They may get a fourth of that.
Let him keep talking, it can only be good for the Red Sox.
Edited by phragle, 20 May 2011 - 02:47 PM.
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Posted 20 May 2011 - 02:44 PM
They may get a fourth of that.
Edited by phragle, 20 May 2011 - 02:47 PM.
Posted 21 May 2011 - 09:46 PM
Bundy is incredible, but KG has read some different scouting reports than I have. I don't think he is as good a prospect as Rendon or Cole, but he is up there.
Bauer still depresses me at 5. Hopefully he will hit the bench with a little case of elbow soreness..
He says Jungmann hasn't missed many bats with his 8.34 K/9, but fails to mention his +60% GB rate.
Jed Bradley is better than 12th.
Posted 21 May 2011 - 09:47 PM
Not to derail this at all, but is anyone else nervous about the fact that the Rays have a ton of selections in the first 2 rounds? That organization is stacked and will be even further after the draft.
Bundy is good...but he never scored 4 touchdowns in 1 game like another famous Bundy.![]()
The Sox if I remember correctly got Bentz only because of an injury during the season that dropped his stock. Reynuldo was the same, as I remember anyways. I think if there is one thing this organization is excellent at doing its evaluating talent in the draft.
Posted 22 May 2011 - 12:12 AM
Exactly. They can say they've put the money aside and all... but they aren't going BPA with all those picks like many Rays fans seem to think. They'll certainly have a few safe, signable guys in there that they've felt out ahead of time. The danger of all those picks is that they will grab a good number of quality prospects at a great cost:value ratio AND they likely won't hesitate to pop a couple tough signs early, too (Purke? Hedges??). I know you discounted the Purke possibility, but I wouldn't put it past them to do a Ranaudo with him... do a modern draft-and-follow and see how he does on the Cape. He's supposedly still asking for $4m+ (I think BA/Callis was saying this the other day. Can't find the link). I discounted the idea initially... but I do think its possible now.Yeah I'm aware. They can't just say the will have to draft conservatively because they don't have the funds. They spent over 7 million last year and if they could spend upwards of 12, even 15 million this year. I'll eat my hat if they give somebody like Josh Bell or Archie Bradley 3-4 million, or if they give Matt Purke 2 million in the supplemental round.
I wouldn't call Tim Beckham a "Jason Place," but the Rays haven't tasted unmitigated draft success contrary to the common perception. They couldn't agree with Washington either - though that actually looked to be to their benefit for awhile. I wasn't impressed by their 2010 haul, too.Plus they're due for a few Jason Places. I simply don't believe TB (or anyone) has a sustainable ability to outdraft other teams if they have the same salary restrictions.
Posted 22 May 2011 - 12:27 AM
Exactly. They can say they've put the money aside and all... but they aren't going BPA with all those picks like many Rays fans seem to think. They'll certainly have a few safe, signable guys in there that they've felt out ahead of time. The danger of all those picks is that they will grab a good number of quality prospects at a great cost:value ratio AND they likely won't hesitate to pop a couple tough signs early, too (Purke? Hedges??). I know you discounted the Purke possibility, but I wouldn't put it past them to do a Ranaudo with him... do a modern draft-and-follow and see how he does on the Cape. He's supposedly still asking for $4m+ (I think BA/Callis was saying this the other day. Can't find the link). I discounted the idea initially... but I do think its possible now.
Toronto actually has nearly as many picks and zero hesitation to spend big. They scare me more than Tampa, but there's no way around it... both teams going to land a number of good prospects I'll be jealous of. We just have to take care of our own business and have a great draft of our own (while snickering at whomever the Yanks select at #51).
I wouldn't call Tim Beckham a "Jason Place," but the Rays haven't tasted unmitigated draft success contrary to the common perception. They couldn't agree with Washington either - though that actually looked to be to their benefit for awhile. I wasn't impressed by their 2010 haul, too.
Its almost like its more difficult to draft when you don't have a top 3 pick...
Edited by Midre Cum Ingz, 22 May 2011 - 12:29 AM.
Posted 22 May 2011 - 03:06 PM
I'd love to give you a good answer here, but a few weeks ago I read an article with the top 15 GB% of college pitchers, and Jungmann was like 7th with a GB% over 60.Where do you find groundball rates for college pitchers?I'm curious to know what Jed Bradley's is.
When he said 'TB' he meant Tampa Bay, not Tim Beckham.I wouldn't call Tim Beckham a "Jason Place," but the Rays haven't tasted unmitigated draft success contrary to the common perception. They couldn't agree with Washington either - though that actually looked to be to their benefit for awhile. I wasn't impressed by their 2010 haul, too.
Its almost like its more difficult to draft when you don't have a top 3 pick...
Posted 22 May 2011 - 03:31 PM
I'd love to give you a good answer here, but a few weeks ago I read an article with the top 15 GB% of college pitchers, and Jungmann was like 7th with a GB% over 60.
Here are two articles I found while searching for the original article:
http://m.espn.go.com...6472107&lang=ES
http://baseballdraft...und-ball-kings/
Unfortunately there are no sites (that I know of) that actually have any good stats for the NCAA. Collegesplits is probably the best.
When he said 'TB' he meant Tampa Bay, not Tim Beckham.
Posted 22 May 2011 - 03:41 PM
I was saying Beckham has been a disappointment as a Rays pick, though not quite to the level of a Jason Place level bust.Where on earth did he compare Tim Beckham to Jason Place...
You're wrong. I said Weeks was considered perhaps the toolsiest college player in that draft. The reason I brought that up was to illustrate that college players simply aren't that toolsy most of the time - thus George Springer has pretty exceptional tools for a college player. I quoted BA saying Springer has perhaps the best tools of any college player in the last decade... Maybe that's what you're thinking of.I've seen you do this a lot of minorleagueball.com, make counter arguments to arguments that don't even exist.
Or make the assumption that a guy is "toolsy" because he's athletic.
Saw you call Jemile Weeks one of the toolsiest college players to come to mind in the last decade when, in fact, he has never has more than 1 above-average tool.
That was my first thought, too, but we shall see... I don't think its out of the question anymore. If they think he can be signed for ~$3m+ they might decide to do it with a later supplemental pick. They might also decide to take the opportunity to see if he rebounds in the summer and try to steal an extra first round quality player in the face of potential of hard slotting in the next CBA. While 3-4-5 million is a not insignificant amount, the draft remains one of the best bargains for teams and the Rays are very aware of that. Whether they take Purke or not the point I was making is that they Rays and perhaps Jays are well suited to take a chance like that.And there is zero chance the Rays touch Purke, a kid who not only has significant shoulder concerns, but who would also put a major dent in their draft budget.
They would either have to make major reaches and sign practically everyone else below slot or they would have to expect to not sign a good 5 or 6 of their early picks.
Posted 22 May 2011 - 03:51 PM
I phrased that awkwardly... He said Tampa is due for a few Jason Places (ie Busts). I was responding that they may already have drafted some (ie. Beckham).When he said 'TB' he meant Tampa Bay, not Tim Beckham.
Posted 22 May 2011 - 04:18 PM
Posted 22 May 2011 - 05:08 PM
Jungmann is obviously intriguing with his stuff and command.
But his mechanics are downright dreadful.
Someone on PP compared them to Jered Weaver if Weaver were paralyzed from the waist down.
I completely agree. He throws completely across his body, tall-and-fall, and neglects to use his lower body at all.
He need his delivery to be entirely fixed.
Who knows if he comes back with the same stuff and command with a revamped delivery.
Some guys are so used to throwing a certain way that they respond poorly to mechanical changes, in this case very, very significant mechanical changes.
Posted 22 May 2011 - 06:31 PM
Me and GG33 discussed this on page 3 here: http://sonsofsamhorn...ost__p__3472563
And while this is true "Who knows if he comes back with the same stuff and command with a revamped delivery." the opposite is also true. He could come back with better stuff and better command.


Edited by Midre Cum Ingz, 22 May 2011 - 06:37 PM.
Posted 23 May 2011 - 12:52 AM
Edited by phragle, 23 May 2011 - 07:24 AM.
Posted 23 May 2011 - 07:29 AM
19. Boston Red Sox: Josh Bell, OF, Dallas Jesuit HSAgent affiliation and a strong commitment to Texas means that it may take a good chunk of change to get Bell in the fold. There's no better team at overcoming such obstacles than the Red Sox, who would gladly welcome his impact bat into the system.
26. Boston Red Sox: Jose Fernandez, RHP, Alonso HS, TampaJose Fernandez, meet Blake Swihart and Daniel Norris, your Aflac All-American teammates that didn't expect to be available in the 20s. Fernandez, a big-bodied righty with an equally big arm, will give the Red Sox two exciting talents in the first round.http://www.perfectga...px?article=5677
Posted 23 May 2011 - 09:14 PM
Bundy also said he wants 30 million
@jimcallisBAJim CallisSticker shock: Teams being told asking price on Dylan Bundy is 6 yrs, $30 million. For Archie Bradley, 5 yrs and $20 million. #mlbdraft
They may get a fourth of that.
http://sportsillustr...thia/index.htmlExecs estimate that $6 to $7 million would be more in line. Bundy has a scholarship offer to the University of Texas but is seen as likely to sign.
The football status of both Bradley and Kansas outfielder Bubba Starling, a second two-sport prospect who is a slam-dunk to be drafted in the first round, brings into play the $5.25 million deal that quarterback/righthander Zach Lee signed last year with the Los Angeles Dodgers as the 28th overall pick. Lee was a 4-star quarterback at a suburban Dallas high school with a football ride to Louisiana State, but would have almost definitely ranked behind Bradley as a pitching prospect. Scouts have indicated that Bradley's camp is circulating the figure of $6 million, a bonus that would be spread out over the standard five-year contract for dual-sport athletes.
University of Virginia left-hander Danny Hultzen, UCLA right-hander Trevor Bauer and Kansas high school outfielder Bubba Starling are all moving up in the draft. Hultzen was wise to turn down $2 million from the Diamondbacks in a pervious draft,. The D-backs pick No. 3 and 7 this year, so they may get another crack. Some see the Cubs, who don't mind two-sport stars (they have Jeff Samardzija), as likely to take Starling at No. 9 if he's still available. Starling has a scholarship to play quarterback for the University of Nebraska.
Edited by phragle, 24 May 2011 - 01:59 AM.
Posted 24 May 2011 - 02:36 PM
Posted 24 May 2011 - 02:44 PM
I'd be shocked if Bradley even got that much. It'll definitely be interesting to see how much leverage players have with this likely being the last year of bonus babies.From Heyman on Dylan Bundy
http://sportsillustr...thia/index.html
From Perfect Game on Archie Bradley
http://www.perfectga...px?article=5655
Also from Heyman (same article)
Oh, hey Frederick.Someone on PP compared them to Jered Weaver if Weaver were paralyzed from the waist down.
I completely agree.
Edited by TheGoldenGreek33, 24 May 2011 - 02:48 PM.
Posted 24 May 2011 - 04:30 PM
I would absolutely love for Bradley @ 19. Two weeks away, I'll play:I tried not to go overboard, but this would be my ideal first round draft.
1, 19. Jed Bradley, Matt Barnes, or Mikie Mahtook
1, 26. Josh Bell, Andrew Susac, or Jackie Bradley Jr
1S, 36. Josh Osich, Austin Hedges, or Henry Owens
1S, 40. Kyle Crick, Anthony Meo, or Trevor Story
Edit: Though about it more and added some things. I heard Jed Bradley was dropping. Clearly I want a high ceiling outfielder.
Posted 24 May 2011 - 06:03 PM
If you're going to be afraid of the Rays then be afraid of the Blue Jays too. They have a ton of high picks like the Rays, and spent more than the Sox last year.The Rays are going to load up this June. And yes, you should be afraid.
It would be a tragedy if Archie Bradley got less than Zach Lee got last year. Though I think that says more about how much Lee got rather than how much Bradley will get.I'd be shocked if Bradley even got that much. It'll definitely be interesting to see how much leverage players have with this likely being the last year of bonus babies.
Posted 24 May 2011 - 06:23 PM
I am, for sure. The Jays and Rays have two of the best systems in baseball. Anthropoulos has done a tremendous job bringing in talent.If you're going to be afraid of the Rays then be afraid of the Blue Jays too. They have a ton of high picks like the Rays, and spent more than the Sox last year.
Posted 24 May 2011 - 06:33 PM
I'd be shocked if Bradley even got that much. It'll definitely be interesting to see how much leverage players have with this likely being the last year of bonus babies.
Oh, hey Frederick.
Posted 24 May 2011 - 06:36 PM
Posted 24 May 2011 - 06:36 PM
Looks good. I really don't care much for Stilson. I'm very skeptical that delivery can hold up for 180+ IP. Its an arm I'd like in my org. anyways, but not in the 1st... which is what it will probably take.I would absolutely love for Bradley @ 19. Two weeks away, I'll play:
1.19: Jed Bradley; Levi Michael; Daniel Norris
1.26: John Stilson; Kolten Wong; Cory Spangenberg
1s.36: Andrew Chafin; Tyler Beede; Jackie Bradley Jr.
1s.40: Trevor Story; Brandon Nimmo; Granden Goetzman
Posted 24 May 2011 - 06:56 PM
Looks good. I really don't care much for Stilson. I'm very skeptical that delivery can hold up for 180+ IP. Its an arm I'd like in my org. anyways, but not in the 1st... which is what it will probably take.
For me, going off my follow list/big board -
1.19: Dillon Howard; Andrew Susac; C.J. Cron
1.26: Henry Owens; Mike Mahtook; Tyler Beede (I'm going to watch him tomorrow actually. Hoping the Sox work out something before so they can grab him a little later though!)
1s.36: Charlie Tilson; Derek Fisher; Michael Kelly
1s.40: Kelly, Matt Dean, Anthony Meo, Austin hedges
Obviously that's a little too prep arm heavy to be realistic... and if I were to land one of those top targets I would likely go with a more signable college player next instead. So this would be more like what my board would look like in terms of BPA at each pick independent of the others, if that makes sense. A more realistic draft that would excite me would be something like: Susac, Mahtook, Meo, Beede. Strong chance in the early to mid rounds that we can still grab a couple tough signs we all love after that, too. We're really in a great position.
Posted 24 May 2011 - 06:58 PM
Posted 24 May 2011 - 07:01 PM
Looks good. I really don't care much for Stilson. I'm very skeptical that delivery can hold up for 180+ IP. Its an arm I'd like in my org. anyways, but not in the 1st... which is what it will probably take.
For me, going off my follow list/big board -
1.19: Dillon Howard; Andrew Susac; C.J. Cron
1.26: Henry Owens; Mike Mahtook; Tyler Beede (I'm going to watch him tomorrow actually. Hoping the Sox work out something before so they can grab him a little later though!)
1s.36: Charlie Tilson; Derek Fisher; Michael Kelly
1s.40: Kelly, Matt Dean, Anthony Meo, Austin hedges
Obviously that's a little too prep arm heavy to be realistic... and if I were to land one of those top targets I would likely go with a more signable college player next instead. So this would be more like what my board would look like in terms of BPA at each pick independent of the others, if that makes sense. A more realistic draft that would excite me would be something like: Susac, Mahtook, Meo, Beede. Strong chance in the early to mid rounds that we can still grab a couple tough signs we all love after that, too. We're really in a great position.
Edited by Midre Cum Ingz, 24 May 2011 - 07:02 PM.
Posted 24 May 2011 - 07:02 PM
Howard is a first round talent, but I think Howard is going to drop significantly dude to signability. I know the Yankees have been scouting him extensively, and their first pick is at 51. I don't think he will last that long, but I could see him getting picked up around 36 or 40.Looks good. I really don't care much for Stilson. I'm very skeptical that delivery can hold up for 180+ IP. Its an arm I'd like in my org. anyways, but not in the 1st... which is what it will probably take.
For me, going off my follow list/big board -
1.19: Dillon Howard; Andrew Susac; C.J. Cron
1.26: Henry Owens; Mike Mahtook; Tyler Beede (I'm going to watch him tomorrow actually. Hoping the Sox work out something before so they can grab him a little later though!)
1s.36: Charlie Tilson; Derek Fisher; Michael Kelly
1s.40: Kelly, Matt Dean, Anthony Meo, Austin hedges
Obviously that's a little too prep arm heavy to be realistic... and if I were to land one of those top targets I would likely go with a more signable college player next instead. So this would be more like what my board would look like in terms of BPA at each pick independent of the others, if that makes sense. A more realistic draft that would excite me would be something like: Susac, Mahtook, Meo, Beede. Strong chance in the early to mid rounds that we can still grab a couple tough signs we all love after that, too. We're really in a great position.
Frankie Piliere
Edited by phragle, 24 May 2011 - 08:35 PM.
Posted 24 May 2011 - 07:11 PM
I take it you think he can stay in center?That is pretty ballsy having 2 prep arms ahead of one of the surest bats you will ever see in the draft, Mikie Mahtook.
If Mahtook's not in CF then he's gonna drop damn fine defense in LF.
The only prep pitcher I take furshur over Mahtook is Bundy. And then I think about Guerrieri and Bradley.
Posted 24 May 2011 - 07:40 PM
I take it you think he can stay in center?
Posted 24 May 2011 - 09:24 PM
I love this guy. I'd give him 6 mil in a second, but it's not my money.Bradley entered the year as our top-rated high school pitching prospect for the 2011 draft, and after a slow start, he finished as strong as ever. He hit 101 mph on the scoreboard radar gun and backed up his heat with a hammer curveball while winning the Oklahoma 6-A state championship game.
Don't be so defensive, I wasn't criticizing you.][/size]I have no idea.
But let's just stay he moves over to LF (and play above-average defense there).
Having two guys like Howard and Owens ahead of Mahtook is very puzzling, unless you don't care about floor whatsoever.
Posted 24 May 2011 - 09:39 PM
http://www.baseballa...11/2611788.html
I love this guy. I'd give him 6 mil in a second, but it's not my money.
Don't be so defensive, I wasn't criticizing you.
Edited by Midre Cum Ingz, 24 May 2011 - 10:01 PM.
Posted 24 May 2011 - 10:10 PM
Posted 24 May 2011 - 11:02 PM
I have no idea how you have been banned everywhere else
Posted 25 May 2011 - 11:09 AM
Have you seen his swing? It has metal bat swing written all over it.That is pretty ballsy having 2 prep arms ahead of one of the surest bats you will ever see in the draft, Mikie Mahtook.
Posted 25 May 2011 - 11:15 AM
Have you seen his swing? It has metal bat swing written all over it.
Edited by Midre Cum Ingz, 25 May 2011 - 11:20 AM.
Posted 25 May 2011 - 11:21 AM
Yup. Its a little choppy. Seems like that bat head doesn't stay in the zone long... don't like the swing plane, either. His backside collapses a lot, too.Have you seen his swing? It has metal bat swing written all over it.
Posted 25 May 2011 - 11:36 AM
Yup. Its a little choppy. Seems like that bat head doesn't stay in the zone long... don't like the swing plane, either. His backside collapses a lot, too.
I like Mahtook, and I think he will hit enough as a pro to be at least an average corner OF with good defense. I just like a lot of players more in this draft.
Edited by Midre Cum Ingz, 25 May 2011 - 11:37 AM.
Posted 25 May 2011 - 11:38 AM
Posted 25 May 2011 - 12:09 PM
Edited by Midre Cum Ingz, 27 May 2011 - 10:13 PM.
Posted 25 May 2011 - 02:12 PM
My wishlist:
1.19: Jed Bradley/George Springer
1.26: Mikie Yourtook/Taylor Guerrieri/Josh Bell/Blake Swihart
1s.36: Tyler Beede/Jackie Bradley Jr.
1s.40: Jason Esposito/Robert Stephenson/CJ Cron/Kolten Wong/Henry Owens
NEED VIDEO ON SPANGENBERG AND HOWARD
Edited by Jimothy, 25 May 2011 - 02:16 PM.
Posted 25 May 2011 - 05:24 PM
Dillon Howard video: http://mlb.mlb.com/v...p_copy_14747951
Edit: Not good with the whole internet thing, but if you scroll right on the bottom there is video of Howard there.
Here is the link to the top 50: http://mlb.mlb.com/m...011/#list=draft. Howard is #18 and his video is embedded there.
Posted 25 May 2011 - 05:53 PM
Posted 25 May 2011 - 05:54 PM
Posted 25 May 2011 - 06:52 PM
Cumulative Mock Draft Board. Interesting.
http://www.raysprosp...raft-board.html
Posted 25 May 2011 - 08:18 PM
Posted 25 May 2011 - 08:29 PM
Edited by ehaz, 25 May 2011 - 08:33 PM.
Posted 25 May 2011 - 09:06 PM
And Springer playing CF