10 replies to this topic

[behindthepen]

OPENING DAY

2008 TITLE DEFENSE
	DETROIT	0-6	at	BOSTON	3-4
Tue 2:05	LHP Rogers	0-1, 3.00, 131 era+		Matsuzaka	1-0, 2.31, 177 era+	NESN - WEEI
Wed 7:05	RHP Bonderman	0-1, 5.68, 69 era+		Lester	1-1, 3.38, 121 era+	NESN - WEEI
Thu 7:05	LHP Robertson	0-0, 9.00, 44 era+		Wakefield	0-0, 4.50, 91 era+	NESN - WRKO

07 stats

	Offense:										Pitching:
	RPG			OPS+	AVG	OBP	SLG	2B	HR		RAPG			ERA+	BB/G	K/G	HR	Bullpen ERA
DET	5.48	5.44	road	110	.287	.345	.458	352	177		4.92	4.69	road	100	3.5	6.5	174	4.37
BOS	5.35	5.83	home	107	.279	.362	.444	352	166		4.06	4.35	home	123	3.0	7.1	151	3.10
AL	4.90				.271	.338	.423				4.90				3.3	6.5

edit: that whole home/road thing.

The most feared lineup in baseball this season has pounded out 15 runs ... so far. At home. Against the Royals and White Sox. At least their pitching is dead last in Runs allowed. They've been giving up hits and walking the park as well. So let's keep our fingers crossed for the expected reversion to the mean for Ordonez and Polanco, while age catches up with Sheffield, Rodriguez and Renteria.


We also get to see 2 LHP's start. The Gambler is not a big fan of Fenway (5.48 career ERA); neither is Bonderman (7.56 ERA in 3 starts). They both have healthy splits, so I have to believe we'll see an extra RHB in the lineup in the form of Coco.

Edited by behindthepen, 07 April 2008 - 08:40 PM.

[Fratboy]

What do the home offense and pitching for the Sox and away offense and pitching for the Tigers look like?

[mabrowndog]

We won't see him this weekend, but one of the Tigers' top pitching prospects is a 6'5" lefty from Portland, Maine. He also spent a couple of kick-ass summers in the Cape League and has the most awesome name in all of baseball:

Charlie Furbush

(Yeah, this is a Jason Stark-esque hijack, but it simply had to be done.)

[behindthepen]

What do the home offense and pitching for the Sox and away offense and pitching for the Tigers look like?

d'oh!

[JimBoSox9]

Has anyone seen anything about the Thursday game being moved to 5:30 to facilite getaway plans for the two teams? It's being INSISTED to me that it was on WEEI this morning, but I cannot find any online indication whatsoever that this is true.

[behindthepen]

BONDERMAN

Interesting when I looked at the 08 forecasts on fangraphs.com, they are universally forecasting a return to his '06 ERA in the low 4's. I guess they like 25 year old pitchers, but since he was shut down last season after Sept 9 with a bad elbow, I guess I'd be reluctant to give him the benefit of the doubt. In his first start vs. KC, he didn't fool anyone, giving up 8 hits, 2 HR and 2 BB while only striking out 1. Tiggers fans are excited because he has good career numbers vs Papi, Tek Youks, Crisp, Lowell.

Bonderman

Year	BA	OBP	SLG	OPS	BAbip	sOPS+	K%PA	BB%PA	2B	HR	G	IP	ERA
2004	.242	.321	.406	.726	.283	91	21.2%	9.2%	34	24	33	184	4.89
2005	.271	.326	.436	.762	.312	103	18.1%	7.1%	44	21	29	189	4.57
2006	.259	.312	.405	.717	.320	86	22.4%	7.1%	47	18	34	214	4.08
2007	.278	.326	.453	.779	.320	104	19.3%	6.4%	41	23	28	174	5.01
2008	.296	.345	.519	.863	.250	135	3.4%	6.9%	0	2	1	6	5.68
Split	BA	OBP	SLG	OPS	BAbip	sOPS+	K%PA	BB%PA	2B	HR	G	IP	ERA
RHB	.253	.306	.386	.692	.307	82	21.7%	6.3%	76	40
LHB	.281	.343	.474	.817	.314	114	17.2%	8.5%	134	71
Split	BA	OBP	SLG	OPS	BAbip	sOPS+	K%PA	BB%PA	2B	HR	G	IP	ERA
Bases Empty	.262	.312	.432	.744
Men On	.278	.347	.441	.788
Split	BA	OBP	SLG	OPS	BAbip	sOPS+	K%PA	BB%PA	2B	HR	G	IP	ERA

The concern for Lester has to be that this is a team that hit LHP pretty well last year (.292/.352/.477).

The good news:
-he's pitched pretty well at Fenway over his career (4.60 ERA vs 4.57 away),
-and he actually has a little reverse split going, although for only 157 PA vs. LHB:
RHB: .267/.360/.392
LHB: .299/.363/.511
-and DET doesn't like to walk (3rd last in BB in 07)

[jayhoz]

Cross posting from the game thread.

FYI the game tonight will not be on NESN. The bruins are bumping the Sox. The nerve. Here are the channels to watch according to the Globe. Enjoy the Sox in SD.

The Red Sox-Tigers game tonight will not be on NESN, which is airing Game 1 of the Bruins-Canadiens playoff series. Below are some of the local outlets provided for NESNplus channels. For a complete list, go to NESN.com (NESNplus channels) or call your local cable operator:
more stories like this

Comcast CN8

DirecTV 660

Dish Network 444

Verizon FiOS TV 93

Cablevision 66

Here's a more complete listing.

[Foulkey Reese]

Wakefield vs Detroit (2005-2007)

ERA - 5.00

Innings - 27

Hits - 32

HR - 6

BB - 6

SO - 16

Average - .302

Edited by Foulkey Reese, 10 April 2008 - 07:57 AM.

[mabrowndog]

Here's how current Tigers hitters have fared vs Wakefield:

DET vs Wake

OPPOSING HITTER	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	BA	OBP	SLG	OPS
Curtis Granderson	8	4	0	0	1	2	2	0	.500	.600	.875	1.475
Ramon Santiago	8	4	0	0	1	6	1	0	.500	.500	.875	1.375
Magglio Ordonez	33	15	5	0	2	8	2	2	.455	.500	.788	1.288
Brandon Inge	22	6	1	0	2	3	0	5	.273	.304	.591	.895
Gary Sheffield	34	9	1	0	2	5	8	4	.265	.419	.471	.889
Ivan Rodriguez	44	13	1	1	2	8	1	7	.295	.319	.500	.819
Marcus Thames	16	3	1	0	1	1	1	9	.188	.235	.438	.673
Edgar Renteria	11	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	.273	.273	.364	.636
Carlos Guillen	19	4	0	0	1	2	1	6	.211	.250	.368	.618
Miguel Cabrera	5	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	.200	.333	.200	.533
Jacque Jones	15	1	1	0	0	1	1	6	.067	.125	.133	.258
Placido Polanco	10	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	.000	.091	.000	.091
Totals	225	63	11	1	12	36	19	42	.280	.344	.498	.842

[behindthepen]

Yeah, it's safe to say this is not his favorite team to face. Lots of HR usually in this matchup (although he did win the game when he gave up 6!):

wake v detroit

Date	Tm	Opp	Score	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	2B	HR	Pit	Str	GmSc
5/15/2007	BOS	DET	2-7	7	9	5	5	1	4	0	2	105	72	42
6/3/2006	BOS	@DET	2-6	7	6	3	3	2	6	1	2	99	62	57
8/26/2005	BOS	DET	9-8	6	7	5	4	2	1	1	2	101	67	39
5/4/2005	BOS	@DET	4-3	7	10	3	3	1	5	4	0	110	77	49
8/29/2004	BOS	DET	6-1	8	3	1	1	1	7	1	1	99	72	78
8/8/2004	BOS	@DET	11-9	5	8	7	7	0	2	0	6	79	56	25
7/13/2003	BOS	@DET	0-3	7.1	4	3	2	2	5	0	1	99	70	63
6/23/2003	BOS	DET	3-1	6	4	0	0	2	5	0	0	90	64	67
Date	Tm	Opp	Score	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	2B	HR	Pit	Str	GmSc

[behindthepen]

ROBERTSON - another LHP. Let's hope the trend of Lefty=Loser in this series continues.

Robertson took 3 weeks off in June last year for a "tired arm", after not getting an out in a start in Texas (where he gave up a Grand Slam to the 5th batter).

Pretty meaningful LH/RH split, and is usually very tough the first time through the lineup.

Nate R

Year	BA	OBP	SLG	OPS	BAbip	2B	HR	HR%PA	BB%PA	K%PA	BB	SO	IP	ERA
2004	.274	.333	.445	.779	.308	35	30	3.5%	7.7%	18.2%	66	155	197	4.90
2005	.266	.325	.439	.765	.280	34	28	3.3%	7.7%	14.4%	65	122	197	4.48
2006	.259	.320	.424	.744	.278	38	29	3.3%	7.6%	15.6%	67	137	209	3.84
2007	.283	.342	.445	.787	.312	40	22	2.8%	8.1%	15.2%	63	119	178	4.76
2008	.318	.400	.682	1.082	.375	5	1	4.0%	8.0%	20.0%	2	5	5	9.00
Split	BA	OBP	SLG	OPS	BAbip	2B	HR	HR%PA	BB%PA	K%PA	BB	SO
vRHB	.280	.345	.471	.815	.296	133	109	3.8%	8.8%	14.7%	249	419
vLHB	.250	.301	.346	.646	.304	29	10	1.3%	5.2%	19.6%	41	155
Split	BA	OBP	SLG	OPS	BAbip	2B	HR	HR%PA	BB%PA	K%PA	BB	SO
1st PA	.251	.311	.368	.679	.291	51	25	2.0%	7.5%	17.6%	95	223
2nd PA	.303	.361	.509	.870	.323	64	49	4.1%	7.8%	14.8%	94	179
3rd PA	.268	.333	.458	.791	.279	47	45	3.9%	8.7%	14.8%	101	172

Starts v BOS. Has been okay with a couple of bad starts:

Nate R

Date	Opp	GmReslt	Score	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	HR	Pit	Str	GmSc
7/8/2007	BOS	W	6-5	6.1	4	4	4	4	2	2	107	66	47
5/14/2007	@BOS	L	1-7	5	11	3	3	0	3	0	115	73	36
8/14/2006	@BOS	W	7-4	6	5	3	3	2	5	1	102	61	53
8/28/2005	@BOS	L	3-11	5.2	9	8	8	3	5	1	97	62	21
8/16/2005	BOS	L	7-10	8	2	2	2	3	5	1	90	57	72
5/4/2005	BOS	L	3-4	6.2	9	3	2	3	3	0	96	60	46
8/8/2004	BOS	L	9-11	3	9	8	7	3	1	1	77	44	9
Date	Opp	GmReslt	Score	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	HR	Pit	Str	GmSc