If they have to waive him on the 23rd because he needs more time in the minors, what are the chances, really, that he gets claimed? And furthermore, what are the chances that the Sox would be happy to let someone claim him and pay him?
0% on the first, 100% on the latter.
The financial commitment there has been driving this "potential 2012 savior" bus since day 1 of this off season (or at least until it became rather clear we wouldn't be bringing in any legitimate/outside help). Pull back that obligatory curtain of optimism and what you have there is a bunch of wishful thinking/speculation imo, fueled heavily on an arguable need to glaze over those 2009-11 seasons. Combine that with actual
player in question, and the whole rather unfriendly time frame squeeze that's in play here (ithe chances of a resign being nill, imo), and i'm personally not seeing a winning ticket in all this. Heck, if given the actual pre-season option, i doubt we'd have seen Ben take an outside flyer on this lottery ticket at even 1/5 of the current cost.
For me, Dice-K's value in the 2012 equation was situational at the start, with a stronger flip side potential that he'd play out to be a hindrance. For all the talk about him replacing Clay in the rotation, i don't see that happening. So if he ends up coming in, essentially at the expense of taking sample size starts away from the 24 year old we plan to simply hand the job back over to next winter (Doubront), i'm left projecting the latter atm.
Edited by MikeM, 15 May 2012 - 02:02 PM.