1. Mike Mayock has become as reliable as they get with regard to personnel evaluation; I think that when all the pundits say generally the same thing, it's probably true and CB is "deep" and safety is not in this coming draft. It's all a guess anyway and it's a discussion board, so I see no harm in consulting multiple sources, getting a consensus and then using that to foster discussion. Ultimately, you're right - nobody knows nothing. So we can either ALL be full of shit or we can shut down the board.
2. There is a clear lack of "impact" safeties in the NFL at this time. Surveys of experts (coaches, scouts, FO, etc.) last season had Merriweather as a borderline "top 10" safety and Adrian Wilson/Eric Berry in the top 10. Safety is, across the NFL, a shallow pool of talent at this particular point in time.
3. I respect your opinion more than most in this forum and I curious as to how you can justify the team is "balanced enough". I saw a defense that was unacceptable last season; improvements must be made on that side of the ball, and in particular, in defending the pass. Yes, scoring defense was average but I'm swayed by the "yards = TOP = field position" argument that was so clearly demonstrated in the SB. An occasional 3-and-out would do more to help the offense (and team balance) than any one player they could acquire. It is my opinion that the defense, as constructed in 2011, put enormous pressure on the offense and Tom Brady to be "perfect" and that when Brady was not perfect, they had trouble securing wins. That's not sustainable; a game plan based on "Brady is GOD" is bad long-term planning. Yeah, more than likely he will continue to be Tom Brady but the defense must improve to take the burden off Tom Brady & the offense to stellar.
Hey bullshitting about whether we should draft a corner and pick up a wide receiver in free agency or vice versa is fun and the purpose of this board, I'm just saying we have to be a little careful about believing our own bullshit.
As to what I mean by balanced enough: right now your weak positions aren't that terrible (with the exception of WR-Ocho and Edelman are our two starters if the season today-and center) but you are only really comfortable at a handful of places (QB, 2 TEs, LG, Wilfork, Spikes, Mayo, Chung, Solder, and-if they are back-Vollmer, Waters, Light). You could get better everywhere. Yeah you need help at corner and safety but if a great center and a great five technique DL were the first two available picks, you might go in that direction.
EDIT: Here's the starting roster if the season started tomorrow and Vollmer/Light/Dowling/Waters are healthy and playing football. I'm hard pressed to say if C, S, CB, WR1, WR2, OLB, or just "one more really good DL" is our biggest need, and we have more need on the OL if we lose people to retirement or injury:
HB: Woodhead (Vereen/Ridley)
WR1: Ocho, Underwood
C: Wendell or McDonald or Ohrnberger or Thomas
RT: Vollmer or Solder
DL: Deaderick (or Brace or Pryor)
OLB/DE: Carter or Cunningham or Silvestro or maybe Fletcher?
CB: Arrington or DMC
S: DMC or Barrett or Brown?
Edited by Shelterdog, 10 February 2012 - 01:21 PM.