432 replies to this topic

[StorrSox]

Actual games I'm wagering on...

Titans +2 @ Jaguars
Cowboys +5 @ Jets
Bills +5.5 @ Chiefs
Patriots -7 @ Miami

2 team 6 pt tease: Pats -1 / Steelers +7.5

[dcmissle]

I'm testing out a system based on the yahoo closing lines in their pick'em game. Yahoo gives you the percentages of everyone else's picks and uses final lines the day before the first game. So for week 1 it will be today's lines, but these are according to yahoo. Below is going against the popular yahoo pick.

Saints +4.5 @ Packers
Steelers +2.5 @ Ravens
Lions +2 @ Bucs
Falcons -3 @ Bears
Bills +6 @ Chiefs
Colts +8.5 @ Texans
Eagles -5 @ Rams
Bengals +6.5 @ Browns
Titans +2 @ Jaguars
Giants -3@ Redskins
Panthers +7 @ Cardinals
Seahawks +5.5 @ 49ers
Vikings +8.5 @ Chargers
Cowboys +4.5@ Jets
Patriots -7 @ Dolphins
Raiders +3 @ Broncos

I know you have to play as system as a system and can't cherry pick. But for anyone interested in the second listed game, take a look at this --

http://profootballta...etting-thinner/,

and this -- http://profootballta...ainst-steelers/

Oh yeah, and Suggs is running his effing mouth again, attributing the Steelers recent 6 - 2 record against the Ravens to "luck".

I say this with no joy, as I'm a Ravens tix holder, but there is NO way I'm giving the Steelers any points in this game. The first factor, the Ravens' o-line, is particularly significant; they have added 3 major pieces in about the last 2 weeks. Flacco is Bledsoe-esque under pressure, and if the Ravens have to play from behind (see second link), it figures to be a butt ugly game.

[berezina]

NOS +4.5 GBP+* 34-42 WW
*BUF +5.5 KCC+
ATL -3 CHI+*
PHI -4.5 STL+*
IND +9 HOU+*
*CIN +7 CLE+
*+DET +1 TBB
PIT +1 BAL+*
*+TEN +1 JAX
CAR +7 ARI+*
+NYG -3 WAS*
SEA +5.5 SFF+*
*MIN +9 SDC+
*DAL +5.5 NYJ+
+NEP -7 MIA*
*OAK +3 DEN+

+ winner of game
* winner vs spread

Best bet: ARI

[RGREELEY33]

I agree with Simmsons that this will be either the BEST or the WORST of many of our gambling seasons. Sadly, as I have pledged to not gamble this year (buying a house for the fam and lost 5k last year), I hate you fucking all.

[bombdiggz]

And it starts again!

I didn't like the 4.5 point line on Thursday night, pondered taking the over, but ultimately didn't play it.

KCC (-5.5) vs. Buf $200 L
Ten (+2) @ Jac $200, Under 37 $50 P, W
Dal (+5.5) @ NYJ $150, Dal +210 $50 W, L
Ari (-6.5) vs. Car $150 W
Pit (+1) @ Bal $150 L
NYG (-2.5) @ Wsh $100 L
Phi (-4) @ STL $100 W
Hou (-9) vs. Indy $50 W
Cle (-6.5) vs. Cin $50, Under 35 $50 L, L
Det (+1) @ TBB $50 W

NEP (-6.5) vs. Mia $300 W

Lines from Legends, Bodog, Heritage

7-6, + $250

Edited by bombdiggz, 17 September 2011 - 10:20 AM.

[Kenny F'ing Powers]

Saints +4.5 @ Packers
Steelers +2.5 @ Ravens
Lions +2 @ Bucs
Falcons -3 @ Bears
Bills +6 @ Chiefs
Colts +8.5 @ Texans
Eagles -5 @ Rams
Bengals +6.5 @ Browns
Titans +2 @ Jaguars
Giants -3@ Redskins
Panthers +7 @ Cardinals
Seahawks +5.5 @ 49ers
Vikings +8.5 @ Chargers
Cowboys +4.5@ Jets
Patriots -7 @ Dolphins
Raiders +3 @ Broncos

I used old lines, but oh well. 8-6 so far, I'd take a 10-6 first week. With that said, I'm changing my Pats/Phins bet. I don't know why I highlighted the Dolphins, but I think the Pats win by more then 7, so....yeah.

[PBDWake]

Saints +4.5 @ Packers
Steelers +2.5 @ Ravens
Lions +3 @ Bucs
Falcons -2.5 @ Bears
Bills +6.5 @ Chiefs
Colts +2.5 @ Texans
Eagles -5.5 @ Rams
Bengals +4.5 @ Browns
Titans +3 @ Jaguars
Giants -3.5 @ Redskins
Panthers +5.5 @ Cardinals
Seahawks +5 @ 49ers
Vikings +8.5 @ Chargers
Cowboys +4.5 @ Jets
Patriots -5.5 @ Dolphins
Raiders EVEN @ Broncos

I used Bowiac's even older lines, and 9-5 going into tonight. I'm hating that Broncos pick though. If we can swap out, I'll take Oakland at either of the two lines, +3 or even. I think they win outright.

Edited by PBDWake, 12 September 2011 - 11:09 AM.

[savage362]

Anyone see the Pats game going under 39 points?

I'm thinking about going all in with the rest of my bankroll for the following:

• 7 Point Tease: NE 0, Over 39
• MIA +280

Money split so that if MIA wins, I only make $2.50. Small, but it's a gain.

The only way I can see losing is if NE wins the game under 39 points but I just don't see it being that low scoring. Thoughts?

[Myt1]

Hypothetically speaking, if you parlayed:

Philly -4.5;
Detroit +1.5;
Blue Jays -1.5 against the Sox and Andrew Miller last week;
with:
Patriots -7,

you'd be reasonably optimistic going into tonight, no?

Come on, Brady. "Cry, 'Havoc!' and let slip the hogs of war."

Edited by Myt1, 12 September 2011 - 02:56 PM.

[MetSox1]

Not at all that hypothetically, I'd hedge that parlay.

[Myt1]

Good point.

[dynomite]

Hypothetically, though, if you did a 3-team 6-point teaser with:

Texans (-2.5) vs. Colts
Cardinals (-1) vs. Panthers, and
Patriots (-1) @ Dolphins

you would not hedge, right?

[Myt1]

Hypothetically speaking, if you parlayed:

Philly -4.5;
Detroit +1.5;
Blue Jays -1.5 against the Sox and Andrew Miller last week;
with:
Patriots -7,

you'd be reasonably optimistic going into tonight, no?

Come on, Brady. "Cry, 'Havoc!' and let slip the hogs of war."

Yesterday I may have parlayed Eagles -3.5 with Nationals -1.5 and Rangers -1.5, too. This week doesn't suck.

[Old Fart Tree]

I had a nice 3-team parlay with the pats, raiders, and cowboys. I did not hedge and STILL managed to get mad when the Cowboys frigging pissed that game away.

[phragle]

Saints +4.5 @ Packers
Steelers +2.5 @ Ravens
Lions +3 @ Bucs
Falcons -2.5 @ Bears
Bills +6.5 @ Chiefs
Colts +2.5 @ Texans
Eagles -5.5 @ Rams
Bengals +4.5 @ Browns
Titans +3 @ Jaguars
Giants -3.5 @ Redskins
Panthers +5.5 @ Cardinals
Seahawks +5 @ 49ers
Vikings +8.5 @ Chargers
Cowboys +4.5 @ Jets
Patriots -5.5 @ Dolphins
Raiders EVEN @ Broncos

7-9 but one was IND + 2.5, so I'll call it 7-8.

[Old Fart Tree]

I love Oakland +3.5 in Buffalo. LOVE it.

[Dgilpin]

0-2 Week 1

Week 2 Games
Bears +6.5 @ New Orleans
Vikings -3 vs. Bucs
Bengals +4.5 @ Broncos
Giants -5.5 vs. Rams

[Kenny F'ing Powers]

Lines taken from Bodog.

Bears +7 @ Saints
Chiefs +9 @ Detroit
Jaguars +9 @ Jets
Raiders +3.5 @ Bills
Cardinals +4.5 @ Redskins
Ravens -6.5 @ Titans
Seahawks +15 @ Pittsburgh
Packers -10.5 @ Panthers
Buccaneers +3 @ Vikings
Browns -3 @ Colts
Cowboys -3 @ 49ers
Texans -3 @ Dolphins
Chargers +7 @ New England
Bengals +4.5 @ Broncos
Eagles -3 @ Falcons

Favorite Lines:
Ravens -6.5 @ Titans
Cowboys -3 @ 49ers
Cardinals +4.5 @ Redskins
Eagles -3 @ Falcons

Last Week: 10-6, Favorite Lines: 0-0, Overall: 10-6

Just noticed too that my STL/NYG line isn't here...

St Louis +6 @ NY Giants

Edited by Kenny F'ing Powers, 19 September 2011 - 11:03 AM.

[PBDWake]

Using KFP's Bodog lines

Bears +7 @ Saints
Chiefs +9 @ Detroit
Jaguars +9 @ Jets
Raiders +3.5 @ Bills
Cardinals +4.5 @ Redskins
Ravens -6.5 @ Titans
Seahawks +15 @ Pittsburgh
Packers -10.5 @ Panthers
Buccaneers +3 @ Vikings
Browns -3 @ Colts
Cowboys -3 @ 49ers
Texans -3 @ Dolphins
Chargers +7 @ New England
Bengals +4.5 @ Broncos
Eagles -3 @ Falcons

Last Week: 11-5, Overall: 11-5

*edit*
Just saw that St. Louis and the Giants wasn't on my list. I don't know what the line was that day, so I'll be using today's (9/17) Bodog line.
St Louis +6 @ NY Giants

Edited by PBDWake, 17 September 2011 - 11:04 AM.

[Needlenose's Pole]

Bears +7 @ Saints
Chiefs +9 @ Detroit
Jaguars +9 @ Jets
Raiders +3.5 @ Bills
Cardinals +4.5 @ Redskins
Ravens -6.5 @ Titans
Seahawks +15 @ Pittsburgh
Packers -10.5 @ Panthers
Buccaneers +3 @ Vikings
Browns -3 @ Colts
Cowboys -3 @ 49ers
Texans -3 @ Dolphins
Chargers +7 @ New England
Bengals +4.5 @ Broncos
Eagles -3 @ Falcons

6-10 last week and overall. Ouch.

[Old Fart Tree]

Raiders +3.5 @ Bills
Cardinals +4.5 @ Redskins
Buccaneers +3 @ Vikings
Browns -3 @ Colts
Cowboys -3 @ 49ers
Texans -3 @ Dolphins
Chargers +7 @ New England
Eagles -3 @ Falcons
Seahawks +15 @ Pitt

I don't feel good about that last one... but 15 points? In a pro game? Hard not to take the points. And 7 points is too much to give this Chargers team.

[Gunfighter 09]

Correct me if I'm wrong here, but don't most west coast teams fly in earlier the day before just for this reason? Like - they'll hold their Saturday walkthrough in the hotel.

Yes, they do, but I imagine they are all sitting in their rooms at 11PM EST trying to fall asleep because their bodies are on west coast time. Nothing a beer or six can't solve. Perhaps the Bills are the better bet.

Edited by Gunfighter 09, 14 September 2011 - 11:51 PM.

[Myt1]

Guys, I love you and everything, but how the fuck can Chiefs +9 not be the pick of the week?

Behind maybe Philly -3.

[jsinger121]

Guys, I love you and everything, but how the fuck can Chiefs +9 not be the pick of the week?

Behind maybe Philly -3.

Because the Chiefs aren't that good. They have suffered two big injuries already. They also don't have top end talent at skill positions.

[Dgilpin]

Guys, I love you and everything, but how the fuck can Chiefs +9 not be the pick of the week?

Behind maybe Philly -3.

I actually really like the Falcons +3, the Falcons are a really good team, playing at home with something to prove after getting beat up by the bears. Additionally the Falcons have the personnel to run the ball effectively against the Eagles. Eagles are susceptible to physical teams willing the run the ball inside, I love the Falcons with the points here and expect Turner to have a big day.

As far as the Lions go, I obviously like them to win but I feel that 9 is probably 3 points too high for that spread.

Edited by Dgilpin, 15 September 2011 - 08:14 AM.

[gammoseditor]

Last week 8-6-2 using the yahoo lines picking against the popular yahoo pick. This week going against the yahoo picks is taking every underdog except the Browns over the Colts, and that's only 49% vs 51%. I have OAK +3, KC +8, TEN +6, CLE -2.5, TB +3, CHI +7, JAGS +9.5, SEA +14.5, ARI +3.5, CAR +10, SF +3, CIN +4, MIA +3, SD +7, ATL +2.5, STL +6.

[JakeRae]

Guys, I love you and everything, but how the fuck can Chiefs +9 not be the pick of the week?

Behind maybe Philly -3.

Because the Chiefs are a terrible football team.

The Jags +9 at the Jets is my favorite pick this week.

[SMU_Sox]

I want to play this game too.

I've never picked the spread before.

Bears +7 @ Saints
Chiefs +9 @ Detroit
Jaguars +9 @ Jets
Raiders +3.5 @ Bills
Cardinals +4.5 @ Redskins
Ravens -6.5 @ Titans
Seahawks +15 @ Pittsburgh
Packers -10.5 @ Panthers
Buccaneers +3 @ Vikings
Browns -3 @ Colts
Cowboys -3 @ 49ers
Texans -3 @ Dolphins
Chargers +7 @ New England
Bengals +4.5 @ Broncos
Eagles -3 @ Falcons


Taking 2/3rds of the road teams makes me feel nervous. We'll see how it plays out.

[jmm57]

Because the Chiefs are a terrible football team.

The Jags +9 at the Jets is my favorite pick this week.

How did the Chiefs become a terrible football team?

My gut reaction is the same as Myt1, but they just looked SO bad in Week 1 and the entire preseason. The Moeaki injury,loss of Waters and especially the week 1 injury to Berry hurts, but I wouldn't expect it to be this much of a change from last year.

Is it mostly Charlie Weis? The offense didn't look good at all in the playoff game after the announcement and was a joke vs the Bills. Other theories?

Edited by jmm57, 16 September 2011 - 07:10 AM.

[PBDWake]

How did the Chiefs become a terrible football team?

My gut reaction is the same as Myt1, but they just looked SO bad in Week 1 and the entire preseason. The Moeaki injury,loss of Waters and especially the week 1 injury to Berry hurts, but I wouldn't expect it to be this much of a change from last year.

Is it mostly Charlie Weis? The offense didn't look good at all in the playoff game after the announcement and was a joke vs the Bills. Other theories?

They really overachieved last year. They were absolutely primed for regression. Take a look a The Final DVOA Rankings for 2010 . In raw DVOA, they were 17th in the league. In weighted DVOA, they fell to 25th. They rode an incredible season by Jamaal Charles and some memorable Dwayne Bowe games (although he was pretty inconsistent throughout the year). They had some luck with turnover ratio (some of that accounted for by the fact that Cassell doesn't throw a lot of picks, but not all), and rode a pretty easy schedule to a playoff berth. They were ready to drop even without the loss of Waters, Moeaki, and Eric Berry. While some of that regression should have been cut by improvement to the younger players, losing a pair of the key ones is a problem. This is a team that could be headed for 5-11 or 6-10.

Edited by PBDWake, 16 September 2011 - 10:49 AM.

[StorrSox]

3-2 in Week 1.

Bills -3.5 vs. Oakland
Redskins -4 vs. Arizona
Falcons +2.5 vs. Eagles
Packers -10 @ Panthers

Edited by StorrSox, 16 September 2011 - 10:20 AM.

[tims4wins]

I like Miami over Houston as an upset pick. Just a hunch.

[rodderick]

Why are the Pats getting 7? I know they looked good last week, but the Chargers can score, play good defense, etc. Is it simply to sucker in NE bettors? The "west coast team coming east" thing?

Would the Pats really be 1 point faves if this game was in SD?

I don't know...seems like a big line to me.

You are making the mistake of thinking betting lines take mostly football performance in consideration. They are just trying to maximize money gained by predicting on which team people will bet. Even at -7 I'd imagine the vast majority of bets will be placed on the Patriots.

Edited by rodderick, 17 September 2011 - 11:00 AM.

[bombdiggz]

7-6, + $250

Detroit (-6.5, bought 1 point) vs. KCC $138 W
NYJ (-8.5) vs. Jac. $108 W
Oak (+3.5) @ Buf $100 W
Wsh -3 vs. Ari $128, Over 44 $50 L, L
Bal -6 @ Ten $100 L
Pit -14 vs. Sea $113 W
GBP -9.5 @ Car $216 L
Min (-3) vs. TBB $50 L
Indy +2 vs. Cle $50 L
Dal -3 @ SF $100 P
Hou -3 @ Mia $200 W
StL +6 @ NYG $100 L
NEP -7 vs. SDC $50 W
Den -3 (bought .5) vs. Cincy $100 L

13-14, + $165

Edited by bombdiggz, 23 September 2011 - 11:28 PM.

[phragle]

Using the updated Bodog lines


Bears +7 @ Saints
Chiefs +8.5 @ Detroit
Jaguars +9 @ Jets
Raiders +3.5 @ Bills
Cardinals +4 @ Redskins
Ravens -6.5 @ Titans
Seahawks +14.5 @ Steelers
Packers -10.5 @ Panthers
Buccaneers +3 @ Vikings
Browns -2 @ Colts
Cowboys -3 @ 49ers
Texans -3 @ Dolphins
Chargers +7 @ Patriots
Bengals +3.5 @ Broncos
Eagles -3 @ Falcons

Rams +6 @ Giants

A lot of you guys aren't picking the Monday night game, Rams at Giants. The Cowboys -3 at 49ers and the Texans -3 at Dolphins are my favorites.

Edited by phragle, 17 September 2011 - 11:57 AM.

[Myt1]

I concur with Cowboys -3 as my pick of the week.

Edited by Myt1, 17 September 2011 - 09:40 PM.

[berezina]

OAK +4 BUF+*
+GBP -10.5 CAR*
KCC +9 DET+*
CLE -2 IND+*
TBB +3 MIN+*
*CHI +7 NOS+
JAX +9 NYJ+*
SEA +14.5 PIT+*
*+BAL -6.5 TEN
*+ARI +4 WAS
*+DAL -3 SFF
*+CIN +3.5 DEN
+HOU -3 MIA*
*SDC +7 NEP+
PHI -3 ATL+*
STL +7 NYG+*

+ winner of game
* vs the spread

Best bet: DET

Week 1: 12-3-1, best bets: 0-0-1.

Edited by berezina, 18 September 2011 - 03:33 AM.

[bowiac]

You are making the mistake of thinking betting lines take mostly football performance in consideration. They are just trying to maximize money gained by predicting on which team people will bet. Even at -7 I'd imagine the vast majority of bets will be placed on the Patriots.

Betting lines take mostly football performance into consideration. It's not the only thing they look at, but it's the biggest thing they look at. If they offered an unfair line that the public was still thrilled with, they would just be inviting bettors with much bigger bankrolls than the public has to bet the other direction.

Vegas lines aren't "right", but they're rarely off by more than a point or two from where they should be.

[dcmissle]

Betting lines take mostly football performance into consideration. It's not the only thing they look at, but it's the biggest thing they look at. If they offered an unfair line that the public was still thrilled with, they would just be inviting bettors with much bigger bankrolls than the public has to bet the other direction.

Vegas lines aren't "right", but they're rarely off by more than a point or two from where they should be.

This strikes me as right -- but I don't consider myself very savvy in this area.

Put differently, *Vegas always wins*, at least when it evens the money out on both sides. That's the foundation.

But it likes *big money* and makes it when lines too good to be true (from the bettor's perspective) turn out that way. That's where the football judgment, inside skinny and other stuff comes in. The other side of this coin is when Vegas, on occasion, gets whipped.

Is this basically correct?

[ColoradoJack]

That jackass Cowboy receiver is going to cost me in one of my pools. Stiff arm the motherfucker and score.

[CaptainLaddie]

Betting the Pats over from here on out. Maybe even the Lions over too.

[Myt1]

The Eagles fucking handed that game away. An obviously superior team done in by barely forced errors.

[PBDWake]

Using KFP's Bodog lines

Bears +7 @ Saints
Chiefs +9 @ Detroit
Jaguars +9 @ Jets
Raiders +3.5 @ Bills
Cardinals +4.5 @ Redskins
Ravens -6.5 @ Titans
Seahawks +15 @ Pittsburgh
Packers -10.5 @ Panthers
Buccaneers +3 @ Vikings
Browns -3 @ Colts
Cowboys -3 @ 49ers
Texans -3 @ Dolphins
Chargers +7 @ New England
Bengals +4.5 @ Broncos
Eagles -3 @ Falcons

Last Week: 11-5, Overall: 11-5

*edit*
Just saw that St. Louis and the Giants wasn't on my list. I don't know what the line was that day, so I'll be using today's (9/17) Bodog line.
St Louis +6 @ NY Giants

10-5-1 this week. 21-10-1 Overall. Looking back and shaking my head at that Ram's pick.

[Old Fart Tree]

Raiders +3.5 @ Bills
Cardinals +4.5 @ Redskins
Buccaneers +3 @ Vikings
Browns -3 @ Colts
Cowboys -3 @ 49ers
Texans -3 @ Dolphins
Chargers +7 @ New England
Eagles -3 @ Falcons
Seahawks +15 @ Pitt

I don't feel good about that last one... but 15 points? In a pro game? Hard not to take the points. And 7 points is too much to give this Chargers team.

5-3-1. I too was hosed by that idiot WR not getting into the endzone against SF, although, I guess I was lucky even to be in that game after they came back from 10 down. And I was right not to feel good about backing the Hawks on the road...

[Kenny F'ing Powers]

Some sites don't have lines up for Eagles/Giants, so I'm using Football locks for these lines.

San Fran (+2) @ Cinci
New England (-9) @ Buffalo
Houston (+4) @ New Orleans
Giants (+5.5) @ Eagles
Miami (+2.5) @ Cleveland
Denver (+7) @ Tennessee
Detroit (-3.5) @ Minnesota
Jacksonville (+3.5) @ Carolina
Kansas City (+14.5) @ San Diego
Jets (-3) @ Raiders
Baltimore (-3.5) @ St. Louis
Atlanta (+1.5) @ Tampa Bay
Arizona (-3) @ Seattle
Green Bay (-3.5) @ Chicago
Steelers (-10.5) @ Colts
Washington (+5.5) @ Dallas

Last Week: 8-7-1, Overall: 18-13-1

[Needlenose's Pole]

San Fran (+2) @ Cinci
New England (-9) @ Buffalo
Houston (+4) @ New Orleans
Giants (+5.5) @ Eagles
Miami (+2.5) @ Cleveland
Denver (+7) @ Tennessee
Detroit (-3.5) @ Minnesota
Jacksonville (+3.5) @ Carolina
Kansas City (+14.5) @ San Diego
Jets (-3) @ Raiders
Baltimore (-3.5) @ St. Louis
Atlanta (+1.5) @ Tampa Bay
Arizona (-3) @ Seattle
Green Bay (-3.5) @ Chicago
Steelers (-10.5) @ Colts
Washington (+5.5) @ Dallas

7-7-1 last week. 13-17-1 overall.

[Dgilpin]

3-2 last week
3-4 on the year

Picks for week 3

Bengals -1.5 vs. 49ers
Bills +9 vs. Pats
Ravens -3.5 @ Rams

[phragle]

Bears +7 @ Saints
Chiefs +8.5 @ Detroit
Jaguars +9 @ Jets
Raiders +3.5 @ Bills
Cardinals +4 @ Redskins
Ravens -6.5 @ Titans
Seahawks +14.5 @ Steelers
Packers -10.5 @ Panthers
Buccaneers +3 @ Vikings
Browns -2 @ Colts
Cowboys -3 @ 49ers
Texans -3 @ Dolphins
Chargers +7 @ Patriots
Bengals +3.5 @ Broncos
Eagles -3 @ Falcons

Rams +6 @ Giants

9-6-1, 16-14-1 overall

[Myt1]

Detroit (-3.5) @ Minnesota
Jets (-3) @ Raiders
Atlanta (+1.5) @ Tampa Bay

Edited by Myt1, 21 September 2011 - 10:17 AM.

[PBDWake]

Using KFP's lines here

San Fran (+2) @ Cinci
New England (-9) @ Buffalo
Houston (+4) @ New Orleans
Giants (+5.5) @ Eagles
Miami (+2.5) @ Cleveland
Denver (+7) @ Tennessee
Detroit (-3.5) @ Minnesota
Jacksonville (+3.5) @ Carolina
Kansas City (+14.5) @ San Diego
Jets (-3) @ Raiders
Baltimore (-3.5) @ St. Louis
Atlanta (+1.5) @ Tampa Bay
Arizona (-3) @ Seattle
Green Bay (-3.5) @ Chicago
Steelers (-10.5) @ Colts
Washington (+5.5) @ Dallas

Last Week: 10-5-1, Overall: 21-10-1