227 replies to this topic

[MoVaughnsTruck]

A meaningless riff on Roxy Music and Jim Lonborg.

Beat the Tribe.

[E5 Yaz]

Edited by E5 Yaz, 12 August 2012 - 12:11 PM.

[bill]

Playoff odds cut in half to 3.7%

[topps148]

The stat-head's manifesto:
I am for a life and time by numbers
Blast in fast 'n' low
Add 'em up, account for luck
You never know

As for me, 2012 can be described at 2:38
Now and then I've suffered imperfection

[Curll]

[Al Zarilla]

Playoff odds cut in half to 3.7%

Last year it was 99 44/100% that they would make the playoffs, so, no sweat, right?

[fineyoungarm]

Last year it was 99 44/100% that they would make the playoffs, so, no sweat, right?

The lock of locks.

[topps148]

Direct attack on the Indians having been mostly unsuccessful this weekend, I suggest perusal of William Trent's journal for May 1763, quoted here. Blankets and hankies would cost less than Beckett and Lester.

And for music to accompany your reading, may I suggest...

Edited by topps148, 12 August 2012 - 10:18 AM.

[LynnRice75]

Playoff odds cut in half to 3.7%

I saw how this works last year.
If it gets down beneath 1 percent, we are in.

[topps148]

I saw how this works last year.
If it gets down beneath 1 percent, we are in.

If Lester pitches down to his recent standard, we're just about there.

[topps148]

RED SOX (56-59)
Ellsbury CF
Crawfotd LF
Pedroia 2B
Gonzalez 1B
Ross RF
Saltalamacchia DH
Aviles SS
Valencia 3B
Shoppach C
Pitching: LHP Jon Lester (5-10, 5.36)

INDIANS (53-61)
Donald 2B
Cabrera DH
Choo RF
Santana 1B
Duncan LF
Lillibridge SS
Marson C
Hannahan 3B
Carrera CF
Pitching: RHP Corey Kluber (2-2, 6.10)

[Rooster Crows]

Not much time left to get it together, Jon - better get moving and kick some ass today.

GO SOX - WIN TODAY!

[Rasputin]

Playoff odds cut in half to 3.7%

Red Sox have been in worse positions and come through.

[mikeot]

I dreamed a dream ....

Edited by mikeot, 12 August 2012 - 11:59 AM.

[topps148]

I dreamed a dream ....

That's the second line of "Long Ago and Far Away."

[cherno]

Playoff odds cut in half to 3.7%

The Pusan Perimeter
The 1980 Olympic Hockey Team
Five minutes after Game 3 of the '04 ALCS

It's amazing what people can do when their backs are against the wall. We're not quite there yet, but we DO have the talent to make one last run. It can start today. Just win, boys, and the rest will take care of itself.

[BellhornIsGod]

Red Sox have been in worse positions and come through.

I'm sure this has been figured out here long ago, but what was the actual lowest chance the Sox had in 2004?

My quick math tells me that it was after Foulke walked Jeter to start the top of the 9th in Game 4. The Sox had a 16% chance of winning the game at that point. Plus an (approx) 12.5% chance to win Games 5-7 consecutively.

Which means they had a 2% chance of winning the series at that point. So you are indeed correct.

[Doc Zero]

Oh, NESN.

[mikeot]

That's the second line of "Long Ago and Far Away."

Wow, that was long ago ... I was more inspired by Anne Hathaway than Rita Hayworth.

[Nomar813]

[Sprowl]

[cherno]

Anyone having sound problems?

[cherno]

Anyone having sound problems?

Fixed.

TURTLE!!!

[mikeot]

TURTLE POWER!!!

[Sprowl]

Far Tortuga!

[topps148]

Wow, that was long ago ... I was more inspired by Anne Hathaway than Rita Hayworth.

Whippersnapper.

[Buzzkill Pauley]

Ah, so that's how the top of the order was supposed to work....

[Nomar813]

[LynnRice75]

Far Tortuga!

The True Turtle has finally been released;

[E5 Yaz]

That was the champagne part. Now, the novacaine

[topps148]

I'm on Gameday, so I didn't see who went to the mound after Adrian's home run. Was it the Indians' new pitching coach?

[fenwaypaul]

Playoff probability on the rise!

[mikeot]

That was the champagne part. Now, the novacaine

I'm ready for a shot.

[Rasputin]

Lester, ya done better lately, don't fuck this up.

[genivive]

That was the champagne part. Now, the novacaine

and here we go...

[InsideTheParker]

I thought I was only kidding when I told my husband, "Watch Lester give it right back."

[Stu Nahan]

He's fucking it up. Lester is terrible.

[gatorgurl67]

I thought I was only kidding when I told my husband, "Watch Lester give it right back."

Funny I said the same thing to my husband as well.

[fenwaypaul]

Lester looks undominant.

[topps148]

I'm ready for a shot.

Coming right up, I fear.

[Tim Naehrings Girl]

Well crap, there goes the no hitter.

[E5 Yaz]

Thankfully, this is the Indians offense

[OttoC]

For games from 2000 through 2009* the home team had a .542 winning percentage. However, if the visiting team scored in the first inning, they went on to win 58.4% of those games. The home team's overall positive winning percentage was largely fueled by the games (~70.4% of all games) when the visiting team did not score in the first inning. Obviously, the more runs scored by the visitors in the first inning, the higher their subsequent winning percentage. When tehy cored 3 runs in the first, they went on to win at a .673 rate (but that only accounted for approximately 3.5% of the total games.

On the other hand, if the home team comes back to score in the bottom of the first after giving up runs in the top of the first, its winning percentage goes up to .545.

*I haven't updated my scoring database recently as it is very laborious.

[mauidano]

Wow. Just woke up and we have a 3-0 lead thanks to A-Gon? I must be dreaming still. BTW, don't fuck it up Jon.

[InsideTheParker]

Funny I said the same thing to my husband as well.

We have been emotionally damaged by this season. Our optimism has gone bye-bye.

[gatorgurl67]

We have been emotionally damaged by this season. Our optimism has gone bye-bye.

So true...

[genivive]

I used to get very upset when they lost. Not anymore That's the Novacaine part

[topps148]

Thankfully, this is the Indians offense

We've been down this trail before. I'm going with Fetterman today, since it didn't happen Friday.

[BellhornIsGod]

Lester really seems to be grasping at straws with pitches 2-4 inches off the plate. There's been dozens of looks in to the umpires and taking a step towards the dugout on pitches that aren't strikes over the past month+

[Pearl Wilson]

So true...

and yet here we are.