421 replies to this topic

[TeddyBallgame'sDirtbagSon]

CIN -2
CAR -3
CHI -3 -125

[berezina]

*NOS +3 ATL 13-23 L

*IND +6 DET
NEP -9 MIA*
SEA +3.5 CHI*
*SFF -7.5 STL
*HOU -7 TEN
*MIN +9 GBP
*ARI +6 NYJ
*CAR -3 KCC [note: OFF]
*JAX +6 BUF

*TBB +7.5 DEN
*PIT +7.5 BAL [note: OFF]
*CLE -1.5 OAK- [note: OFF]
*CIN -1 SDC

PHI +10.5 DAL*

*NYG -3 WAS

Parlay: HOU-SFF-CIN

[WayBackVazquez]

32-19-3.

Tampa Bay +7.5
Green Bay -7
Buffalo -5.5
Patriots -7.5
Chicago -3
San Diego +2.5

[bombdiggz]

Not much that I really love this week:

Jacksonville +6.5 $200 (probably should have bought the 7); $150 @ +240
Denver Broncos -7 $200
Indianapolis +7 $150
Houston -6 $100
Carolina -5.5 $100
Miami +9 $100
Chicago -3 $100
Ravens -7 $100

Need to update my record when life allows...

[LesterFan]

That FG at the end by Miami.. wow. Killed my 4 team parlay.

[WayBackVazquez]

32-19-3.

Tampa Bay +7.5
Green Bay -7
Buffalo -5.5
Patriots -7.5
Chicago -3
San Diego +2.5

That was just brutal yesterday. Lost 2 games by a half-point (including the Pats, after the decision not to try to punch it in), and another when the Bears defense decided to let a rookie QB march 93 yards to take the lead in regulation. Ugh.

34-23-3 now. Taking the Redskins +3 and the Over 50.5 tonight.

[Corsi]

Lost my teaser because the Raiders went for 2 and were denied. Inept.

Raiders +20.5.
Over 39
Under 59

[WayBackVazquez]

35-24-3

I expect to win all of these bets, so I threw a $10 parlay down, too.

Redskins -2
Colts -5
Bears -3
Bills -3
Dallas ( Big Bet) +3.5
Saints +5
Green Bay -7

[berezina]

*DEN -10.5 OAK 26-13 W

BAL +3 WAS*
KCC +7 CLE*
*SDC +9 PIT
TEN +6 IND*
*NYJ -3 JAX
*CHI -3 MIN
*ATL -3.5 CAR
PHI +7.5 TBB*
*STL +3 BUF
DAL +3 CIN*

MIA +11 SFF*
NOS +4.5 NYG*
*ARI +10 SEA

*DET +7 GBP

*HOU +4 NEP

[WayBackVazquez]

Took the Over (27) in the Giants-Saints game.

[Dgilpin]

This Texans line keeps moving up, but I love it at +6

[WayBackVazquez]

I took the Over 51.5 in the Pats game.

[Myt1]

I took the Over 51.5 in the Pats game.

They certainly talked about it enough during that last Texans scoring drive.

Edited by Myt1, 13 December 2012 - 02:19 PM.

[berezina]

CIN -5 PHI* 34-13 L

*GBP -3 CHI
*NYG 0 ATL
TBB +4 NOS*
MIN +3 STL*
WAS +4 CLE*
*JAX +7.5 MIA
*DEN -3 BAL
*IND +10 HOU

*CAR +3 SDC
*SEA -5 BUF
*DET -7 ARI
PIT -1 DAL*
KCC +4 OAK*

SFF +5 NEP*

*NYJ +1.5 TEN

Best bets: STL-DEN-SEA-OAK-NYJ

[berezina]

*ATL -4.5 DET 31-18 W

TEN +11 GBP*
OAK +9 CAR*
*BUF +4.5 MIA
*CIN +3.5 PIT
*NEP -14.5 JAX
*IND -7 KCC
*NOS +3 DAL
*WAS -7 PHI
*STL +3 TBB
MIN +9 HOU*
SDC +3 NYJ*

CLE +12 DEN*
NYG -3 BAL*
CHI -6.5 ARI*

SFF +1 SEA*

Best bets: IND, NEP

[berezina]

*NYJ + 3.5 BUF
*BAL + 3 CIN
CLE OFF PIT*
*HOU -7 IND
*JAX +4 TEN
PHI +7 NYG*
*CHI -3 DET
TBB +3.5 ATL*
*CAR +5.5 NOS

*MIA +10 NEP
*GBP -3.5 MIN
KCC +17 DEN*
*OAK +10 SDC
*ARI +17 SFF
STL +11 SEA*

*DAL +3.5 WAS

Parlay: GBP-HOU-CHI

[Old Fart Tree]

I threw on a tease: indy +13, cincy +10.5, gb -1.5

[WayBackVazquez]

40-27-4 for the regular season.

Vegas had a bad year.

Houston -4
Colts +7
Redskins +3

[Dgilpin]

Seahawks -3
Ravens -0.5 & Packers -1.5 tease

[dcmissle]

For once, gamblers beat the house this year.

Lance Pugmire of the LA Times reports that Vegas sportsbooks lost money on the NFL this year.
Bookmaker Jay Kornegay told Pugmire, "We know the general public now has tremendous sources of information, that the regular player is sharper than the guy 10 years ago, but we've never seen a streak like this before."
It got so bad that on Nov. 4, when a "perfect storm" of losses cost one book over a million dollars, MGM Resorts "was forced to summon emergency stashes of cash to pay off its losses," Pugmire reports.
So what happened?
Basically, people like to bet on favorites, and a disproportionate number of favorites won this year. Of the 12 playoff teams, only Baltimore had a losing record against the spread, according to Predict 'Em. That means the average Joe blindly betting on good teams every week actually made money.
Kornegay also said that the books got killed on preseason over/under prop bets.
In the long run, this streak of favorites covering the spread will regress to be the mean. But for at least one season, gamblers got the better of the books.

Read more: http://www.businessi...1#ixzz2H6pttsw1

[WayBackVazquez]

For once, gamblers beat the house this year.

Lance Pugmire of the LA Times reports that Vegas sportsbooks lost money on the NFL this year.

Yeah, I linked to that two posts upthread.

Today's going to be another rough one for the books.

[Old Fart Tree]

Agreed; would have been worse if they hit the over.

[knucklecup]

The dogs lost both yesterday. I was 0-2 as a result. Had 4.5 and 11.5 points. Oh well. Onto today.

[Old Fart Tree]

I threw on a tease: indy +13, cincy +10.5, gb -1.5

Well that really, really, really fucking sucked. Thanks Indy receivers. Catch the fucking ball next time.

[WayBackVazquez]

Continuing the year's theme, all four favorites covered. Apparently, taking the points is now a sucker's bet.

[Dgilpin]

Seahawks -3
Ravens -0.5 & Packers -1.5 tease

Winner , winner chicken dinner

[bombdiggz]

For once, gamblers beat the house this year.

Correction, recreational gamblers...

[knucklecup]

Ended up going Bal -7.5 this morning and Skins +3 this afternoon.

1-3 weekend ATS.

I didn't have a good vibe on any of these games and am not at all upset. I typically do pretty well in the playoffs and am confident I'll be above .500 by the time everything is said and done.

For the most part, I'm disappointed that all these games sucked.

[Dgilpin]

2-0 Playoffs

49ers -3
Ravens +10
Ravens ML +350
2 team 6.5point teaser - Seahawks +9 & Pats -3

[Stitch01]

2-0 Playoffs

49ers -3
Ravens +10
Ravens ML +350
2 team 6.5point teaser - Seahawks +9 & Pats -3

<sub>This is exactly what I bet except I took the Pats -9 as well and I got SF at -2.5 instead of -3.

Might do a small bet on Atlanta -2 as well.</sub>

[kenneycb]

I got in on the Falcons at -3 and +110 earlier this week. I just looked this morning and it's still -3 but -105 so looks after Monday or Tuesday the money has started to flow towards Atlanta.

[JimBoSox9]

Falcons -3 (I wish I had teased this down)
GB +3
NE -10

Backup QBs killed me last week so my playoffs start tomorrow as far as I'm concerned.

Edit: whoops

Edited by JimBoSox9, 11 January 2013 - 11:57 AM.

[glennhoffmania]

Falcons -3 (I wish I had teased this down)
GB +3
NE +10

Backup QBs killed me last week so my playoffs start tomorrow as far as I'm concerned.

I'm assuming you meant NE -10. This is the hardest pick for me this week. I got Atl -2.5, GB +3.5 and I think I'm going Den -8.5.

[JimBoSox9]

When the spread is a tough call, I usually use the payout on the money line as a tiebreaker. Whether I think the underdog has a better or worse chance of winning outright than Vegas does informs my decision on the spread.

[SMU_Sox]

When the spread is a tough call, I usually use the payout on the money line as a tiebreaker. Whether I think the underdog has a better or worse chance of winning outright than Vegas does informs my decision on the spread.

Which way? Do you go with your opinion or Vegas'?

[WayBackVazquez]

Den -8.5
GB +3
GB/SF Under 45
ATL -3
NE -9

[Mystic Merlin]

BAL +10
GB +3
ATL -3
NE -10

First bet of the year.

[johnmd20]

I like SF a lot today, -3.

[Red Averages]

Why?

[johnmd20]

Why?

Because I see a lot of people picking Green Bay. I don't really make football picks but everything I have read today is about SF having an issue at QB with CK and Aaron Rodgers being out for blood. Which leads me to like the other side. It isn't scientific, just my feeling.

[Red Averages]

Because I see a lot of people picking Green Bay. I don't really make football picks but everything I have read today is about SF having an issue at QB with CK and Aaron Rodgers being out for blood. Which leads me to like the other side. It isn't scientific, just my feeling.

Well played

[SMU_Sox]

I do a small time $2 thing with a friend for fun.

I have:

Bal+7
SF straight up even odds
Sea straight up (1.25 to 1 odds)
NE straight up - I gave him Hou with 1.5 to 1 odds.

We did a prop bet for Brady vs Manning in terms of who will have more passing yards. I took Brady he took Manning.

We also did a $5 fantasy bet. We picked the exact same team except for 2 players. I have Crabtree and Gore. He had Cobb and Foster. Unless Foster has a monster game I'm going to win that one.

Last year I went 9-2 against him. This year isn't looking that much better.

[dcmissle]

2-0 Playoffs

49ers -3
Ravens +10
Ravens ML +350
2 team 6.5point teaser - Seahawks +9 & Pats -3

Nice work.

[Stitch01]

Changed to Seattle and the points tomorrow. Love a Pats/Seahawks teaser

Had SF -21 at 10-1 so was not happy with that last PI call.
Tied at half/ravens win at 22-1 hit

[johnmd20]

Nice work.

Crushed it.

I fear that same thing is going to happen to the Seahawks today. Everyone loves them. Everyone is scared of them. And nobody is scared of Atlanta. But I'm really rooting for the Seahawks b/c of a fantasy playoff I'm in.

[bball831]

Been seeing this for next week vs Baltimore:
Texans -3
Patriots -8

[Kenny F'ing Powers]

Crushed it.

I fear that same thing is going to happen to the Seahawks today. Everyone loves them. Everyone is scared of them. And nobody is scared of Atlanta. But I'm really rooting for the Seahawks b/c of a fantasy playoff I'm in.

You and me are cut from the same gambling cloth, John. That's why I picked Atlanta.

[koufax32]

Been seeing this for next week vs Baltimore:
Texans -3
Patriots -8

There's no way that NE line would stay if they win today. An 8 pt. favorite vs. a team that beat them and that constantly plays them close?

[johnmd20]

There's no way that NE line would stay if they win today. An 8 pt. favorite vs. a team that beat them and that constantly plays them close?

Why not? One game means very little. Pats, at home, should be 8 point favorites against a creaky Ravens team.

[johnmd20]

You and me are cut from the same gambling cloth, John. That's why I picked Atlanta.

I know. I even fell prey to the Seahawk hype and loaded my playoff fantasy team with Seahawks.(and Pats and Niners) But everyone is kind of dismissing Atlanta and that's a problem. When everyone is saying one thing, it generally ends up being the other.