Here are his college numbers thanks to SoSHwiki
51-game stint at AAA in 2005 (.255/.356/.382)
2006 AAA Stats
|Pawtucket Red Sox||AAA||111||423||55||129||30||3||5||50||180||48||27||1||4||0.38||0.43||0.31|
2006 in the Majors .191/.258/.303
I'd like to apologize beforehand about my exact stat knowledge. I'm writing from work and almost every site is blocked. If anyone knows a stat sports site that won't be blocked give me a holler.
I'm excited at how often Pedroia puts the bat on the ball. Going forward it will be his best asset as a major league bat. His most recent AAA ratio of Xtra Base Hits/BB/SO was 38/48/27 or 1.4/1.78/1. And in College he had 91/108/47. Plain and simple Pedroia doesn't strike out. At every level he has ever been at he has had more Xtra base hits and BB then SO. Those ratio's are close to what players like David Wright and Pujols had before the majors. Its rare to see a player hurt you as little as Pedroia does. He'll make things happen most every plate appearance.
I largely look past what happened in 2006 for Pedroia because he was coming off shoulder surgery and had to adjust to new surroundings.
For 2007 Pedroia looks to be much better. Here are some of the projections he's getting for next year...
Thank you to philly sox fan for that
In my own projections I have Pedroia about the same at...
Now I based this on his major league numbers, college slightly, projections, and my own opinion after watching him.
I'm in the same thinking as most of the projectors, except I'm a little higher on production. Bill James has Pedroia getting a ton of at bats. I expect he believes Pedroia to bat #1 or #2 in the order.
Pedroia looks to have a lot more RBI and drive in situations on the Sox then the PawSox. With his propensity to put the bat on the ball I expect a lot of RBI's for a bottom of the order bat. He will have a lot of extra base hits and balls in play, enough to give players time to get around the bags. He seems like a perfect bat for a move'em-along/sacrifice hit. Which also gives him a great bat for a #2 hitter. Although I don't think he should be or will this year, with bats like Lugo, Youkilis and Coco. YES Coco will most likely see time at the top again. Pedroia like Loretta, can give Francona a lot of options in the #2 spot and he'll love that. If Pedroia lives up to expectations, he may see some time at the top of the order.
I see Pedroia as definately the best 2B prospect in baseball today. He will be above average offensively.. for a second baseman at least. He is still only 23 and has upside. Scouts say he is strong defensively and his move from SS to 2B only helped him. He looks to have a strong and long future.
Looking further into the future I see Pedroia's numbers approaching his AAA stats. Something similar to PECOTA's averages this year (.294/.360/.431) but a bit higher at .300/.370/.440.
I am a Red Sox fan so I may see a little more light then is actually there. The grass is always greener on your side of the fence. Or at least thats how the cliche should go.
MUCH FURTHER into the future I would say Dustin even has a potential .325/.400/.465. A Bill Mueller type of line. Not saying this is his future, but if the stars aline, maybe. Theres always a lucky year in every players career. With the high percentage he puts the ball in play his average has a very high ceiling. He just needs to find the holes.
And finally if Pedroia ever hopes to be an All-Star 2nd Baseman, it might only be because Red Sox nation votes for him in, in force. In his career in the AL he'll be competeing with the likes of Robinson Cano, Brian Roberts, Iguchi, Howie Kendrick, Ian Kinsler, and Josh Barfield. I doubt we'll be seeing our own Dustin heading to the All-Star break party. The competition at 2nd looks too strong now, and strong far into the future.