Victorino or Middlebrooks are liable to be activated in the next week or so, and someone has to go down. I don't want to see Mookie Betts sitting on the bench, so I expect it will be him, but it could also be Bogaerts if he continues not to hit.
These numbers are simply unbelievable. However, the lack of hitting by his surrounding hitters has been one important issue, and pitchers learning that he can be gotten out has lead to walks preceding his at bats - so it's a vicious circle including the pitching world's confidence that they can get him out with their best stuff, sometimes out of the zone. I believe that the key involves getting X to single-mindedly trying to hit oppo. He hasn't hit a line drive to right field in ages, thus the sliders which get him out when he tries to pull. And he tries more mightily with runners on base. Given his earlier, clearly demonstrated ability to hit to right field, this is the adjustment which will make a difference.Hank Scorpio said:Every split I've looked at with Bogaerts screams his issues are mental.
None on: .283/.354/.419/.773
Leading off inning: .333/.432/.492/.924
As SS: .296/.389/.427/.816
Runners on: .168/.252/.248/.500 (23 for 137)
RISP: .128/.213/.167/.380 (10 for 78)
RISP, 2 outs: .081/.209/.135/.344 (3 for 37)
Bases loaded: .000/.000/.000/.000 (0 for 6, 3 GIDP, K)
As 3B: .140/.181/.225/.406
It's like looking at two completely different players.
nvalvo said:Sooo...
Is now a good time to talk 8-year extensions with young Xander?
soxfan121 said:
Absolutely. Even calling his agent to make sure the message got to him that the Red Sox want to commit millions and years would be a good confidence booster. He's still gonna be great, this too shall pass.
HriniakPosterChild said:
Scott Boras will be happy to forward that message to Xander and, in the next breath, remind him of the riches that await him in free agency.
Nava from the beginning of the year to being sent down: .149/.240/.269 in 75 PA, 6 BB, 17 Kjimbobim said:Peter Abe trashed bogie in his notes article today saying if the Sox are a meritocracy he should be off the roster and comparing his situation to Daniel Nava.
Daniel Nava and X are in no feasible way comparable. Nava was unplayable and awful before he went down. Bogie is your cornerstone prospect. Can we at least give him the year before we say he's done?
He has struggled for sure but is this team honestly getting better for the future with WMB at third and Holt playing SS once they move X to AAA to "work on things" ? I would say no. WMB is the poster boy of frustratingly stalled prospect development.
X didn't simple lose all the talent that made him a great prospect. Everyone needs to calm down and focus their anger on underperforming and injured veterans( there is a long list) and the FO that decided to not augment the offense at all while it was painfully obvious it needed help all year.
That was Napoli, wasn't it?soxfan121 said:How does a demotion help what (everyone acknowledges) is a confidence issue?
Pedroia needs to find him a slumpbuster.
Toe Nash said:Nava from the beginning of the year to being sent down: .149/.240/.269 in 75 PA, 6 BB, 17 K
Bogaerts since June 1: .159/.195/.250 in 174 PA, 6 BB, 47 K
Bogaerts since June 8: .139/.172/.190 in 145 PA, 6 BB, 39 K
Bogaerts has been given 100 more PA than Nava and has been significantly worse. This season is done but you really run the risk of messing Bogaerts up for next season and breaking records for negative batting WAR if he continues to play.
No one is angry with Bogaerts, or saying he is done, but this is a really, really awful slump. We are perplexed and concerned that this may impact the development of what everyone expected would be at least a solid starter and at best a superstar.
soxhop411 said:
Rob Bradford @bradfo 1m
If Drew does get moved plan would be to move Bogaerts back to shortstop
https://twitter.com/bradfo/status/494217019269857280
Im not sure how I feel about this. Would the sox move Bogaerts back to 3rd again, once Deven Marrero gets called up? I would give him a position and stick to it
Papelbon's Poutine said:Was there some kind of expiration date we don't know about?
I assumed it was a joke about people claiming that the move to 3B was responsible for his slump.Papelbon's Poutine said:Was there some kind of expiration date we don't know about?
I don't understand why that's a given.Stitch01 said:I agree that X's season has been troubling but they're going to sink or swim with X as a starter at 3B or SS next year. If he stinks again next year they will re-evaluate, but they aren't going to go out and money or prospects on both a 3B or SS this offseason. He'll be given more rope than Bradley.
EDIT: added the word both for clarity
Stephen Drew?Stitch01 said:Marrero isn't anywhere near the prospect X was, but if the Sox think he's ready and the SS of the present and future, which I think is unlikely to occur by Spring Training 2015, they will slide X over to 3B. They aren't going to go out and sign a vet to a multi-year free agent deal or trade prospects because they are still viewing X as a long-term answer at either SS or 3B and, given X's pedigree, its going to take more than one poor season at age 21 to change that viewpoint.
If they can find competition by adding a good veteran 3B or SS (preferably someone who can play both) that doesn't cost a draft pick and is willing to come here on a one year deal with the understanding they might not actually end up playing, great, seems unlikely to me that will occur though.
I think there is something to this. Anecdotally, I recall an at bat recently where X was ahead in the count 2-1 and watched a straight fastball go by on the inner half.Danny_Darwin said:Is Xander's problem that he's too passive? He's 16th in MLB in pitches seen per plate appearance, but he doesn't walk especially frequently.
What he (Bogaerts) keeps telling me is that his top hand just hasn't been firing through the zone in the same way that it has for basically his entire life, up until about mid-June. He's not sure why. He says, 'no injuries'. He just hasn't been able to feel his ability to just kind of whip the bat through the zone in a fashion that allows him to have his characteristic impact.
He's ultimately pretty confident about his ability to get that kind of firing back, but there's also the (___) that he's been (____), he's been kind of leaking out a bit on breaking balls...when you don't have the same strength on the top hand then you end up looping around the ball a little bit, which results in him having a bout a billion foul balls and pop-ups on balls that he's used to driving.
So, it's been pretty frustrating for him, undoubtedly, but I will say that he looks - his tempo in the game - does look much better...
Madmartigan said:Steve Lyons: the organization needs to take a step back and figure out if he (Xander) is a major league shortstop.
DennyDoyle'sBoil said:The mistakes Xander made this weekend are just not mistakes you see. I mean, guys make errors, but when you watch baseball, there are times you think, "boy it's amazing how they always get that right." I don't watch minor league baseball, but I am curious whether this kind of stuff happens in the minors. I want to think so, because it gives me hope that some more time (whether up here for the next few weeks or back down) will make a difference. But, man, Friday night's in particular is tough to figure. I'm sure it happens occasionally, but I don't think I've ever seen that play happen like that in MLB.
LOL! No one EVER overreacts here.JimBoSox9 said:You're all a bunch of raging nancies.
I agree fully on X.mauidano said:LOL! No one EVER overreacts here.
X is going to be here for the foreseeable future. He is NOT going to AAA again. He will sink or swim the rest of the way. This is the program we have adapted for the rest of the season. Same goes for JBJ. These guys should play every day the rest of the way. So to get worked up over it is a waste of energy.
maxotaur said:I agree fully on X.
With JBJ though I don't think that's a given.
I get your point and I don't necessarily disagree. It's just that X has shown he can hit in the league (even if not consistently). JBJ has not. Just thinking if he has another span of 7+ games without a hit they might make a decision.Savin Hillbilly said:
Really? Seems to me the major difference between X and JBJ is that one of them is playing world-class defense, and the other is a daily defensive adventure. Offensively, Xander may have more talent, but JBJ has if anything looked like a better bet for short-term improvement. So while it may be true that Xander is the more likely of the two to have a long and distinguished MLB career, JBJ looks like the one less likely to merit--and benefit from--a demotion for the rest of 2014.
Granted they have a pretty good chance at the playoffs, but Pawtucket's season ends September 1st. The window for sending guys down to find themselves has pretty much closed.maxotaur said:I get your point and I don't necessarily disagree. It's just that X has shown he can hit in the league (even if not consistently). JBJ has not. Just thinking if he has another span of 7+ games without a hit they might make a decision.
Another slump could well put him under the Mendoza line. Not to suggest that a sub .200 is anything automatic, but it is hard to ignore.
Giving them a place and time to gain badly-needed experience =/= "giving up" on them. Xander is completely lost, and his instincts at SS are, in a word, terrible. He's 21, and the organization came to the incorrect, but understandable conclusion that he was ready for the ML based on a really good half-season at AAA. He's got plenty of time to go back and work on his game, and I will cheerfully point and laugh at anyone who's watched him this year and still believes "he has nothing left to learn" at that level.OptimusPapi said:I highly doubt after one season the Sox are going to give up on the young players and start bringing in aging veterans. In Xanders case he has shown some glimpses of being able to handle shortstop and he does show promise at third base. Combine that with the fact that he has shown the ability to hit major league pitching he is pretty much guaranteed to be on the roster in 2015. JBJ is different though. While he has given world class defense he has not shown any ability to hit Major league pitching. Couple that with the fact that the Sox have two young guys in Holt and Betts who can man center next year in addition to Cespedes and Victorino I highly doubt he is going to start the year with the big club barring a rash of injuries.