The "new" strike zone, balls hit to the infield

charlieoscar

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Sep 28, 2014
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  [tablegrid=  ]Year IP Outs BFP H K GBinf Hinf Bunts Hbunts Outs/BFP K/BFP H/BFP GBinf/BFP Hinf/BFP Bunts/BFP Hbunts/BFP 2010 43305 1/3 129916 185553 42554 34306 51241 4435 2766 550 .7002 .1849 .2293 .2762 .0239 .0149 .0030 2011 43527 1/3 130582 185245 42267 34488 51842 4549 2981 592 .7049 .1862 .2282 .2799 .0246 .0161 .0032 2012 43355 1/3 130066 184179 42063 36423 51226 4499 2734 579 .7062 .1978 .2284 .2781 .0244 .0148 .0031 2013 43653 1/3 130960 184873 42093 36710 50850 4455 2541 515 .7084 .1986 .2277 .2751 .0241 .0137 .0028 2014 43613 2/3 130841 183928 41595 37441 50570 4852 2547 561 .7114 .2036 .2261 .2749 .0264 .0138 .0031 [/tablegrid]
 
There has been a lot of talk recently about the 2014 strike zone being lowered by about the width of a baseball and that teams are looking for groundball pitchers and lowball hitters. Using Retrosheet play-by-play data and Baseball Reference resources, I compiled the above chart for the past five seasons to look at infield ground balls. As can be seen: Outs and Ks have gone up; Batter Facing Pitchers and Hits have gone down. While groundballs handled by infielders have declined, infield hits increased dramatically in 2014 with a fair proportion coming on bunts, even though the number of bunts was almost identical to the total for 2013 and below the first three years in this study.
 

Although this can only look at one season of the "new" strike zone, I find some of the details interesting and I expect to see more teams take advantage of the extreme defensive infield shifts employed by bunting and by trying to chop balls through the holes left by the shifts.
 

 
 

The Long Tater

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To the eye, the differences look small.  Are any statistically significant?
 

charlieoscar

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Sep 28, 2014
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The Long Tater said:
To the eye, the differences look small.  Are any statistically significant?
 
I would think that the the jump in infield hits per batters facing pitcher (Hinf/BFP) in 2014 might be significant but as I noted, there is only one year of "new" strike zone data available. It's something to keep an eye on.
 

Murby

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Mar 16, 2006
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So, to my very untrained eye, the lesson here is to have a solid infield defense, and don't be overly shift-happy like Joe Maddon?
 

derekson

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Jun 26, 2010
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Keep in mind that while the percent of infield grounders out of ABs stayed the same over this period, the number of balls in play is down since the number of strikeouts is significantly up. That means that we are seeing a higher percentage of infield ground balls out of the balls put in play.
 

charlieoscar

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Sep 28, 2014
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Lose Remerswaal said:
Not sure I understand how it tells you not to shift . . .
 
Not saying you shouldn't shift; rather that batters should try to take advantage of the shift. It's possible that we are beginning to see that already.
 

Lose Remerswaal

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charlieoscar said:
Not saying you shouldn't shift; rather that batters should try to take advantage of the shift. It's possible that we are beginning to see that already.
I haven't seen them or read about them doing so, although we've discussed it here and folks mostly seem to agree it would be nice to see Ortiz drop one down in the 8th or 9th inning of a game when he is leading off in a game the a Sox are down by two or three runs.
 

charlieoscar

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Sep 28, 2014
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I don't know of anyway to track infield shifts with Retrosheet pbp data but I did break down balls handled by infielders (including bunts, hits, and bunt hits) by month for 2014 but I didn't see any pattern. I thought maybe as the season progressed I might see more hits to the infield, more bunts, if teams tried to take advantage of shifts but I didn't see that pattern.