It's something to be aware of in terms of the Sox minor leaguers, but I think it's more an issue of a young pitcher used to throwing 160 IP in the minors getting bumped up to 210, then it is for someone like Lester or Sanchez going from ~100 to ~150.
I think that you are right that the 50 inning jump in the minors is nothing compared to the jump from 160 innings in the minors to the 210 innings a major league starter would pitch. Plus I am sure Lester and Sanchez (most definitely when he was at Wilmington) face guys in the minors who have little or no chance to hit them whereas everyone in the Tampa Bay line up can hit them.
I looked at Brandon McCarthy minor league stats after he dominated the Sox Sunday. He went to Juco for a year, and was drafted in the 17th round in 2002 at 19 years of age then he pitched 78 innings for Chicago's rookie team in 2002. The Sox drafted Buchholz at the age of 20 and have only let him pitch ~40 innings at Lowell. McCarthy then pitched 101 innings at Great Falls, Chicago's rookie team in 2003.
Then last year, he pitched 94 innings at Kannapolis, then 52 innings at Winston-Salem (high A) and finally 26 innings at AA Birmingham. That's a lot of promotions in one year and >70 innings increase in workload. They really pushed him, his stats were good but not lights out (he had a 3.64 ERA at Kannapolis with a 113 ks in 94 innings, at AA, his ERA was 3.46 with 29 Ks in 26 innings.) This year he started at AAA. He's only 22.
After looking at how Chicago has managed his development, and yes its only one guy and he has a good fast ball with a great change up, it seems that Chicago is much more aggressive than the Sox with promotions.
Edited by ShaneTrot, 07 September 2005 - 02:23 PM.