as in one who is still missing from the short bus.


Adjusted DVOA based:
AFC:
Cin over Hou
Bal over Ind

Den over Cin
NE over Bal

Den over NE.

NFC:
Sea over Was
GB over Min

Sea over Atl
SF over GB

Sea over SF

SB:
Sea over Den


My picks:
AFC:
Hou over Cin
Bal over Ind

NE over Hou
Den over Bal

NE over Den (Everything tells me to take Den, I just can't do it)

NFC:
GB over Min
Sea over Was

Sea over Atl
SF over GB

SF over Sea

SB:
NE over SF

Edited by SMU_Sox, 03 January 2013 - 01:07 AM.

[SoxFanInPdx]

AFC
------
Wildcard:
HOU over CIN
BAL over IND

Divisional:
DEN over BAL
NE over HOU

Championship:
DEN over NE

NFC
------
Wildcard:
GB over MIN
SEA over WSH

Divisional:
SEA over ATL
SF over GB

Championship:
SEA over SF

Super Bowl: DEN over SEA

[abty]

AFC
------
Wildcard:
HOU over CIN
IND over BAL

Divisional:
Den over Ind
NE over HOU

Championship:
Den over NE

NFC
------
Wildcard:
GB over MIN
SEA over WSH

Divisional:
Sea over Atl
GB over SF

Championship:
GB over Sea

Super Bowl: Denver over Green Bay

Edited by abty, 31 December 2012 - 06:58 PM.

[Sille Skrub]

I'm not saying that Denver couldn't go all the way, but where is the evidence that they can beat a good team in a big game?

Nail, meet head. This is what I've been saying to anyone who has been within earshot. Their schedule has been cupcake city with their best win being over a hobbled Ravens team. Denver is 0-3 against the top teams on their schedule.

[redsoxcentury]

AFC
------
Wildcard:
HOU over CIN
IND over BAL

Divisional:
DEN over IND
NE over HOU

Championship:
DEN over NE

NFC
------
Wildcard:
GB over MIN
SEA over WSH

Divisional:
ATL over SEA
SF over GB

Championship:
ATL over SF

Super Bowl: ATL over DEN

[ThePrideofShiner]

AFC
------
Wildcard:
HOU over CIN
IND over BAL

Divisional:
DEN over IND
NE over HOU

Championship:
NE over DEN

NFC
------
Wildcard:
GB over MIN
SEA over WSH

Divisional:
SEA over ATL
GB over SF

Championship:
SEA over GB

Super Bowl: SEA over NE


Edit: 4-4 after the second round.

Edited by ThePrideofShiner, 14 January 2013 - 03:47 AM.

[Sportsbstn]

AFC
------
Wildcard:
CIN over HOU
BAL over IND

Divisional:
CIN over DEN
NE over BAL

Championship:
NE over CIN

NFC
------
Wildcard:
GB over MIN
SEA over WSH

Divisional:
SEA over ATL
SF over GB

Championship:
SEA over SF

Super Bowl: NE over SEA

[DrewDawg]

AFC

WC:
CIN over HOU
BAL over IND

Divisional:
DEN over CIN
NE over BAL

Championship:
NE over DEN

NFC

WC:
GB over MIN
WAS over SEA

Divisional:
WAS over ATL
SF over GB

Championship:
SF over WAS

Super Bowl: NE over SF

[TheYaz67]

AFC
------
Wildcard:
CIN over HOU
IND over BAL

Divisional:
DEN over IND
NE over CIN

Championship:
DEN over NE

NFC
------
Wildcard:
GB over MIN
WSH over SEA

Divisional:
WSH over ATL
SF over GB

Championship:
WSH over SF

Super Bowl: WSH over DEN

Replay of SB XXII

The two hottest teams in the NFL down the stretch keep it going all the way through, like the Steelers and NYG of recent years....

[Ferm Sheller]

AFC Wildcard
CIN over HOU
BAL over IND

AFC Divisional
DEN over CIN
NE over BAL

AFC Championship
NE over DEN

NFC Wildcard
GB over MIN
SEA over WAS

NFC Divisional
SEA over ATL
SF over GB

NFC Championship
SEA over SF

Super Bowl
NE over SEA, 27-21

Edited by Ferm Sheller, 05 January 2013 - 02:14 PM.

[TheoShmeo]

AFC
------
Wildcard:
HOU over CIN
BAL over INDY

Divisional:
DEN over BAL
NE over HOU

Championship:
NE over DEN

NFC
------
Wildcard:
GB over MIN
SEA over WSH

Divisional:
SEA over ATL
SF over GB

Championship:
SF over SEA

Super Bowl: NE over SF, 30-17

[TomTerrific]

AFC

Wildcard:
HOU over CIN
IND over BAL

Division:
DEN over IND
NE over HOU

Conference:
NE over DEN

NFC

Wildcard:
GB over MIN
WAS over SEA

Division:
WAS over ATL
SF over GB

Conference:
SF over WAS

Super Bowl

NE over SF, 30-13

[Gunfighter 09]

AFC Wildcard
HOU over CIN
IND over BAL

AFC Divisional
IND over DEN
NE over HOU

AFC Championship
NE over IND

NFC Wildcard
GB over MIN
SEA over WAS

NFC Divisional
SEA over ATL
GB over SF

NFC Championship
SEA over GB

Super Bowl
NE over SEA, 27-16


Denver, Atlanta and San Francisco are all overrated, IMHO. I don't think anyone is close to NE in this tournament. Man, I hate you guys.

Edited by Gunfighter 09, 01 January 2013 - 12:21 PM.

[TheWalthamKid]

I'm surprised that so many people have Seattle going on the road 3 weeks in a row and winning. This team went 3-5 away from home this year. I know they are good ball control team that plays good D, and that is how you win in the playoffs, but a huge part of the reason they are 11-5 is their massive home field advantage, and they won't have that at all as they play quality teams.

[Sille Skrub]

I don't think anyone is close to NE in this tournament. Man, I hate you guys.

I hate when I agree with you because it ruins all of my unfair generalizations about Raider fans.

Anyways, I have a really good feeling about the Pats this year (but that seems to happen every year).



ETA: see later post for revised picks

Edited by Sille Skrub, 04 January 2013 - 07:58 AM.

[Morgan's Magic Snowplow]

AFC Wildcard
CIN over HOU
IND over BAL

AFC Divisional
DEN over CIN
NE over IND

AFC Championship
NE over DEN

NFC Wildcard
GB over MIN
SEA over WAS

NFC Divisional
SEA over ATL
GB over SF

NFC Championship
GB over SEA

Super Bowl
NE over GB, 34-27

[bsj]

AFC
------
Wildcard:
6CIN over 3HOU
5IND over 4BAL

Divisional:
1DEN over 6CIN
2NE over 5IND

Championship:
1DEN over 2NE

NFC
------
Wildcard:
3GB over 6MIN
5SEA over 4WSH

Divisional:
1ATL over 5SEA
2SF over 3GB

Championship:
2SF over 1ATL

Super Bowl: DEN over SF

Lots of chalk. I really feel like the NFC has lots of flawed teams. Not much faith in SF, but less in erraticLanta and GB...

Hoping I am wrong re: the ultimate AFC and SB champ

Edited by bsj, 01 January 2013 - 04:43 PM.

[Turrable]

AFC
------
Wildcard:
CIN over HOU
BAL over IND

Divisional:
DEN over CIN
NE over BAL

Championship:
NE over DEN 38-34

NFC
------
Wildcard:
GB over MIN
WAS over SEA

Divisional:
WAS over ATL
GB over SF

Championship:
GB over WAS 28-17

Super Bowl: NE over GB 41-28

[86spike]

AFC
------
Wildcard:
HOU over CIN
IND over BAL

Divisional:
DEN over IND
HOU over NE

Championship:
DEN over HOU

NFC
------
Wildcard:
GB over MIN
WSH over SEA

Divisional:
ATL over WSH
GB over SF

Championship:
GB over ATL

Super Bowl: DEN over GB

Edited by 86spike, 01 January 2013 - 08:59 PM.

[wade boggs chicken dinner]

Going with Harbaugh Super Bowl for no particular reason:

AFC
3HOU over 6CIN
4BAL over 5IND

4BAL over 1DEN
3HOU over 2NE

4BAL over 3HOU

NFC
6MIN over 3GB
5SEA over 4WAS

1ATL over 6MIN
2SF over 5SEA

2SF over 1ATL

SB
SF over BAL

[Dollar]

AFC
------
Wildcard:
HOU over CIN
BAL over IND

Divisional:
DEN over BAL
NE over HOU

Championship:
NE over DEN 27-17

NFC
------
Wildcard:
GB over MIN
SEA over WAS

Divisional:
ATL over SEA
GB over SF

Championship:
GB over ATL 42-27

Super Bowl: NE over GB 30-21

[Al Zarilla]

You guys predicting a NE super bowl win by other than a three point margin? Bad karma.

[Hendu for Kutch]

Nail, meet head. This is what I've been saying to anyone who has been within earshot. Their schedule has been cupcake city with their best win being over a hobbled Ravens team. Denver is 0-3 against the top teams on their schedule.

Another question I haven't heard anyone bring up regarding Denver and specifically Manning: how will they handle bad weather? It's probable playing in Denver in January (especially potential prime time games) that you're going to see some harsh temperatures and perhaps even some snow. We haven't seen Manning tested at all in adverse conditions this season. Check out the temperate forecast for each of their games this season:

1 - 82
2 - DOME
3 - 86
4 - 73
5 - 53
6 - 70
7 - BYE
8 - 54
9 - 48
10- 71
11- 63
12- 54
13- 63
14- 57
15- 64
16- 48
17- 30

[crystalline]

Skrub, don't sob. No way SF beats NE if they see each other again in the Super Bowl. I'm most worried about Den and Sea in that order against the Pats.

AFC
WC:
• HOU over CIN
• BAL over IND
Divisional:
• DEN over BAL
• NE over HOU (predict close one)
Championship:
• NE over DEN (epic contest)

NFC
WC:
• GB over MIN
• SEA over WAS
Divisional:
• SEA over ATL
• SF over GB (coinflip to me)
Championship:
• SEA over SF (epic contest but Kaep is flustered again, SEA pulls it out)

Super Bowl:
NE over SEA

[Spaulding Smails]

AFC
------
Wildcard:
CIN over HOU
BAL over IND

CIN over DEN
NE over BAL

Championship:
NE over CIN

NFC
------
Wildcard:
GB over MIN
WSH over SEA

Divisional:
ATL over WSH
GB over SF

Championship:
GB over ATL

Super Bowl: NE over GB

[ilol@u]

AFC
------
Wildcard:
Texans beat Bengals
Colts beat Ravens

Colts beat Broncos
Patriots beat Texans

AFCCG: Patriots beat Colts


NFC
------
Packers beat Vikings
Redskins beat Seahawks

Redskins beat Falcons
Packers beat 49ers

NFCCG: Packers beat Redskins

Superbowl: Patriots over Packers 38-35

[DanoooME]

AFC
------
Wildcard:
CIN over HOU
IND over BAL

Divisional:
DEN over CIN
NE over IND

Championship:
NE over DEN

NFC
------
Wildcard:
GB over MIN
SEA over WAS

Divisional:
SEA over ATL
SF over GB

Championship:
SEA over SF

Super Bowl: SEA over NE