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8/11 PENBIS ANALYSIS GAME THREAD: Sox vs. Tiggers
#1
Posted 11 August 2009 - 05:35 AM
#2
Posted 11 August 2009 - 08:51 AM
He doesn't walk many batters at all (2.38 BB rate in AA, 3.38 K/BB ratio in AA this season).
#3
Posted 11 August 2009 - 03:11 PM
1. Ellsbury 8
2. Pedroia 4
3. Martinez 3
4. Youkilis 5
5. Drew 9
6. Bay 7
7. Ortiz DH
8. Varitek 2
9. Green 6
Ortiz: .707 OPS vs. righties
Drew: .853 OPS vs. righties
I'd even fight for Lowell being in the lineup as the DH. Lowell has a .773 OPS vs. righties.
#4
Posted 11 August 2009 - 03:18 PM
1. Ellsbury 8
2. Pedroia 4
3. Martinez 3
4. Youkilis 5
5. Drew 9
6. Bay 7
7. Ortiz DH
8. Varitek 2
9. Green 6
Ortiz: .707 OPS vs. righties
Drew: .853 OPS vs. righties
I'd even fight for Lowell being in the lineup as the DH. Lowell has a .773 OPS vs. righties.
And you're batting 100% in the who's in department. From the Globe:
Red Sox
1. Jacoby Ellsbury, CF
2. Dustin Pedroia, 2B
3. Victor Martinez, 1B
4. Kevin Youkilis, 3B
5. David Ortiz, DH
6. Jason Bay, LF
7. J.D. Drew, RF
8. Jason Varitek, C
9. Nick Green, SS
-- Junichi Tazawa, RHP
Edited by Redkluzu, 11 August 2009 - 03:22 PM.
#5
Posted 11 August 2009 - 05:52 PM
Red Sox
1. Jacoby Ellsbury, CF
2. Dustin Pedroia, 2B
3. Victor Martinez, 1B
4. Kevin Youkilis, 3B
5. David Ortiz, DH
6. Jason Bay, LF
7. J.D. Drew, RF
8. Jason Varitek, C
9. Nick Green, SS
-- Junichi Tazawa, RHP
i'm with RedOctober: I would switch Ortiz and Drew, personally. That's not a horrible lineup. Something I know I can look up quick, but did the Sox face Porcello last time? Or could this be a case of another young pitcher making the Sox look ridiculous?
#6
Posted 11 August 2009 - 06:10 PM
Anyway, I heard on XM 175 Armando Gallaraga had to go back to the hotel in Boston, and is now questionable for his start tomorrow due to illness.
#7
Posted 11 August 2009 - 06:11 PM
#8
Posted 11 August 2009 - 06:14 PM
Here 3 runs in 4.1 innings last time. Incidentally, he was facing Dice-K last time, so this should seem familiar.
Porcello has a 1.98 ERA is last two starts, but they were against Baltimore and Cleveland. His ERA is in the double digits vs any team he has two starts against.
Here's hoping the Sox can get to him again, as I think they might need it.
#9
Posted 11 August 2009 - 06:15 PM
They did face him in the last series, Porcello went 4.1 IP, with 8 hits, 3 ER, 1 BB, and 2 K's
#10
Posted 11 August 2009 - 06:18 PM
#11
Posted 11 August 2009 - 06:20 PM
#12
Posted 11 August 2009 - 06:22 PM
#13
Posted 11 August 2009 - 06:24 PM
Eck said the play "took a long time to develop," --essentially what you're saying. But I thought Pedey's throw was a titch off too, no?
#14
Posted 11 August 2009 - 06:24 PM
He seems like what the Sox envisioned Lugo being defensively: plus range making up for mediocre instincts and off-target throws. UZR believes that to be the case (defense SSS obviously), and it seems like his range has improved as he's gotten more time.
#15
Posted 11 August 2009 - 06:25 PM
#16
Posted 11 August 2009 - 06:26 PM
#17
Posted 11 August 2009 - 06:30 PM
Yea, but he would've had more time to get off a better throw with a quicker turn.
#18
Posted 11 August 2009 - 06:30 PM
10 inches of vertical movement, and 7 horizontal.
His fastball isn't very fast.
#19
Posted 11 August 2009 - 06:30 PM
Well, it looked like his error on the previous DP had Green completely unwilling to go down to a knee and make the sidearm throw, which would have been the correct play. Instead, he tried the running flip, which takes longer to get off AND travels slower. As a result, the ball didn't get to Pedroia until the runner was pretty much on top of him. The hitch in the throw you saw was a result of him having to basically throw with all arm off his back foot, and he got nothing on it.
One of the best lessons I ever got about playing infield is that the ball is the fastest thing on the diamond. Get your throw off quickly and with authority, and it will do the job for you. Don't get cute by throwing off balance or trying crazy flips.
#20
Posted 11 August 2009 - 06:31 PM
Edited by Shoeless Joe Wood, 11 August 2009 - 06:31 PM.
#21
Posted 11 August 2009 - 06:31 PM
In Pedroia's defense, the runner was on him and well off the base path (how often is that called?) when he attempted that jump-throw.
#22
Posted 11 August 2009 - 06:33 PM
#23
Posted 11 August 2009 - 06:34 PM
That's Green's fault. He allowed the ball to take a third bounce, essentially passively playing the ball, and made a slow underhand flip to Pedroia instead of a sharp throw.
It's amazing how bad of a SS Nick Green is. You've got a rookie pitcher on the mound in some trouble, and a gift-wrapped chance to get the kid out of the inning without any runs scoring, and Nick Green couldn't make the most routine of plays. No example could better serve to show that baseball is definitely a team game.
#24
Posted 11 August 2009 - 06:34 PM
10 inches of vertical movement, and 7 horizontal.
His fastball isn't very fast.
To me, it looks similar to Dice-K's. Huge drop, but it's big and slow rather than a sharp hook.
Edited by BucketOBalls, 11 August 2009 - 06:35 PM.
#25
Posted 11 August 2009 - 06:39 PM
It's amazing how bad of a SS Nick Green is. You've got a rookie pitcher on the mound in some trouble, and a gift-wrapped chance to get the kid out of the inning without any runs scoring, and Nick Green couldn't make the most routine of plays. No example could better serve to show that baseball is definitely a team game.
To me, the runs aren't even the biggest cost there, although they don't help. It's the wasted pitches. Tazawa threw 19 pitches after the first error, and 15 after the second. That's pretty much one full inning on the mound that Green cost Tazawa, and one extra inning that the bullpen will have to throw.
That's what really pisses me off about the errors, even more than the runs allowed.
Edit: Through/throw, same thing, right?
Edited by The Four Peters, 11 August 2009 - 06:43 PM.
#26
Posted 11 August 2009 - 06:40 PM
Edited by mabrowndog, 12 August 2009 - 01:22 PM.
#27
Posted 11 August 2009 - 06:42 PM
That's what really pisses me off about the errors, even more than the runs allowed.
Agreed. The runs you can get back, the pitches you can't.
#28
Posted 11 August 2009 - 06:43 PM
#29
Posted 11 August 2009 - 06:45 PM
Or that defense at SS is critical to game outcomes.
#30
Posted 11 August 2009 - 06:45 PM
Porcello has Josh Beckett like stuff that 2-seamer is downright filthy. Good 4-seamer and change too. He'll have a bright future, thanks Julio.
#31
Posted 11 August 2009 - 06:48 PM
Gracias.
#32
Posted 11 August 2009 - 06:49 PM
#33
Posted 11 August 2009 - 06:52 PM
That'd be a yes. BIG blow to the Tigers if it's bad.
#34
Posted 11 August 2009 - 06:53 PM
He's definitely slow. And he's got horrible footwork. On the first DP he fucked up, he wasn't able to adjust to the hop the ball took because of how his legs were positioned and he got caught flat-footed. After fielding it in the crouch position, he teetered forward, fell off balance, and rushed his throw wide right.
On the second one, as noted, he let the ball take an extra hop -- as if he was going to great pains not to muff it -- and made the lazy-ass lob throw and it wound up costing him. He was wayyy to deliberate.
#35
Posted 11 August 2009 - 06:54 PM
Fenway Inflation Factor definitely gone following the last road trip.
#36
Posted 11 August 2009 - 06:58 PM
Edited by Redkluzu, 11 August 2009 - 06:58 PM.
#37
Posted 11 August 2009 - 06:58 PM
#38
Posted 11 August 2009 - 06:58 PM
#39
Posted 11 August 2009 - 07:00 PM
#40
Posted 11 August 2009 - 07:01 PM
Even with someone other than Bob Watson meting out discipline for the league, Youk would definitely be suspended. Watson's presence virtually ensures it'll be heavy-handed.
#41
Posted 11 August 2009 - 07:01 PM
#42
Posted 11 August 2009 - 07:02 PM
The chances of Youk avoiiding a suspension from Bob Watson are about 1 in a quadrillion.
#43
Posted 11 August 2009 - 07:03 PM
Four-seamer
#44
Posted 11 August 2009 - 07:04 PM
I agree.
I'll trade Youk to get Porcello out of the game.
Anyway. I dont think Taz had his best stuff in the beginning, his forkball has had more run and more sink as the game has progressed
#45
Posted 11 August 2009 - 07:04 PM
To be fair, Porcello didn't look like he was expecting a fight. If he was throwing at Youks intentionally, I would have expected Porcello to drop his mitt hockey style and not retreat back.
#46
Posted 11 August 2009 - 07:05 PM
Agreed. Especially since Youk sprinted out to Porcello and pretty much threw his helmet at the guy's legs. Watson's going to throw the book at him.
#47
Posted 11 August 2009 - 07:05 PM
He hit him on an 0-2 pitch with two on and one out - that's not something I'd classify as intentional. Porcello nearly drilled Martinez on the first pitch with none on and two out in the first and then hit Youkilis on the first pitch to lead off an inning - certainly situations where it would seem to be intentional.
#48
Posted 11 August 2009 - 07:05 PM
#49
Posted 11 August 2009 - 07:05 PM
#50
Posted 11 August 2009 - 07:06 PM
I'll trade Youk to get Porcello out of the game.
Anyway. I dont think Taz had his best stuff in the beginning, his forkball has had more run and more sink as the game has progressed
Nice catch. His first two were hangers; the next bunch look pretty good.
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