Well, right now they have Guthrie (for 3 more years), Uehara (for 1 or 5 -- Cott's is unclear whether his release is required after 2 years), Bergesen (#18 prospect starting the year), Hernandez (16), Berken (17), Tillman (2), and Matusz (3). They have Arrieta (4) at AAA and Brandon Erbe (6), Troy Patton (8) and Steve Johnson (Dodgers 15 from the Sherrill trade) at AA, and Zach Britton (12) at high-A. All of those guys had good years (11 Chorye Spoone, 15 Bobby Bundy, and 21 Pedro Beato didn't; and Radhames Liz continues to get nothing out of his arm). I think they have enough to trade somebody.
Eric, my only contention is that the O's have enough pitching to out bid the Sox for Adrian Gonzalez, while at the same time retaining enough to make a Tampa Bay like run in '11. It really depends on who each team is making "untouchable," but it seems to me that to do that the O's would have to part with their most promising young arms (Matuz and Tillman) + more of the guys you list, and when added to the likely attrition of young arms I'm not sure there's a lot of rotational depth for 2011.
Who do you think the O's would put in a package that the Sox would or could not top?
Edit 2: if you read the 1B Market report you can see that the Indians, White Sox, Mariners, Braves, and Mets (if they can scrounge up enough talent to deal) should be in on this, too. I may look at what they've got to offer next (although off the top of my head I know the Indians have three catchers in Shoppach, Marson, and Santana, and a SS to deal in Peralta, whose move to 3B didn't work out at all).
No, I read it, but it did not seem particularly relevant to the point I was making. However since we're talking about talent in trade and not the FA market, what do you think each team has to offer in a deal?Indians:
They seem to be in rebuilding mode, and are aiming at players with more control than Adrian Gonzalez, who would only be under control for one year before he would leave to FA. It wouldn't make sense for them to pay for a year that they won't use him, and they have been good about getting players with a full 6 yrs of control back in the deals they've made. I doubt they'd deal Santana, and I'm not sure in what world Peralta is an asset in a trade.White Sox:
It seems like they kind of shot their wad on the Peavy acquisition.Mariners:
Their farm system ranks as the worst of all you've listed (at least from the last BA handbook). Probably the only way they can pull the talent together to get in on a deal is to trade King Felix.Braves:
I think a lot of the value in their system is top heavy; they made a lot of players untouchable last year, and I'm sure that Hanson and Heyward are still off the table.Mets:
I really don't see think they have the talent to be players in this market.