Posted 20 February 2012 - 07:56 PM
Rondo, Pierce and JO to Utah for Al Jefferson, Derrick Favors, CJ Miles, Devin Harris, GS 2012 1st round pick, and $10M trade exception
Utah gets a long-term solution at PG and a go-to half court scorer in Pierce, while adding a veteran C. They clear up their front court by dealing Jefferson and his contract and get rid of Harris, who's been pretty bad in Utah.
I don't expect Big Al or Harris to be part of the long-term rebuilding process, but they would become $23M in expiring contracts for Danny to work with in the offseason and/or before next years trade deadline. Favors is the big man to build around, while the GS 2012 1st gets us into the 8-10 range of this year's draft (and Utah can keep their own pick so they'll still have a 1st next year) and the $10M trade exception is another valuable piece for DA to use in rebuilding the team. Deal also doesn't have to include Harris to work, but I was trying to be realistic. I'd love to be able to do the deal without him.
Then trade Ray Allen, Keyon Dooling and Chris Wilcox to CHI for Omer Asik, Kyle Korver, Ronnie Brewer, John Lucas and CHA 2012 1st round pick (which is protected as follows: Top 14 in '12, top 12 in '13, top 10 in '14 top 8 in '15 and unprotected in '16).
Chicago gets a perfect fit at SG, a big man to help replace Asik's production off the bench and another veteran G available off the bench. All of these contracts expire at the end of the season, so there are no long-term commitments they need to be concerned with.
For us, the value in the deal revolves around Asik and the draft pick. I'd look to move Korver and/or Brewer to a 3rd team (could send either to a team with cap space like Indy for a 2nd round pick just to get one off the books if we wanted to) or keep them around and add them to the list of expiring contracts that Danny can use to improve the team with. Asik will be a RFA and I've always been impressed with his play. He's a 25 yr old 7 footer who defends and rebounds the ball well. The C's should be able to resign him to a reasonable contract. The Charlotte 1st round pick likely wouldn't pay immediate dividends, but would be a pretty valuable chip to have as we continue to rebuild the team. I'd prefer that pick to taking CHI's 1st rounder, which is going to be at the end of the round.
This would leave us with 3 first round picks in 2012 (GS, BOS, LAC), with the 2012 CHA pick rolling over at least 1-2 more years. The GS and BOS picks should be in the 8-12 range. We would also add $32M in expiring contracts in Jefferson, Harris, Brewer and Korver. And DA would also have the $10M trade exception (Dallas used a similar exception along with their late first rounder in 2012 to trade for Lamar Odom this season).
In the draft, I'd look to add:
GS (#8): Bradley Beal, SG Florida
BOS (12): Patrick Young PF/C Florida or Meyers Leonard C Illinois (DA could also try to package #8+12 to move up to target someone he really wants in the 4/5 range)
LAC (26): Doron Lamb SG/ Marquis Teague PG Kentucky/Kendall Marshall PG UNC (back court help)
That would leave us with something like:
Asik/Young or Leonard/FA
If you can move Harris' contract in the offseason, you're looking at a roster of $41.5M plus the rookie contracts (generously $5M) for a total of about $46.5M for 11 players). If the salary cap goes to $60M, that would leave us $13.5M under the cap. Move another contract or two (like Korver or Brewer) and you've got room for a max contract for a guy like Deron Williams.
I just spent way too much time doing this, but what do you guys think? I don't see Howard being a realistic target and I don't think KG can bring us anything back via trade (so my moves took this into account).