It seems like you're trying to say that if he's healthy his projection is .308/358/.470 ish.
Youkilis, Ortiz and Gonzalez at their projection are all better hitters with better OBP and better SLG. Pedroia is also better with higher OBP and similar SLG. With Ellsbury, it depends on whether or not he can reproduce his 2010. The line you're suggesting for CC is essentially the projection for Ellsbury. So IF Ellsbury's 2010 was a mirage and IF CC regains his form, he and Ellsbury are interchangeable in the lineup. If CC rebounds to what you're suggesting and Ells reproduces his 2010 (or even close), CC's still the 6th best hitter on the team.
It's also worth noting that when platooned, the RF tandem of Ross versus LHP (last 3 years) (.272/.342/.521) and Sweeney versus RHP (.299/.354/.402) might produce an aggregate of .285/.350/.430 ish. More or less a flat foot tie with Crawford's projected hitting value IMO.
Crawford and Sweeney are both beyond putrid against LHP. So much so that I think it's debatable whether or not it makes sense to put Aviles in LF so that Punto's bat can replace CC's bat. CC has him in SLG by 30-40 points but Punto has him by 50-60 in OBP. If Crawford's defense or baserunning were as advertised, it wouldn't be a question but considering his value there has been negligible...
If he is healthy and doesn't have one of his monster seasons, 300/350/450 seems like reasonable guess. Yes, that slash line doesn't match up great with the rest of the lineup in the highest scoring offense in the highest scoring league of last year. However, I think, and what I think the Red Sox will do, will be just to bat him second anyways. He is not going to be a drag if he is "Carl Crawford", if he isn't, sure, move him down the lineup after 50 games. The point is I think this is the lineup that will be "most comfortable" to everyone, which might be better, or much better, than having the optimal OBP/SLG lineup but not having everyone settled into their role.
There is no way in hell Crawford is platooned. Maybe he gets some built in rest days, especially early, against elite LHP. But that's about it.
Crawford's April was just SOOO bad last year that it clouds everything. .279/.309/.447 from May 1 - the end of the season isn't great, but it's not totally miserable. If he put up that line in April too people would just chalk it up to a year of adjustments and saying he is ready to breakout. Not to mention he played while getting injections in his wrist and a bad hamstring at one point.
Edited by SoxScout, 25 February 2012 - 09:15 AM.