So, the current 15 optioned guys, once everyone gets off the DL, are:
8 guys to add:
That's 23, which needs to be reduced to 14 for next year to make room for Dice-K going back to the 60-day DL.
We're going to deal Atchison, Bowden and Exposito, and promote
, Doubront, Navarro, and Reddick (or Kalish) to MLB.
This leaves the MLB staff with 12:
Beckett, Lester, Buchholz, Lackey, Miller, Wakefield
Bard, Jenks, Weiland
, Doubront, Morales or acquisition
Alfredo Aceves as the guy good enough for MLB whom they have no room for if everyone is healthy. If they re-sign Papelbon, we'll say they deal Doubront to make room.
And if Miller is the LOOGY rather than the 5th starter, I don't think that actually frees up a slot -- because to maintain overall pitching depth they'd either keep Atchison, or do this in conjunction with re-signing Papelbon or picking up another reliever they think might be an Albers-type steal.
So, we still have 23 - 3 dealt - 4 promoted = 16, so there need to be two more trims. A revised version of just the most promising possibilities:
1) Promote Sutton to the MLB MI position, rather than the alternatives (picking up Scutaro's option, obtaining a good-field no-hit SS type who can also pinch-run and steal, or having Navarro fill that slot rather than a backup OF slot, which would probably mean picking up a backup 1B / 3B type. Trading for Hanley would also preclude this, unless Lowrie was going the other way, but you'd think it would be Iglesias). I do like the depth that having Sutton at Pawtucket gives you, though.
2) Put Hottovy on waivers. He may well clear, and even if he's claimed it's as yet unclear how valuable he'd be as a guy with options left. It is worth noting that Cesar Cabral is having a rough year, so there's no one else who looks likely to fill the role of passable LOOGY who can be called up at need.
3) Include 1 or 2 guys in a big deal either at the deadline or over the winter. Although I think they will certainly be interested in Beltran at the deadline, if not sooner, I also think someone with a greater need is likely to outbid us. And note that the three guys who seem easiest to move -- Pimentel, Anderson, and Tejeda -- all are at low points in value.
4) Deal Dice-K for nothing so that he doesn't hog a spot.
These strike me as a bit less likely:
5) Give up on Tejeda, who's having a rough year.
6) Trade the leftover RF (Kalish or Reddick) rather than sending him down to Pawtucket (with Lin, Linares, Chiang, and Hassan, still plenty of OF depth there).
Edited by Eric Van, 01 July 2011 - 09:13 AM.