I don't like either signing, particularly, but if you think they have the money to overpay Gomes then this is basically the same deal. You overpay to get the guy for three years, it's not going to even bring you close to the luxury tax, and you can ditch him before he turns 35. Yes it's more expensive than Gomes but it's not going to constrain their future spending and Shane should be able to bring more to the table. I don't get the extreme negative reaction on this one.
The difference is how they fit onto the roster and what their expected playing time will be. Victorino is being brought in to start, Gomes was brought in as a platoon player at the most. If Ellsbury isn't about to be traded, Victorino is a poor fit at best in right field. I pointed out a scenario above using Bill James' projection for him at the plate and a regressed version of his UZR from last year where he wouldn't be an awful player next year, but that doesn't mean he makes sense in right field as the roster is currently constructed.
There's a lot of off season remaining, so it's definitely too early to start asserting this move means x, y and z about the front office, but at the moment it's a bit tough to see a lot of upside to this signing. Hopefully the front office's plan becomes more clear in the next few days or weeks and this looks better in hindsight.
Edited by Snodgrass'Muff, 04 December 2012 - 05:38 PM.