Think about that statement for a minute. Cook is THAT bad when his signing makes RSN pine for John Lackey.
On the other hand, if he stays healthy Padilla is a very respectable #5 and at worst case a substancial upgrade over the Atchinson/Bowden/Albers of the world.
Adding a potential clubhouse cancer like Padilla seems to be a move the Red Sox would have been better off avoiding. I also don't like his HR rates
before he went to Los Angeles (where Dodger Stadium is one of the best pitcher's parks in baseball). Is this like signing Carlos Zambrano without the
talent? Even in the N.L. West, (which also has pitcher's parks at Petco Park and AT&T Park), and facing one pitcher for every nine hitters, he still
couldn't keep his ERA under 4.00.
The plan seems to feel like let's just get through this year and then add Zack Greinke and Ranaudo to the rotation for 2013. Just keep in mind that the
Yankees are playing the same waiting game for next year's free agent class and will probably add the two best free agent arms next year. We will not
win a head to head clash with the Yankees on a pitcher that they want. If the Phillies don't sign Hamels, he will be in pinstripes. The 15.5 million option
on Dan Haren for 2013 will almost certainly be picked up by the Angels, taking him off the market. And don't rule out Greinke avoiding the big market
clubs and opting to resign with Milwaukee. His battle with social anxiety disorder http://www.jsonline..../116683129.html
does not make
him the best candidate for high pressure markets. I respect what he has accomplished to this point. He has the talent to help the Sox, but it would be
a big risk.
I think Matt Cain would be the second Yankee signing from the 2013 free agent class (after Hamels), especially if the Yankees fail to make the
playoffs in 2012 (I expected the Yankees to have added at least Edwin Jackson by now). I think Jackson will still be a Yankee before the season
starts, which should stabilize their rotation enough for another post season spot for them. With a healthy A Rod, they will hit their way in,
especially if Jesus Montero starts realizing his significant potential. The worst thing for the Red Sox is the Yankees failing to make the 2012 post
season, which would open the Yankee wallets for the 2013 free agent class.
That would leave us with James Shields, Shaun Marcum or Francisco Liriano as our most realistic options. I like Shields, but the 2009 and 2010
regression seasons are cause for concern. Marcum has been solid, but really wore down at the end of 2011http://www.cbssports...66/shaun-marcum
, and had missed all of 2009 due to injury (huge injury risk). Liriano has been erratic since missing
all of 2007 with an arm problem. I do not like the strategy of waiting until the 2013 free agent class to sign pitchers we "might" be able to sign.
I think we will regret not signing Yu Darvish when we had the chance. I would have been much happier if we signed Darvish while declining to sign
Ortiz to save on payroll. I would have been fine with Lavarnway as our DH to get a quality arm like Darvish. Then we would have just needed to
add Ranaudo (or another free agent filler) as our # 5 with no worries about the 2013 free agent class. You rebuild your rotation by adding legitimate
starters, not by weakening your bullpen by converting relievers into starters. Bailey and Melancon are good bullpen acquisitions, but the Sox could
lose three arms from last year's bullpen (Papelbon, Bard and Aceves) if this contrived plan of putting both Aceves and Bard in the rotation becomes
reality. Cook or Padilla need to seize one of those last two starting spots in 2012 (preferably a better SP acquired before spring training of this year)
to prevent the loss of two quality bullpen arms to their questionable futures as starters.
Edited by wine111, 13 January 2012 - 03:09 PM.