Posted 25 June 2010 - 04:58 PM
Some numbers from the first round:
Europe: 15-14-10 (W-L-D), 6 teams out of 13 in knockout round.
South America: 10-1-4, 5 teams out of 5.
North/Central America: 2-3-4, 2 teams out of 3.
Asia/Oceania: 4-6-5, 2 teams out of 5.
Africa: 3-10-5, 1 team out of 6.
Points Earned:
9 - 2 teams, 2 in knockout round.
7 - 2 teams, 2 in knockout round.
6 - 4 teams, 4 in knockout round.
5 - 4 teams, 4 in knockout round.
4 - 9 teams, 4 in knockout round.
3 - 4 teams.
2 - 1 team.
1 - 4 teams.
0 - 2 teams.
Rankings:
I looked at the FIFA rankings versus the most-quoted ELO rankings.
Based on pure group standings, the ELO rankings were slightly superior (solely due to group B's performance by South Korea).
Based on individual match results, there were four decisions where FIFA rankings indicated one team was favored, and ELO the other. The higher ELO squad won three of those four.
Most surprising knockout participants: Ghana, Japan, Slovakia, South Korea.
Most surprising eliminations: France, Italy.
Most ridiculous road to elimination: Serbia (beat Germany, lost to Australia and Ghana).
Round of 16:
Uruguay (16 FIFA, 14 ELO) vs. South Korea (47, 23)
United States (14, 22) vs. Ghana (32, 41)
Brazil (1, 1) vs. Chile (18, 10)
Netherlands (4, 3) vs. Slovakia (34, 49)
Argentina (7, 7) vs. Mexico (17, 8)
Germany (6, 5) vs. England (8, 4)
Paraguay (31, 24) vs. Japan (45, 43)
Spain (2, 2) vs. Portugal (3, 11)
Interesting that we'll have four South American teams favored to be in the final 8, and three European teams guaranteed a spot. USA will be favored to beat Ghana, though that's the last African squad.
Goals:
101 total goals scored (1.05 per team per match).
7 - Argentina, Portugal (all in one match, 6 in one half).
5 - Brazil, Germany, Netherlands, South Korea.
4 - Italy, Ivory Coast, Japan, Slovakia, Spain, United States, Uruguay.
...
0 - Algeria, Honduras.
Conceded:
12 - North Korea.
6 - Australia, Denmark, South Korea.
5 - Cameroon, Greece, Italy, Nigeria, Slovakia, South Africa.
4 - France.
...
1 - Argentina, England, Germany, Netherlands, Paraguay, Switzerland.
0 - Portugal, Uruguay.