NHsoxfan4
Jan 24 2006, 11:24 PM
This is my list of college players that I'll be updating and keeping a close eye on during the 2006 season. I included guys like Miller, Scherzer, Kennedy, Bard, and Stubbs, even though they won't make it to the Sox, because I just wanted to. I broke it up by positions, and almost all of these players are juniors in college, except for the section at the end of interesting draft-eligible sophomores to watch, and I will add a section of seniors to watch soon as well. Also, the order of the players by position is my attempt to preliminarily rank these guys, though it's tougher with the pitchers, so don't put too much into it, as we're 6 months away from the draft, and their junior seasons haven't even started yet. For now, I've only included stats for players, it's enough work as it is, and no real detailed individual scouting reports, but I may add them at some point on as the season drags on.
The first parenthesized stats are from the 2005 college season, and italicised stats are from the 2005 summer league season, and the players' prospect ranking in that league, if they had one, according to Baseball America. Just some reminders, the Cape Cod League is a very tough league for hitters, because they are facing the best competition in the nation, but the hitters are at a severe disadvantage with using wood bats. And the Team USA members face a mixed level of competition, ranging from international teams to other summer league all-star teams, but generally its another easier pitching league, but not as tough for hitters as the Cape Cod league, though this could be because of the good depth of pitching and the lack of top talent in positional prospects this year. But overall, like scaffolds has said, this draft doesn't look as promising as the '05 draft. That's not to say this draft is a horrible draft, it does have its strengths, but it seems the top-level talent isn't as deep as last year. Anyway, here it is:
(This is still a work in progress, I have to add a lot more people that you’ll see at the bottom, and I am going to switch a lot of the rankings around, especially with the sophomores and pitchers, but that’ll come after I get everyone up there in time. Oh yeah, I also should mention it's easy to tell I'm more critical of hitters, and that I have a lot more pitchers on this list, which undoubtedly means I'll leave off some guys who will have good years in 2006 or go high in the draft, I'll try to work on this problem as well)
Catchers
I'll be watching the top 4 catchers closely. Ambort, Tracy (Jim's son), and Newton all have pretty good power and good BB/K rates for the most part, and it's tough to choose my early favorite of the bunch, any could have a breakout year. While there is no one close to Jeff Clement in this class, catcher seems to be a position of decent depth this year. Jeroloman (Chuck's brother) has the advantage of playing in the SEC and for Team USA, after beating out Tracy and Ambort for a spot on the national team, and has a great walk rate, as well as what looks like good tools and defense behind the plate, though with a suspect bat. Along with Abruzzo and Newton, they seem to be the more defensive-oriented of the bunch, but I don't want to short-change Tracy or Ambort, as I don't know as much about them. Also, Still performed very well with wood on the Cape, but is probably more of a DH or 1B, and 2006 with NC State will be big for him, and Abruzzo needs to improve after declining from his freshman season, but he strikes out very little for a power hitter, and has hit well with wood.
Brian Jeroloman - C, Florida - 6'0", 190, L/R - (.298/.432/.440, 74/248, 11 2B, 8 HR, 50/42 BB/K, .989 F%, 47% runners thrown out, 9 passed balls) (Team USA: .179/.319/.256, 7/39, 3 2B, 7/8 BB/K, threw out 3 of 5 runners)
Chad Tracy - C, Pepperdine - 6'3", 185, R/R - (.367/.428/.609, 94/256, 22 2B, 2 3B, 12 HR, 28/30 BB/K, .990 F%, 33% runners thrown out, 2 passed balls) [88 park factor] (Alaska League: .333/.377/.522, 23/69, 6 2B, 2 3B, 1 HR, 5/8 BB/K)
Michael Ambort - C, Lamar - 6'1", 215, S/R - (.336/.414/.654, 73/217, 15 2B, 18 HR, 21/24 BB/K, .987 F%, 26% runners thrown out, 7 passed balls) [88 park factor] (Cape Cod: .255/.321/.353, 13/51, 2 2B, 1 HR, 4/14 BB/K)
Jordan Newton - C, Western Kentucky - 6'0", 190, R/R - (.329/.422/.620, 71/216, 20 2B, 2 3B, 13 HR, 30/47 BB/K, .982 F%, 22% runners thrown out, 5 passed balls) (NECBL 2004: .302/.399/.579, 38/126, 9 2B, 1 3B, 8 HR, 17/38 BB/K)
Jon Still - C/1B/DH, North Carolina State - 6'2", 205, R/R - (stats from Stetson: .305/.389/.452, 73/239, 11 2B, 8 HR, 32/37 BB/K, .983 F%, 20% runners thrown out, 2 passed balls) (Cape Cod: .316/.412/.443, 50/158, 5 2B, 5 HR, 25/36 BB/K)
Jordan Abruzzo - C/DH, San Diego - 6'2", 230, S/R - (.279/.328/.471, 67/240, 14 2B, 1 3B, 10 HR, 18/18 BB/K, .996 F%, 35% runners thrown out, 4 passed balls) (Cape Cod: .269/.325/.393, 39/145, 9 2B, 3 HR, 7/27 BB/K)
First Basemen/DH
There looks to be some good hitters available at this position at the top, with great power hitters like LaPorta, Morris, Errecart (listed as an OF), and Hamilton, who also is a great pure hitter. LaPorta and Hamilton top the list right now, because Morris and D'Alessio need to improve on their contact rates, as they were both pushing 50% K rates on the Cape, and were not that much better with aluminum, but Morris will be drafted high because of his power and frame. Bates is an intriguing hitter, he hit very well with wood and aluminum, with great plate discipline, wherever he went, but was not signed after being drafted in the 8th round in 2005. He could be a great option for a senior sign.
Matt LaPorta - 1B, Florida - 6'1", 215, R/R - (.328/.438/.698, 87/265, 16 2B, 2 3B, 26 HR, 44/65 BB/K, .987 F%) (Team USA: .259/.323/.552, 15/58, 3 2B, 1 3B, 4 HR, 4/19 BB/K)
Mark Hamilton - 1B, Tulane - 6'4", 212, L/L - (.318/.452/.599, 50/157, 11 2B, 11 HR, 29/29 BB/K, .990 F%) (Cape Cod: .272/.408/.465, 31/114, 4 2B, 6 HR, 21/19 BB/K, #10 prospect)
Aaron Bates - 1B, North Carolina State, RS Jr - 6'2", 226, R/R - (.425/.523/.678, 91/214, 16 2B, 1 3B, 12 HR, 37/27 BB/K, .987 F%) (Cape Cod: .333/.446/.457, 35/105, 4 2B, 3 HR, 18/26 BB/K, won home run derby, #27 prospect) (drafted in 8th round of 2005 draft, asking price too high)
Josh Morris - 1B, Georgia - 6'5", 230, R/R - (.273/.405/.541, 53/194, 14 2B, 1 3B, 12 HR, 37/57 BB/K, .994 F%) [81 park factor] (Cape Cod: .220/.272/.362, 31/141, 2 2B, 6 HR, 8/58 BB/K)
Andy D'Alessio - 1B, Clemson - 6'3", 210, L/R - (.276/.366/.567, 58/210, 14 2B, 1 3B, 15 HR, 29/61 BB/K, .987 F%) (Cape Cod: .254/.369/.321, 34/134, 6 2B, 1 HR, 24/59 BB/K)
Charlie Yarbrough - 1B, Eastern Kentucky - 6'6", 250, R/R - (stats from Longwood: .301/.352/.584, 50/166, 8 2B, 13 HR, 9/33 BB/K, .967 F%) (Great Lakes League: .330/.411/.670, 36/109, 7 2B, 10 HR, 15/20 BB/K, #3 prospect)
Chris Carlson - 1B/DH, New Mexico - 6'4", 225, R/R - (.395/.478/.764, 87/220, 24 2B, 6 3B, 15 HR, 38/32 BB/K, .903 F%) [147 park factor]
Second Basemen
The most interesting options at 2B are the top 4 hitters. Davis I like for his good all-around game, great defense, and ability to hit with wood, and is a proven college hitter in the SEC. He seems like he's just good at every aspect of the game. Sizemore is also kind of like that, he's got a good, quick stroke, and is a nice defender with soft hands at 2B, with good plate discipline and some power. Negrych is an average fielder and runner, but he's got a good powerful left-handed stroke (some think he's good for 15-20 HRs in the MLB per year) for his size and for a 2B, and he walks a good amount. Campbell, like Negrych, is an average defender and runner, but has a smooth line-drive spraying stroke that has translated well to wood, without the power that aluminum has provided him. Overall there are some solid players in this group of second basemen. Huffman is a sleeper, he is versatile and athletic (he's the backup QB for TCU).
Adam Davis - 2B, Florida - 5'9", 185, S/R - (.306/.395/.486, 90/294, 15 2B, 1 3B, 12 HR, 40/46 BB/K, 24/30 SB, .954 F%) (Team USA: .313/.405/.418, 21/67, 5 2B, 1 3B, 11/15 BB/K, 3 SB)
Scott Sizemore - 2B, Virginia Commonwealth - 6'0", 180, R/R - (.364/.464/.673, 78/214, 24 2B, 3 3B, 12 HR, 37/23 BB/K, 19/21 SB, .947 F%) (Cape Cod: .303/.380/.382, 46/152, 7 2B, 1 3B, 1 HR, 18/29 BB/K, 9 SB, played 3B, #24 prospect)
Jim Negrych - 2B, Pittsburgh - 5'10", 180, S/R - (.349/.471/.694, 65/186, 14 2B, 1 3B, 16 HR, 44/37 BB/K, 11/13 SB, .935 F%) (Cape Cod: .224/.333/.420, 32/143, 6 2B, 2 3B, 6 HR, 21/40 BB/K, 10 SB)
Chris Campbell - 2B, College of Charleston - 5'10", 185, R/R - (.379/.421/.625, 102/269, 21 2B, 15 HR, 22/27 BB/K, .967 F%) (Coastal Plain League: .321/.371/.398, 40/123, 6 2B, 1 HR, 11/15 BB/K, #6 prospect)
John Shelby - 2B, Kentucky - 5'11", 185, R/R - (.344/.373/.558, 77/224, 10 2B, 4 3B, 10 HR, 11/37 BB/K, 23/29 SB, ? F%) (Cape Cod: .177/.224/.253, 14/79, 3 2B, 1 HR, 3/27 BB/K, 5/10 SB, played in OF)
Chad Huffman - INF/OF, TCU - 6'1", 200, R/R - (.353/.437/.573, 85/241, 13 2B, 2 3B, 12 HR, 27/27 BB/K, .967 F%) (Cape Cod: .262/.416/.402, 32/122, 5 2B, 4 HR, 20/30 BB/K, played in OF)
Keoni Ruth - 2B, San Diego - 5'10", 187, R/R - (.338/.380/.431, 73/216, 14 2B, 2 HR, 13/12 BB/K, 9/13 SB, .954 F%) (Cape Cod: .204/.258/.282, 29/142, 3 2B, 1 3B, 2 HR, 10/19 B
Shortstops
This is a big weakness of the draft. Not only is there a lack of top hitters in the college ranks, but there are really no first-rounder shortstops. There are also concerns that Hilligoss, Ford, and Donald, who was a premium SS prospect going into the 2003 draft but hasn't improved much since, may have to move due to various problems with their defense. Rodriguez, Davis, and Hilligoss look like the best options here, and 3B Evan Longoria also can play a bit of SS, but will also play 3B or 2B in the pros. Both Rodriguez and Davis play at great programs, and have great reputations as hard-playing, good defensive shortstops, with good experience with Team USA as well. Rodriguez has the better power, and looks like the better athlete, so I've put him atop my preliminary list. But the next two are so close I could easily put Hilligoss above Davis. Also I'm not as much of a fan of Donald as BA is.
Josh Rodriguez - SS, Rice - 6'0", 180, R/R - (.345/.411/.555, 82/238, 11 2B, 3 3B, 11 HR, 21/39 BB/K, 9/10 SB, .974 F%) (Team USA: .326/.453/.419, 14/43, 1 2B, 1 HR, 8/14 BB/K)
Blake Davis - SS, Cal State Fullerton - 5'11", 165, L/R - (.325/.384/.481, 69/212, 11 2B, 8 3B, 2 HR, 16/32 BB/K, 17/19 SB, .957 F%) (Team USA: .275/.339/.353, 14/51, 2 3B, 4/8 BB/K)
Jason Donald - SS, Arizona - 6'1", 200, R/R - (.2
88/.398/.473, 64/222, 16 2B, 5 3B, 5 HR, 22/51 BB/K, .917 F%) [114 park factor] (Cape Cod: .272/.352/.346, 22/81, 4 2B, 1 3B, 7/27 BB/K, #25 prospect)
Mitch Hilligoss - SS/3B, Purdue - 6'1", 205, L/R - (.404/.429/.535, 92/228, 16 2B, 1 3B, 4 HR, 8/18 BB/K, 25/28 SB, .967 F%) (CICL: .342/.426/.521, 65/190, 15 2B, 2 3B, 5 HR, 28/29 BB/K, 21/24 SB , #7 prospect)
Shelby Ford - 2B/SS/3B, Oklahoma State - 6'3", 180, S/R - (stats from TCU: .370/.479/.578, 78/211, 17 2B, 3 3B, 7 HR, 28/35 BB/K, 12/15 SB, .916 F%) (Cape Cod: .261/.341/.430, 37/142, 6 2B, 6 HR, 9/26 BB/K, 8 SB, played mostly 2B)
Jay Heafner - SS/3B, Davidson, Sr - 5'10", 175, R/R - (.448/.533/.700, 91/203, 18 2B, 11 HR, 36/27 BB/K, 13/16 SB, .944 F%) - undrafted as junior, cheap senior sign, played 3B last year, will play short this year, has cannon for arm
Third Basemen
3B looks like a strong position this year in the college level, with Hodges, Antonelli, and Longoria leading the pack, and Coghlan also looks like a good player. These third basemen all are great athletes with great swings at the top of this list, all with great potential with the bat and athleticism to handle the hot corner. Longoria, Hodges, and Antonelli will all go pretty high, and it's possible they could reach the Sox, but we all know a ton can change in 6 months. Longoria may play a lot at shortstop for the Dirtbags, but scouts say his range won't keep him there in the pros, and that he fits better at 3B. Also, scouts believe Antonelli is athletic enough that he could play most positions on the diamond, including CF. Coghlan seems like the sleeper of this list. He plays strong defense, has great plate discipline, has hit very well with wood, has a good stroke, in a pitcher's park in a very tough conference, like the other three top players, but has fringy power. Pruitt was a highly heralded recruit coming into Stetson, and has hit well with wood and has great plate discipline, but needs his power to develop. He'll be an interesting one to watch in '06.
Evan Longoria - 3B, Long Beach State - 6'2", 185, R/R - (.320/.368/.421, 73/228, 8 2B, 5 HR, 14/41 BB/K, 10/11 SB, .952 F%) [80 park factor] (Cape Cod: .299/.331/.500, 49/164, 7 2B, 1 3B, 8 HR, 7/30 BB/K, #3 prospect)
Wes Hodges - 3B, Georgia Tech - 6'1", 198, R/R - (.397/.466/.566, 106/267, 18 2B, 9 HR, 28/35 BB/K, .924 F%) (Team USA: .309/.387/.400, 17/55, 5 2B, 7/16 BB/K)
Matt Antonelli - 3B, Wake Forest - 6'0", 198, R/R - (.332/.475/.509, 77/232, 22 2B, 2 3B, 5 HR, 57/38 BB/K, 13/17 SB, .892 F%) (Cape Cod: .267/.361/.330, 47/176, 8 2B, 1 HR, 22/41 BB/K, 8 SB, #17 prospect)
Chris Coghlan - 3B, Ole Miss - 6'1", 195, L/R - (.363/.430/.516, 99/273, 22 2B, 1 3B, 6 HR, 28/22 BB/K, .920 F%) [81 park factor] (Cape Cod: .346/.430/.431, 45/130, 5 2B, 2 HR, 17/15 BB/K, #12 prospect)
Braedyn Pruitt - 3B, Stetson - 6'2", 185, L/R - (.328/.431/.502, 75/229, 17 2B, 1 3B, 7 HR, 36/27 BB/K, .942 F%) (Cape Cod: .287/.393/.393, 35/122, 11 2B, 1 3B, 17/14 BB/K)
Jared McGuire - 3B, Boston College - 6'1", 190, R/R - (.397/.454/.559, 81/204, 9 2B, 3 3B, 6 HR, 12/18 BB/K, 27/29 SB, .878 F%) [86 park factor] (Alaska League: .191/.258/.287, 22/115, 5 2B, 2 HR, 7/8 BB/K)
Outfielders
Stubbs should go very, very high in the draft, and after him there are some quality centerfielders that could make their way to the Sox, but again we're 6 months away. Robinson's great speed, range, plate discipline, and stroke with surprising power could be a good option to slip because of size concerns, and there are more good OF options that should be around when the Sox have their group of picks like they did last year. Jay and Curtis are good hitters with plate discipline and speed that roam CF with great range and arm strength, and play hard, but Curtis has more power. Cal's pair of corner outfielders Boesch and Errecart, are great hitters with great power potential, while other solid players like Team USA's Mense, and Presley, who performed well in the Cape, make out this list. Basham's a good hitter who is constrained to LF, and I put Bashelor on this list because he is a extremely speedy centerfielder with a good arm and some pop, has a good line-drive stroke to all fields, and could be a good tablesetter with speed and defense.
Drew Stubbs - CF, Texas - 6'4", 200, R/R - (.311/.384/.527, 88/283, 20 2B, 4 3B, 11 HR, 32/71 BB/K, 32/38 SB, .994 F%, 2 assists) (Team USA: .304/.385/.370, 14/46, 3 2B, 6/14 BB/K)
Shane Robinson - CF, Florida State - 5'9", 165, R/R - (.427/.532/.605, 122/286, 25 2B, 4 2B, 6 HR, 57/28 BB/K, 49/58 SB, .994 F%, 3 assists) (Team USA: .296/.328/.519, 16/54, 5 2B, 2 3B, 1 HR, 3/9 BB/K, 5 SB)
Colin Curtis - CF, Arizona State - 6'2", 200, L/L - (.342/.442/.427, 89/260, 14 2B, 1 3B, 2 HR, 44/37 BB/K, 17/24 SB, .972 F%, 2 assists) (Cape Cod: .323/.437/.384, 32/99, 6 2B, 16/15 BB/K, 11 SB, #23 prospect)
Brennan Boesch - CF, California - 6'6, 210, L/L - (.355/.436/.567, 77/217, 21 2B, 2 3B, 7 HR, 26/27 BB/K, .982 F%, 5 assists)
Jon Jay - CF, Miami (FL) - 6'0", 200, L/L - (.408/.490/.531, 86/211, 17 2B, 3 3B, 1 HR, 29/26 BB/K, 13/20 SB, .978 F%, 2 assists) (Team USA: .262/.352/.311, 16/61, 1 2B, 1 3B, 8/11 BB/K, 7 SB)
Chris Errecart - LF, California - 6'1", 210, R/L - (.298/.355/.462, 71/238, 15 2B, 8 HR, 16/38 BB/K, .983 F%) (Cape Cod: .303/.375/.556, 30/99, 5 2B, 1 3B, 6 HR, 10/19 BB/K, #4 prospect)
Hunter Mense - OF, Missouri - 5'11", 185, L/L - (.327/.440/.473, 67/205, 17 2B, 2 3B, 3 HR, 31/33 BB/K, 10/12 SB, .958 F%, 2 assists) (Team USA: .259/.355/.426, 14/54, 2 2B, 2 3B, 1 HR, 6/10 BB/K, 3 SB)
Alex Presley - CF, Ole Miss - 5'11", 180, L/L - (.302/.342/.424, 42/139, 9 2B, 1 3B, 2 HR, 6/30 BB/K, .951 F%, 2 assists) [81 park factor] (Cape Cod: .341/.442/.388, 44/129, 3 2B, 1 HR, 20/29 BB/K)
Ryan Basham - LF, Michigan State - 5'9", 180, L/R - (.358/.450/.547, 68/190, 12 2B, 8 HR, 28/23 BB/K, .980 F%, 3 assists) (CICL: .409/.500/.643, 70/171, 18 2B, 2 3B, 6 HR, 30/20 BB/K, #3 prospect)
Shane Buschini - RF, San Diego - 6'4", 225, L/L - (.352/.450/.538, 70/199, 17 2B, 1 3B, 6 HR, 36/46 BB/K, 15/23 SB, .983 F%, 3 assists)
Kevin Koski - CF, Southern Illinois - 5'10", 175, L/L - (.380/.450/.446, 92/242, 12 2B, 2 3B, 25/13 BB/K, 15/23 SB, .980 F%, 3 assists) (Cape Cod: .235/.323/.287, 27/115, 6 2B, 13/18 BB/K) 35 game hitting streak still active
Will Bashelor - CF, Dartmouth - 6'0", 180, R/R - (.352/.421/.547, 45/128, 13 2B, 3 3B, 2 HR, 12/23 BB/K, 30/33 SB, .988 F%, 3 assists) [81 park factor] (NECBL: .382/.481/.618, 34/89, 4 2B, 1 3B, 5 HR, 12/22 BB/K, 21/23 SB, #6 prospect)
Starting Pitchers
There's a lot to explain about the starting pitchers in this class and why I ranked certain ones over others, etc., but in my opinion there are certain groupings of pitchers. From Miller to Bard, there are the blue-chippers that won't be around to see the 10th pick on draft day, and there is the great combination of Buck, Lincoln, Hughes, Reynolds, and Chamberlain that look to be mid- to late-first rounders, and McCulloch near there as well. He and Nickerson may attract attention, as they performed well in college and for Team USA, with good command and stuff, but some scouts are skeptical of Nickerson's stuff, while his stats are great. After that, it's kind of a free-for-all, and rankings don't mean much at all with them at this point, so I just wrote a bit about each prospect.
Andrew Miller - starter, LHP, UNC - 6'6", 210, R/L - (2.98 ERA, 8-4, 16 GS, 96.2 IP, 78 H, 104/52 K/BB, 4 HR, 15 XBH, .230 BAA) (Cape Cod: 1.65 ERA, 49.0 IP, 22 H, 66/23 K/BB, #1 prospect)
Ian Kennedy - starter, RHP, USC - 6'0", 195, R/R - (2.54 ERA, 12-3, 17 GS, 117.0 IP, 85 H, 158/38 K/BB, 6 HR, 22 XBH, .201 BAA) (Team USA: 2.80 ERA, 28.0 IP, 11 H, 35/10 K/BB)
Max Scherzer - starter, RHP, Missouri - 6'2", 200, R/R - (1.86 ERA, 9-4, 16 GS, 106.1 IP, 59 H, 131/41 K/BB, 3 HR, 9 XBH, .163 BAA) (Team USA: 2.70 ERA, 20.0 IP, 22 H, 24/2 K/BB)
Daniel Bard - starter, RHP, UNC - 6'4", 200, R/R - (4.22 ERA, 7-5, 16 GS, 89.2 IP, 73 H, 77/43 K/BB, 8 HR, 20 XBH, .219 BAA) (Cape Cod: 1.25 ERA, 65.0 IP, 42 H, 82/20 K/BB, #2 prospect)
Brandon Morrow - relief/start, RHP, California - 6'3", 185, R/R - (9.35 ERA, 10G/5GS, 25.0 IP, 32 H, 25/20 K/BB, 3 HR, 10 XBH, .308 BAA) (Cape Cod: 1.84 ERA, 14 GF, 14.2 IP, 13 H, 24/9 K/BB, 0 HR, used as closer, #5 prospect) Cal's 2006 ace struggled with control problems as sophomore, but sits high-90s with fastball and also uses a filthy mid-80s split.
Joba Chamberlain - starter, RHP, Nebraska - 6'3", 225, R/R - (2.81 ERA, 10-2, 18 GS, 118.2 IP, 91 H, 130/33 K/BB, 7 HR, 25 XBH, .218 BAA) (MINK League: 1.59 ERA, 5-0, 6 GS, 45.1 IP, 32 H, 63/13 K/BB, 2 HR, .195 BAA)
Brad Lincoln - starter, RHP/1B, Houston - 6'0", 200, L/R - (4.76 ERA, 4-7, 16 GS, 102.0 IP, 124 H, 106/25 K/BB, 12 HR, 34 XBH, .298 BAA) (Cape Cod: 1.32 ERA, 54.2 IP, 39 H, 56/10 K/BB, 0 HR, #6 prospect)
Dallas Buck - starter, RHP, Oregon State - 6'3", 210, R/R - (2.09 ERA, 12-1, 18 GS, 129.0 IP, 90 H, 118/51 K/BB, 3 HR, 13 XBH, .194 BAA) (Cape Cod: 3.86 ERA, 32.2 IP, 24 H, 38/7 K/BB, #7 prospect)
Jared Hughes - starter, RHP, Long Beach State - 6'7", 235, R/R - (2.83 ERA, 8-3, 14 GS, 89.0 IP, 67 H, 87/23 K/BB, 3 HR, 17 XBH, .212 BAA) [80 park factor] (Cape Cod: 1.62 ERA, 50.0 IP, 37 H, 54/11 K/BB, #18 prospect)
Greg Reynolds - starter/relief, RHP, Stanford - 6'7", 230, R/R - (5.06 ERA, 22G/5GS, 51.1 IP, 51 H, 51/17 K/BB, 4 HR, 16 XBH, .260 BAA) (Cape Cod: 1.70 ERA, 53.0 IP, 36 H, 34/15 K/BB, #8 prospect)
Kyle McCulloch - starter, RHP, Texas - 6'3", 180, R/R - (2.92 ERA, 12-4, 23 GS, 138.2 IP, 137 H, 99/45 K/BB, 6 HR, 25 XBH, .267 BAA) (Team USA: 1.44 ERA, 25.0 IP, 20 H, 22/3 K/BB)
Jonah Nickerson - starter, RHP, Oregon State - 6'1", 195, R/R - (2.13 ERA, 9-2, 18 GS, 110.0 IP, 88 H, 114/29 K/BB, 5 HR, 21 XBH, .211 BAA) (Team USA: 2.00 ERA, 18.0 IP, 14 H, 23/7 K/BB)
Wade LeBlanc - starter, LHP, Alabama - 6'3", 180, L/L - (4.08 ERA, 5-5, 13 GS, 88.0 IP, 77 H, 108/28 K/BB, 8 HR, 33 XBH, .231 BAA) [86 park factor] (Cape Cod: 3.08 ERA, 41.1 IP, 41 H, 42/15 K/BB) Lefty with good numbers, frame, and fastball came highly regarded, could have breakout year in 2006 for the Tide.
Keith Weiser - starter, LHP, Miami (OH) - 6'2", 195, R/L - (2.73 ERA, 10-0, 15 GS, 105.1 IP, 99 H, 85/20 K/BB, 6 HR, 19 XBH, .243 BAA) Lefty with good command and great pitchability and experience, polish, has good change to go along with fastball topping around 90.
Justin Masterson - starter/relief, RHP, San Diego State - 6'6", 235, R/R - transfer from D-II Bethel (Ind.) (Cape Cod: 1.15 ERA, 10 SV, 31.1 IP, 19 H, 39/9 K/BB, #11 prospect) Transfer should attract much attention with big frame, 93-94 sinker and hard slider. Whether he profiles as a starter or reliever is what I'd like to know.
Gary Daley - starter, RHP, Cal Poly - 6'3", 200, R/R - (4.74 ERA, 6-2, 17 GS, 89.1 IP, 82 H, 59/39 K/BB, 3 HR, 11 XBH, .247 BAA) (Alaska League: 1.69 ERA, 8 GS, 53.1 IP, 35 H, 51/28 K/BB, 1 HR, #2 prospect) Has great stuff, 93-96 sinking FB, with power slider, but command an issue. Could skyrocket up draft lists if he improves it.
David Huff - starter, LHP, UCLA - 6'2", 210, S/L - (2005 stats with Cypress JC: 3.24 ERA, 4-2, 91 Ks in 86 IP) (Cape Cod: 1.46 ERA, 37.0 IP, 27 H, 49/4 K/BB) Lefty with good frame draft-eligible last year, has fastball sitting high-80s with good movement, and has great command and control of curve and fantastic changeup, one scout likened to Trevor Hoffman's. Great numbers to date, interesting to watch in '06 as UCLA's ace.
Tim Gustafson - start/relief, RHP, Georgia Tech - 6'2", 196, R/R - (3.33 ERA, 28G/3GS, 70.1 IP, 66 H, 62/29 K/BB, 8 HR, 17 XBH, .243 BAA) (Cape Cod: 2.11 ERA, 47.0 IP, 28 H, 44/11 K/BB, #20 prospect) Athletic Yellow Jacket has 91-94 fastball with power slider, reliever or starter?
Tyler Chambliss - starter/relief, RHP, Florida State - 5'10", 175, R/R - (2.06 ERA, 15 SV, 52.1 IP, 36 H, 73/23 K/BB, 2 HR, 3 XBH, .196 BAA) (Cape Cod: 5.14 ERA, 7.0 IP, 6 H, 8/4 K/BB) Best curveball in ACC, nose-to-toes. Good K numbers, only 3 XBH, hard to hit, walk rate not bad with 3+ K/BB. Will start for Seminoles in 2006.
John Gaub - starter/relief, LHP, Minnesota - 6'2", 215, L?/L - (2.08 ERA, 7 SV, 39.0 IP, 24 H, 65/17 K/BB, 2 HR, 4 XBH, .176 BAA) Lefty with great numbers has good fastball, consistently low-90s, plus slider. Will start for Golden Gophers in 2006.
Robert Woodard - starter/relief, RHP, UNC - 6'2", 175, R/R - (2.11 ERA, 8-0, 23G/11GS, 98.1 IP, 82 H, 79/19 K/BB, 2 HR, 19 XBH, .222 BAA) (Cape Cod: 2.53 ERA, 46.1 IP, 42 H, 26/4 K/BB, worked as starter) Starter with good command and control, keeps ball in park, not much else on him.
Tim Bascom - starter, RHP, Central Florida - 6'2", 195, R/R - (3.10 ERA, 10-2, 16 GS, 113.1 IP, 103 H, 113/29 K/BB, 9 HR, 30 XBH, .246 BAA) Don't know much about him, but was team's best pitcher, great numbers, would like to find out about his stuff.
Nate Boman - starter, LHP, San Diego - 5'11", 180, L/L - (2.28 ERA, 5-1, 7 GS, 47.1 IP, 33 H, 53/14 K/BB, 1 HR, 5 XBH, .190 BAA) - 2005 season ended early with shoulder injury, had surgery on a slightly torn labrum in right, non-pitching shoulder, will be back to pitch in 2006.
George Kontos - starter, RHP, Northwestern - 6'3", 215, R/R - (5.43 ERA, 5-4, 13 GS, 68.0 IP, 69 H, 55/31 K/BB, 7 HR, 18 XBH, .262 BAA) (Cape Cod: 3.00 ERA, 57.0 IP, 45 H, 69/24 K/BB, 1 HR, #26 prospect) heavy low-90s fastball, low-80s slider w/ bite, aggressive on mound, needs to learn changing speeds/pitchability.
PJ Walters - starter, RHP, South Alabama - 6'4", 190, R/R - (4.26 ERA, 10-7, 19 GS, 141.2 IP, 163 H, 119/29 K/BB, 22 HR, 47 XBH, .288 BAA) (Cape Cod: 2.05 ERA, 57.0 IP, 43 H, 64/19 K/BB, 2 HR) Tall slender righty has good curveball, could add some velocity, has good K/BB numbers, but HR problems.
Josh Butler - starter, RHP, San Diego - 6'5", 191, R/R - (3.42 ERA, 7-7, 16 GS, 113.0 IP, 112 H, 82/42 K/BB, 3 HR, 33 XBH, .260 BAA) Great pitcher's frame, keeps ball in park, well regarded prospect coming into season.
Jeff Manship - starter, RHP, Notre Dame - 6'1", 195, R/R - (3.97 ERA, 12G/7GS, 22.2 IP, 24 H, 20/10 K/BB, 0 HR, 4 XBH, .270 BAA) (Cape Cod: 2.88 ERA, 9 GS, 50.0 IP, 44 H, 45/15 K/BB, 0 HR) BA's #3 freshman prospect heading into 2004 season behind Andrew Miller and Ian Kennedy, has nasty 12-6 curveball, good moving fastball with spotting ability, repeatable delivery. Will feel his way back after Tommy John surgery on 2/11/2004 wiped away his freshman and most of sophomore seasons. Went to the Cape summer 2005 and was excellent, will join ND's rotation in 2006 as a junior (born 1/16/85), can skyrocket up draft charts if shows stuff and form is back.
Adam Ottavino - starter, RHP, Northeastern - 6'5", 215, R/R - (3.09 ERA, 8-4, 13 GS, 96.0 IP, 78 H, 106/45 K/BB, 7 HR, 17 XBH, .223 BAA) [81 park factor] (Cape Cod: 1.76 ERA, 51.0 IP, 46 H, 54/14 K/BB, 0 HR) Don't know much about his stuff, has performed well in America East conference.
Hector Ambriz - starter, RHP, UCLA - 6'1", 210, L/R - (3.94 ERA, 3-7, 16 GS, 105.0 IP, 99 H, 84/40 K/BB, 5 HR, 27 XBH, .253 BAA) Draft-eligible last year, dropped in velocity, now profiles best as middle reliever.
Relief Pitchers
There seems to be a real strong depth of good college relievers this year, and some of these guys could probably start in the future as well. Maybe I just like the relievers better than the starters, but it seems like great pitchers could be had this way easier than drafting decent starters, but it's probably because some of these guys just have questionable third pitches. Just like the starters, it was hard to "rank" these guys, but their order does have some reason, and I wrote some quick notes about them.
Mark Melancon - relief/start, RHP, Arizona - 6'2", 210, R/R - (2.58 ERA, 11 SV, 66.1 IP, 52 H, 69/22 K/BB, 2 HR, 8 XBH, .208 BAA) [114 park factor] (Team USA: 0.00 ERA, 5 SV, 12.1 IP, 7 H, 10/0 K/BB) Arizona's 2005 shutdown closer will serve as the team ace in 2006, good fastball with big 12-6 curve, could be fast-tracked.
Blair Erickson - relief, RHP, UC Irvine - 6'1", 210, R/R - (1.80 ERA, 10 SV, 35.0 IP, 16 H, 52/22 K/BB, 1 HR, 4 XBH, .140 BAA) [88 park factor] Also has great fastball/curve combo, hard to hit, Ks a lot.
Chris Perez - relief, RHP, Miami (FL) - 6'4", 225, R/R - (2.56 ERA, 7 SV, 45.2 IP, 34 H, 52/25 K/BB, 2 HR, 4 XBH, .204 BAA) (Team USA: 2.84 ERA, 2 SV, 12.2 IP, 4 H, 17/8 K/BB) 3/4s reliever with big fastball with good sink, hard to hit.
Tim Lincecum - starter/relief, RHP, Washington - 6'0", 165, L/R - (3.11 ERA, 8-6, 16 GS, 104.1 IP, 62 H, 131/71 K/BB, 4 HR, 16 XBH, .179 BAA) (Cape Cod: 0.69 ERA, 7 SV, 39.1 IP, 14 H, 68/11 K/BB, 0 HR, #15 prospect) Great numbers, control improved in summer, good fastball with big 12-6 curve started in 2005, delivery and frame may move him to relief.
Derrik Lutz - starter/relief, RHP, George Washington - 6'0", 205, R/R - (2.79, 8-1, 11 GS, 84.0 IP, 63 H, 98/31 K/BB, 4 HR, 16 XBH, .206 BAA) (Cape Cod: 0.00 ERA, 12 SV, 25.0 IP, 13 H, 39/3 K/BB, 0 HR, used as closer, #22 prospect) Started in 2005, but has bulldog, closer mentality, pounds zone with 3/4s 91-93 fastball, drops lower for slider, fearless with change.
Brooks Brown - starter/relief, RHP, Georgia - 6'3", 205, L/R - (5.51 ERA, 16G/7GS, 49.0 IP, 67 H, 42/15 K/BB, 5 HR, 21 XBH, .318 BAA) [81 park factor] (Cape Cod: 1.01 ERA, 20 G, 26.2 IP, 16 H, 32/3 K/BB, worked as setup-man, #21 prospect) 90-94 fastball with run tops at 97, with good curve, throws strikes, may work better as starter if change improves.
Kevin Gunderson - relief, LHP, Oregon State - 5'10", 165, R/L - (2.76 ERA, 14 SV, 65.1 IP, 49 H, 62/14 K/BB, 4 HR, 12 XBH, .213 BAA) (Team USA: 0.45 ERA, 20.0 IP, 11 H, 17/3 K/BB) Lefty has big curve, good command and control for K pitcher.
Josh McLaughlin - relief, RHP, College of Charleston - 5'11", 165, R/R - (4.30 ERA, 26 G, 44.0 IP, 32 H, 59/22 K/BB, 2 HR, 10 XBH, .199 BAA) (Alaska League: 0.79 ERA, 11 SV, 22.2 IP, 11 H, 33/7 K/BB, #6 prospect) Great curveball with huge break is big K pitch, good fastball for smallish pitcher.
Brant Rustich - starter/relief, RHP, UCLA - 6'6", 225, R/R - (5.23 ERA, 21G/11GS, 62.0 IP, 71 H, 53/38 K/BB, 3 HR, 20 XBH, .285 BAA) (Cape Cod: 1.71 ERA, 13 G, 26.1 IP, 22 H, 24/5 K/BB, worked as set-up man, #14 prospect) Power sinker 91-96, inconsistent slider, worked better as set-up man on Cape, but can start.
Vinnie Pestano - relief, RHP, Cal State Fullerton - 6'1", 205, R/R - (2.68 ERA, 13 SV, 50.1 IP, 44 H, 49/16 K/BB, 2 HR, 12 XBH, .239 BAA) 3/4 reliever, good numbers, don't know much else.
Steven Wright - starter/relief, RHP, Hawaii - 6'2", 205, R/R - (3.26 ERA, 5-3, 21G/2GS, 4 SV, 66.1 IP, 58 H, 75/15 K/BB, 0 HR, 14 XBH, .241 BAA) (Cape Cod: 0.36 ERA, 12 SV, 28.2 IP, 15 H, 41/12 K/BB, 0 HR, worked as closer) Fastball runs low-90s, with above-average slider, keeps ball in park, great K/BB ratios.
Daniel Latham - relief, RHP, Tulane - 6'3", 183, R/R - (3.22 ERA, 13 SV, 44.2 IP, 43 H, 36/10 K/BB, 0 HR, 13 XBH, .257 BAA) (Cape Cod: 2.55 ERA, 15 GF, 4 SV, 17.2 IP, 12 H, 20/3 K/BB, 0 HR) Also keeps ball in park, great command, K/BB ratio, don't know much else.
Matt Meyer - start/relief, LHP, Boston College - 6'4", 200, L/L - (4.50 ERA, 6G/4GS, 22.0 IP, 18 H, 22/11 K/BB, 0 HR, 4 XBH, .225 BAA) [86 park factor] (Alaska League: 2.17 ERA, 16 G, 29.0 IP, 18 H, 32/20 K/BB, .168 BAA, #9 prospect, used in bullpen) Lefthander with above-average 90-91 fastball with life, and above-average low-80s hard slider. Start or relief for BC?
Steve Richard - start/relief, RHP, Clemson - 6'3", 225, R/R - (stats with Maine: 2.07 ERA, 9-1, 15 GS, 100.0 IP, 88 H, 90/44 K/BB, 1 HR, 16 XBH, .239 BAA) (Cape Cod: 2.54 ERA, 8 GS, 46.0 IP, 27 H, 37/21 K/BB) Transfer from Maine, pitches in the 90s and will close for Clemson in 2006 after starting at Maine and the Cape.
Draft Eligible Sophomores
David Robertson - relief/starter, RHP, Alabama, So - 5'10", 170, R/R - (2.92 ERA, 8 SV, 74.0 IP, 48 H, 105/36 K/BB, 6 HR, 17 XBH, .183 XBH) [86 park factor] Small righty with great K rate for Tide as freshman, don't know much about stuff.
Brett Sinkbeil - starter, RHP, Missouri State, So - 6'4", 185, R/R - (4.84 ERA, 7-9, 15 GS, 87.1 IP, 95 H, 97/29 K/BB, 9 HR, 32 XBH, .271 BAA) (Cape Cod: 2.38 ERA, 53.0 IP, 42 H, 59/7 K/BB, #16 prospect) Good frame, 91-94 fastball has good life, good slider, needs a change, great K/BB rates.
Adrian Alaniz - starter, RHP, Texas, So - 6'2", 200, R/R - (2.67 ERA, 8-3, 16 GS, 108.0 IP, 93 H, 94/39 K/BB, 5 HR, 18 XBH, .235 BAA) (Cape Cod: 5.49 ERA, 19.2 IP, 20 H, 18/10 BB/K) Good sophomore prospect will be one to watch at Texas, as weekend starter. Works around low-90s, with pair of good breaking pitches.
Ben Snyder - starter, LHP, Ball State, So - 6'2", 200, L/L - (4.21 ERA, 8-5, 14 GS, 98.1 IP, 93 H, 87/21 K/BB, 10 HR, 27 XBH, .249 BAA) (Great Lakes League: 2.72 ERA, 43.0 IP, 32 H, 43/9 K/BB, 0 HR, #1 prospect) 89-91 fastball with movement and good command, slider and cutter have good movement, tough on lefties.
Scott Maine - starter, LHP, Miami (FL), RS So - 6'3", 200, L/L - (7.45 ERA, 7 G, 9.2 IP, 11 H, 11/7 K/BB, 2 HR, 4 XBH, .256 BAA) (Clark Griffith League: 1.65 ERA, 6 GS, 27.1 IP, 19 H, 39/7 K/BB, .194 BAA, #1 prospect) BA's #7 high school prospect going into 2003 draft recovered from Tommy John in 2004-2005, should be healthy going into 2006 season. Uses 89-93 fastball, with curve and change, great movement, comeback will be interesting to watch. Starting or relief for Miami? Only one of Miami's 2005 starters return this year.
Ty Davis - starter, RHP, Vanderbilt, RS So - 6'5", 210, R/R - (1.50 ERA, 4 G, 12.0 IP, 7 H, 10/4 K/BB, 0 HR, 1 XBH, .171 BAA) (Alaska League: 2.18 ERA, 6-1, 9 GS, 62.0 IP, 45 H, 44/15 K/BB, .193 BAA, #5 prospect) Davis didn't get many opportunities last year with Vandy, but was excellent as a starter in the Alaskan Summer League. He should get an opportunity to start in 2006 for Vandy, with his low-90s fastball, above-average breaking ball, and command and control.
Taylor Meier - starter, RHP, Central Florida, RS So - 6'7", 220, R/R - (2004 freshman stats: 2.55 ERA, 6-3, 12 GS, 74.0 IP, 59 H, 56/30 K/BB, 2 HR, 14 XBH, .223 BAA) - Missed entire 2005 season due to arm injury, should be back to pitch in 2006 as a draft-eligible sophomore, if he regains his previously consistent low- to mid-90s heater he is one to keep tabs on.
Chris Johnson - INF, Stetson, So - 6'3", 190, R/R - (.383/.454/.571, 100/261, 23 2B, 1 3B, 8 HR, 35/25 BB/K, .976 F%) (Cape Cod: .182/.225/.203, 26/143, 3 2B, 7/29 BB/K, played mainly 3B) - 2003 Red Sox draftee, son of Paw Sox manager Ron Johnson, versatile infielder with good frame, discipline at Stetson in 2005. Struggled with wood, but was freshman in Cape.
Jordan Chambless - relief, RHP, Texas A&M, So - 6'1", 205, R/R - (2.25 ERA, 22 G, 2 SV, 32.0 IP, 24 H, 42/19 K/BB, 0 HR, 5 XBH, .209 BAA) Also a football star, big athletic frame pumps good fastballs, control could need tightening.
Kody Kaiser - OF, Oklahoma, So - 5'10", 185, S/R - (.305/.376/.520, 78/256, 15 2B, 5 3B, 10 HR, 23/47 BB/K, 13/14 SB, .938 F%, 6 assists) Solid all-around player, small, but athletic with good power for size.
Aaron Grijalva - 1B, Liberty, RS So - 6'1", 190, R/R - (.367/.450/.624, 77/210, 13 2B, 4 3B, 11 HR, 31/38 BB/K, .994 F%) Good hitter, actually born in August 1984, so will be close to 22 when drafted, and hit at Liberty, could be an interesting take in late-rounds.
PLAYERS TO ADD – don’t mind the notes to myself
Dustin Evans - starter, RHP, Georgia Southern - CC
Everett Teaford - starter, RHP, Georgia Southern - CC
Graham Godfrey - starter, RHP, College of Charleston
Harold Mozingo - starter, RHP, Virginia Commonwealth - CC
Ryan Reid - starter, RHP, James Madison, So - NECBL
Heath Rollins - starter, LHP, Winthrop - CC
Eammon Portice - starter, RHP, High Point, So
Stephen Faris - starter, RHP, Clemson - CC
Cory Luebke - starter, LHP, Ohio State, So - GLL
Dan DeLucia - starter, LHP, Ohio State - GLL
Rory Meister - relief, RHP, Ohio State, So? - GLL
Dan Lyons - SS, Minnesota - GLL
Dan Brauer - starter, LHP, Northwestern - 2004 CC, arm
Scott Reese - relief, LHP, Creighton
Tyler Norrick - starter?, LHP, Southern Illinois
Kris Johnson - starter?, LHP, Wichita State - arm
Noah Booth - relief?starter?, LHP, Wichita State
Nathan Culp - starter, LHP, Missouri - CC?
Emmanuel Burriss - SS, Kent State - CC
Cory VanAllen - starter, LHP, Baylor
Jason Meyer - starter, LHP, Texas A&M
Ty Pryor - starter?, RHP, Tennessee, So - South Florida, FCSL
Miguel Magrass - SS/3B, Vermont
Mike McBryde - RHP/CF, Florida Atlantic
Jason Berken - starter, RHP, Clemson - arm
Blake Wood - starter, RHP, Georgia Tech - CC
Casey Hudspeth - starter, RHP, South Florida - CC
Jeff Samardzija - starter, RHP, Notre Dame
Billy Muldowney - starter, RHP, Pittsburgh
Kevin Mulvey - starter?, RHP, Villanova - CC
Jay Monti - relief?, RHP, Sacred Heart
Pat Bresnehan - starter, RHP, Arizona State - CC
Matt Mastrianni - OF, Wagner
Josh Johnson - starter?, RHP, Mississippi State - CC?
John Lalor - starter?, RHP, Mississippi State, So
Ryne Malone - 3B, Florida State
Kyle Collina - starter?, RHP, Lehigh
Justin Tellam - ?, C/1B, Pepperdine
Sean Watson - relief, RHP, Tennessee
Gib Hobson - starter, RHP, North Carolina State - CC
Chase Livette - relief?, RHP, South Florida - CC
Wills Sweney - starter, RHP, Princeton - SB Foresters
John Axford - starter, RHP, Canisius
Nick Moresi - OF, Fresno State
Brad Furnish - starter?, LHP, TCU
Danny Hamblin - 1B, Arkansas
Scott Cousins - starter, LHP, San Francisco
John Raynor - OF, UNC Wilmington (Sr) – CPL
Chase Christianson - starter, RHP, South Alabama
Doug Fister - starter, RHP, Fresno State (Sr)
Cyle Hankerd - OF, USC
Bruce Billings - starter, RHP, San Diego State
Quentin Berry - OF, San Diego State
Lance Zawadzki - SS, San Diego State
Brent Allar - starter?, RHP, TCU
Brett Pill - 1B, Cal State Fullerton
Bud Norris - starter?, RHP, Cal Poly
Justin Cassel - starter, RHP, UC Irvine - Matt's bro
Danny Gil - RHP, Miami
Darrell Fisherbaugh - RHP, Hawaii
Jimmy Van Ostrand - 1B, Cal Poly
Charles Vartanian – starter, RHP, Wofford