* Recent draftees
The way I rate prospects is by their upside, their probability of reaching their upside, and their floor, in that order. It's no secret that the upside of our farm system is in Salem and below right now, and my rankings reflect that.
I'm obviously high on the recent draftees, but I was before the draft too. The FO ended up picking some of the players I liked most. I'm on record for saying things like Barnes would be the perfect scenario with pick 19, and that I really like Swihart too. I also said I'd pick JBJ (Jackie Bradley junior, and Owens under the right circumstances.
Here are my opinions on some of they placements you may not agree with.
Barnes- While his numbers were not great even in the Big East, his tools were. I'll take tools over results every day, and I think most scouts will too. He has a great frame that is projectable, an electric fastball, and really good breaking pitches. His fastball is already a big league pitch, off the top of my head only Bard and Papelbon throw harder in the organization. It's been clocked up to 98, sits around 94mph, and has good late run on it.
Iglesias- He plays perfect defense and has the bat speed to come around as a hitter. He'll never be a power hitter, but his problem is pitch recognition which is ok for a 21 year old SS in triple A. He'll figure it out.
Bogaerts- He has unprecedented power numbers for an 18 year old SS in the SAL. He has a .254 IsoP. Forget shortstops, that's the best since Mike Stanton, and better than Bryce Harper's .236. He is one of the best hitters in the system, but we don't know where he is going to end up on defense.
Swihart- Elite prospect, blue chipper, and maybe the highest upside in the system, but he is far away and not a sure thing to stick at catcher.
Coyle- Stud, he does everything right.
Britton- I'm not giving up on him. With the stuff he has his confidence will come around.
Head- Has an elite bat, but he needs to have one because he is a 1B or a DH.
JBJ- Injury and a down year keep him from being on of our best prospects. If he had gone in Ranaudo's draft class we would have been perhaps a top five pick, but he wasn't draft eligible. His junior year he underperformed compared to his sophomore season, and then broke a bone is his wrist all but ending his season. I have to place him down here because of the bad year.
CBM- Age advanced sinker ball pitcher holding his own in AA, but he needs to build stamina and develop a better breaking ball.
Wilson- I'm not that impressed by him. He is almost 25 (October) and just has his first AAA start.
Who are your top prospects?
Edited by phragle, 19 August 2011 - 08:50 AM.