As we have in the past, this year we are having an annual predictions contest. However, the addition this year will be a community projection of Red Sox players. We will be taking submissions in spreadsheet form. See instructions below.
The idea was given birth by PKB in one of the various mega-threads of the off-season. Here is what he had to say:
Jumping off from the lesson of the book "The Wisdom of Crowds" and also the results of Tango's fan projection project, I think it'd be cool if we were able to set up a community projection for Sox players this season.
I'm curious what the combined wisdom of several hundred Sox fans (or more, with lurkers, or whoever takes the time to do it) would be on this. Different than the regular projection contest, I think the output here would be a single SoSH community projection for these guys, and we could track it's performance versus various projection systems out there (PECOTA, Shandler, ZIPS, Marcel, whatever). I know the second part we've done before but I don't think we've done a full community projection here.
You can find an entire thread discussing the project if you go into the Geekage forum. Or you can click here.
Data will be collated and projections will be created in a format somewhat similar to a PECOTA player card. For purposes of getting this done before Opening Day, the deadline for submission will be March 15.
The spreadsheet will also have a bunch of the regular topics from the annual prediction contest. Those data will not be analyzed until a little later in the season, however the deadline remains March 15.
Nip was kind enough to host the spreadsheet Here.
1. Download spreadsheet.
2. Fill in spreadsheet.
3. email spreadsheet to [email protected] submissions entered any other way will likely be ignored.
Thanks everyone, and please participate - the project is open to anyone who can read this message, which means lurkers are also included.
Edited by smastroyin, 16 February 2006 - 10:31 AM.