I wanted to bring in some discussion from the "Blockbuster" thread regarding the 2013-2014 Red Sox.
However the fans are going to have to get used to a team that is, perhaps, years away from serious contention...The point is, this deal makes the Sox also-rans not just for this year but likely over the next few seasons.
Among some, there seems to be a sense that the Red Sox won't be able to field a competitive team over the next several seasons. I'd suggest that we really take a look at what we lost and what we have to replace.
First let's start with the most fungible piece, Nick Punto. I don't like Nick Punto, never have, never will, but I never undesrstood the Punto vitriol around these parts. He was a backup middle infielder on a short money deal. I'm not sold on Ciriaco as a full time player, but his emergence has certainly made Punto expendable. We get to punt(o) his contract with a viable replacement in house. Nothing not to like there.
I'm onboard with thinking Crawford returns to being a useful player at some point, but how likely is it that he is worth the 100+ M over the next five years? Furthermore, over the past two years he has added a cumulative total of .6 WAR and he carries significantly more injury risk going forward. Who thinks that we are going to be hard pressed to replace that production? Give Sands a chance this year, then move him to 1B next year and give Kalish/Linares a shot. I'd be shocked if we didn't get better production for less cash.
Beckett was great last year. Not so great this year. His velocity has been down. He is 32. Is he more likely to be 2011 Beckett or 2012 Beckett going forward? Is he worth 32 M? We have Lackey coming back from injury and have added two pretty nice pitching prospects that are close to contributing. I like our chances of replacing Beckett's production and it's tough to get value out of your rotation when you are locked in to long term deals to declining players.
Gonzalez is a legitimate middle of the order hitter on a reasonable deal and a he's got a great glove to boot. It's going to be a challenge to replace Gonzalez's production and presence. This is the only part of the trade that really isn't merely addition by subtraction, but it's still questionable how the back end of this deal is going to look. We now have a lot of resources to address the situation, as well as the roster and financial flexibility to address other shortcomings and find value.
Edited by bombdiggz, 25 August 2012 - 09:27 AM.