People are crazy if they think the Sox are having anything close a firesale in the next few months. This ownership groups has already gone through amazing lengths to keep turnstiles moving -- selling off core players when you are 2.5 games out of not one but TWO playoff spots is certainly not going to be approved by the higher-ups. People who think otherwise are having a visceral reaction to the recent west coast swing.
Exactly. They've had terrible West Coast trips before, even with teams that went deep into the playoffs. And that terrible West Coast trip? It included, what, 3 of the 5 losses decided by 1 run? Nothing but an unlucky turn of events in the middle of a pretty good stretch of baseball in the face of incredible adversity.
*The other (more logical thing) people need to consider with the new CBA is that expiring contracts are worth way less than they were in the past because if a player gets dealt in the last year of his contract the team that he leaves at the end of the season is no longer eligible for comp picks, even if they offer arb.
I'm beginning to think this is an underrated point, that, together with the one-game playoff format is going to make the mid-sesason trade deadline very underwhelming. Teams with type-A or type-B free agents will need to be compensated by more than the value of the draft picks, and teams looking to acquire those types of players will be measuring the value of the player for 2 months. It would not surprise me if those costs and benefits resulted in a null set of trading opportunties.
This series may be a major factor in what this team does at the deadline. A 1-3 series or a sweep may turn this team into sellers, especially given all the injuries. It would be unacceptable if the continuation of the fraudulent "sell-out streak" was a determining factor with ownership in the trade deadline strategy. Even with the return of Crawford and Ellsbury (likely not in mid-season form), is this team any better then an 85-88 win team at best? If not, they should become sellers.
They were 42-39 over the first 81 games this season. Being an 88 win team requires that they play 4 games better in the second half than they did in the first half. I'll be absolutely shocked if 88 wins doesn't get you a spot in the play-in game. Even assuming no improvement from the return of Ellsbury, Crawford, and Bailey, that just means not blowing a 10 run lead to the Yankees, two separate multi-run leads to the Tigers, being able to beat a position player pretending to pitch, and flipping one or two one-run games.
The idea that this Red Sox team is somehow fundamentally flawed or inferior to the rest of the American League is nothing but an inability to grasp that a great deal of parity has come to the American League. There are 10 teams with legitimate shots at the postseason, and the Red Sox are one of them. Who wins will come down to who gets hot in September. People calling for the team to give up on July 31st unless they're clearly one of the 4 best teams are just plain quitters.
Edited by Plympton91, 07 July 2012 - 10:40 AM.