Red Sox Hot Stove Rumors

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Tyrone Biggums

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Toe Nash said:
Signing a fat 3 WAR guy for $20m AAV and then watching a top 3 player at his position get traded a week later to a division rival for a mediocre package looks pretty bad from the Sox' perspective. We'll never know what conversations they had with Oakland but it seems like the Sox had the assets to easily beat the Jays offer for this one.
The Sox only gave up money for Panda. I wouldn't like giving up Margot and Marrero for Donaldson which is the equitable return that the A's got for him. Plus two minor league pitchers that are major league ready. Nothing to get mad about here as while it wasn't the best deal in the world I wouldn't have been comfortable topping it.

The fat 3 WAR guy is certainly more valuable than the in shape 0 WAR guy, Middlebrooks-Dell.
 

grimshaw

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I know Alexei Ramirez' name has been out there.  Betting he's a piece involved in that Samardjzia deal.
Edit:  oops belongs in MLB Hot Stove thread
 

Toe Nash

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The problem is the Sox have all these prospects and many of them are at the peak of their value. Some will turn into regulars, a couple may turn into stars, and most will flame out. You can either hold onto them until you know what they will do or you trade them now to get more certainty. We've discussed this.
 
Middlebrooks is a nice example, what would they have gotten if they traded him after his rookie year? Probably a hell of a lot more than now.
 
Maybe the A's really like Lawrie in which case fine, we don't really have anything to match up. But I'd do Margot, Marrerro, and two pitchers for a 5 WAR+ guy who's under team control for 4 years (!) every day of the week. Especially when you STILL have a lot of prospects left over including your two best ones who are already breaking into the majors (and MLB-level trading chits like Cespedes, Nava, etc).
 
Anyway, once they signed Panda you wouldn't make the deal most likely. But that illustrates the folly of locking yourself into a guy who's only good at best the first week into the offseason -- sometimes better players will become available. It's not like Panda was the only 2-3 WAR player at third available for just money, either -- Headley is sitting there doing nothing right now.
 

Minneapolis Millers

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I would much prefer Donaldson for his next 4 below market years to Panda's deal, but I concede that we didn't have the MLB infielder to anchor the deal if that's what BB wanted. Except for Betts, and I don't want to deal him. Here's hoping BC has a good multi-prospects deal in the works for a top SP. Paying for Pablo and saving prospects for pitching makes sense.
 

Tyrone Biggums

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Minneapolis Millers said:
I would much prefer Donaldson for his next 4 below market years to Panda's deal, but I concede that we didn't have the MLB infielder to anchor the deal if that's what BB wanted. Except for Betts, and I don't want to deal him. Here's hoping BC has a good multi-prospects deal in the works for a top SP. Paying for Pablo and saving prospects for pitching makes sense.
Donaldson is obviously the more valuable commodity to Panda currently. Both are the same age and one is cost controlled while the other is not. You can make a case that both players will have career years in 2015 being away from pitcher friendly parks. But if people believe that the 2015 rotation will look like the 2014 rotation then I don't know what to say. I trust that BC will make a big trade for a quality top of the rotation arm.
 

Savin Hillbilly

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Toe Nash said:
It's not like Panda was the only 2-3 WAR player at third available for just money, either -- Headley is sitting there doing nothing right now.
 
Clearly either the Sox think Panda is a better player (or at least a better player for them) than Headley, or they made inquiries and found that Headley was not interested in playing here. So I'm not sure there's much point in speculating about that option.
 
As for signing vs. trading to fill that spot, I think they signed a 3B because
 
1) there was a good 3B available to sign;
2) they knew they were going to need to add two good pitchers, and didn't necessarily want to add both of them via FA;
3) they didn't want to have to cough up two major prospect packages this winter if they could help it.
 
And of course MM has a point that even if they had preferred to go the Donaldson route they may not have had exactly what BB was looking for--in which case while a deal might have been possible it would probably have had to be an overpay.
 

lxt

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It's reported that Oakland is looking into acquiring Upton & Gattis from Braves and that Samardzija is likely to be part of a trade of that nature.
 

grimshaw

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Does anyone remember reading anything about Donaldson being kind of an ass?  I thought I had heard something to that effect but can't find any articles about it.
 
Maybe the Red Sox looked into his make up and didn't like what they saw.
 

SoxFanForsyth

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grimshaw said:
Does anyone remember reading anything about Donaldson being kind of an ass?  I thought I had heard something to that effect but can't find any articles about it.
 
Maybe the Red Sox looked into his make up and didn't like what they saw.
He made some comments about the A's FO having more money than they let on, and I think that ruffled some feathers of the execs. Not sure if that's what you're talking about
 

MakMan44

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The trade just came to together last weekend. Prior to that, Donaldson wasn't available at all. By that point, Ben either had an agreement from Pablo or was incredibly deep into discussions. I think there's a fair chance that he never had a shot at Donaldson.
 

lxt

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MakMan44 said:
The trade just came to together last weekend. Prior to that, Donaldson wasn't available at all. By that point, Ben either had an agreement from Pablo or was incredibly deep into discussions. I think there's a fair chance that he never had a shot at Donaldson.
I imagine if BC thought Donaldson was available he would have pursued that avenue as well as chasing Hanley & Panda. But at this point its a mute point because the deals are done. As you've said I imagine Donaldson became available as BB was discussing trades and Toronto was trying to work out a deal for him.
 

OnWisc

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MakMan44 said:
The trade just came to together last weekend. Prior to that, Donaldson wasn't available at all. By that point, Ben either had an agreement from Pablo or was incredibly deep into discussions. I think there's a fair chance that he never had a shot at Donaldson.
This. While clearly "available" for the right pieces, it doesn't appear Donaldson was actively being shopped. Toronto made an offer that Beane felt he couldn't say no on, and they made the deal. Hypothesizing about what we should have given up for him is pretty pointless, especially given that we have no idea of how Beane perceives the value of Lawrie, which may be the toughest piece for us to replicate.
 

Al Zarilla

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I've got some family that are A's fans, on a trip right now. When they get back, I will ask them how they feel about losing Donaldson now, after Cespedes went in July. I think they are going to be really down. I know he is between a rock and a hard place, but continuing to sell off any and all stars they develop or acquire when they don't want to pay them or to "rebuild" has to have some fans hating Beane. Actually, rock and hard place are both their crummy stadium. Glad I don't like that team.
 

jimbobim

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From Olney today some food for thought 
 
But Donaldson was going to become too expensive for Oakland very soon, and there was lingering tension between Donaldson and the organization. What really changed the equation for Oakland occurred in recent days -- last Sunday night -- when the Blue Jays agreed to include Brett Lawrie in any proposal. (There are evaluators with other teams wondering why they weren’t apprised of Donaldson’s availability.) 

The service time for Lawrie -- three years and 55 days -- is close to that of Donaldson (two years, 158 days), but because Lawrie’s first seasons have been filled with injuries and missed games and because Donaldson has been an MVP candidate, Lawrie will be cheaper next season (by about $3 million or so) and into the future. Lawrie will be eligible for free agency after the 2017 season; Donaldson, a year later. 

So Oakland is betting heavily that Lawrie, only 24 years old, has his best days ahead of him, in spite of the growing industry concerns that his hell-bent style of play is destined to keep him in the trainer’s room, and maybe the Athletics’ deal of Donaldson now is an acknowledgement that he has been a hot stock that may have peaked. Donaldson is a converted catcher who didn’t establish himself in the big leagues until 2012, and he turns 29 in early December. Oakland also landed prospects in this deal that could help the Athletics replenish its farm system. 
 
http://insider.espn.go.com/blog/buster-olney/post/_/id/8747
 

Snodgrass'Muff

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Tyrone Biggums said:
The Sox only gave up money for Panda. I wouldn't like giving up Margot and Marrero for Donaldson which is the equitable return that the A's got for him. Plus two minor league pitchers that are major league ready. Nothing to get mad about here as while it wasn't the best deal in the world I wouldn't have been comfortable topping it.

The fat 3 WAR guy is certainly more valuable than the in shape 0 WAR guy, Middlebrooks-Dell.
If the cost for Donaldson was Margot, Marrero plus two of Johnson, Webster, Ranaudo, Barnes or Escobar I can't say yes fast enough. In my opinion, you'd have to be nuts to turn that down.

I'm guessing this is a combination of the Sox being really high on Panda because they project his bat to play up in Fenway and buy into his clubhouse presence and that they didn't have an adequate Lawrie level player they were willing to part with in a package. Of course that probably means they are very unlikely to trade Betts for anyone as he is that Lawrie level player, and I think that's probably a good thing.
 

InsideTheParker

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Since there are no RED SOX rumors being discussed that are not the product of Sosher's brains, can some mod or dope move all this Oakland stuff somewhere else? 
 

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i think it's more likely that he Sox plan wouldn't really allow for trading for an 3Bman. As it stands they need to land at least 1 SP via FA, having to do that to fill out 2 spots would shackle 2 expensive FAs who are likely to just decline into the top of the rotation.

They really only look like they have the trade chips to get 1 good player (targeted as a "#2" SP, who also may be young/ cheaper) and still retain good depth on the farm (especially in pitching) to deal with future contingencies.
 

Tyrone Biggums

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Snodgrass said:
If the cost for Donaldson was Margot, Marrero plus two of Johnson, Webster, Ranaudo, Barnes or Escobar I can't say yes fast enough. In my opinion, you'd have to be nuts to turn that down.

I'm guessing this is a combination of the Sox being really high on Panda because they project his bat to play up in Fenway and buy into his clubhouse presence and that they didn't have an adequate Lawrie level player they were willing to part with in a package. Of course that probably means they are very unlikely to trade Betts for anyone as he is that Lawrie level player, and I think that's probably a good thing.
I'm extremely high on Margot which probably is my rationale on not wanting to move him. If everything breaks right he could be a Devon White type player. The pitchers that we would have to supply would be the issue. Now you're down 4 prospects and have to sign Lester and Shields in free agency otherwise you're crushing the farm system. Or if you strike out on both now you're looking at trading Cespedes and Napoli for pitching and Nava/Craig as your 1st baseman which would be below average for a contender.

If you look at the long term health of the organization it didn't make sense to trade for a 3b when the top 2 hitters on the market were actually at that position.
 

67WasBest

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Plympton91 said:
Or Bogaerts, and then adds Owens.

The Blue Jays seem to be in GFIN mode.
I'd say the same for the Sox, but there seems to be more of a plan on Yawkee Way than in the Skydome offices.
 
Why wouldn't a team, that thinks their close, go for it?  There are no elite teams out there, and if one can be assembled the chances of winning are greatly enhanced.
 

Snodgrass'Muff

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67WasBest said:
I'd say the same for the Sox, but there seems to be more of a plan on Yawkee Way than in the Skydome offices.
 
Why wouldn't a team, that thinks their close, go for it?  There are no elite teams out there, and if one can be assembled the chances of winning are greatly enhanced.
Why do you think there is more of a plan in Boston? I could buy an argument that the plan in Boston is more about sustained long term success but Toronto clearly has a plan here, and it looks like a pretty good one.
 

Tyrone Biggums

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mloyko54 said:
Please Please Please stop posting garbage from MiBelt, Wesley, etc. 
I agree but to be fair that isn't the first time Porcello has been linked to Cespedes. Like the Ian Kennedy speculation too.
 

67WasBest

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Snodgrass'Muff said:
Why do you think there is more of a plan in Boston? I could buy an argument that the plan in Boston is more about sustained long term success but Toronto clearly has a plan here, and it looks like a pretty good one.
Toronto has a plan to compete in the short term, but it's hard to see it sustained.  I believe the Sox have a plan that will sustain them for many years.  I don't belittle what Toronto is doing, nor do I dismiss them as serious competitors, and I did not mean to suggest that, if that was inferred.
 

ivanvamp

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Jul 18, 2005
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LynnRice75 said:
Mibelt Rodriguez ‏@MibeltRodriguez 17m17 minutes ago
Source: The Detroit Tigers has offered SP Rick Porcello to Boston Red Sox in exchange for Yoenis Cespedes. #Redsox #MLB #Tigers
 
Colby Guarino ‏@ColbyGuarino 9m9 minutes ago Laughlin, NV
Source: Cespedes for Porcello not happening. #RedSox #Tigers
 
That one died quickly.
 
"Hey Ben, will you take Porcello in exchange for Yoenis?"  (The Detroit Tigers has [sic] offered SP Rick Porcello to Boston Red Sox in exchange for Yoenis Cespedes.)
 
"No."  (Cespedes for Porcello not happening.)
 
Something like that.
 

Hoplite

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IpswichSox

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I love the democratization of the Internet as much as the next guy, but this is stupid. We simply cannot be posting tweets from 12 year olds, or even adults with no connections within MLB, with the intention that they're serious trade topics worthy of discussion. This is the SoSH main board.  It's supposed to be different here.
 

Hee Sox Choi

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SoxFanForsyth said:
Shark, and it's not close
It's like people don't read ONE page back on the thread.  Kieckeredinthehead researched & wrote this about Samardzija:
 
"xFIP rank last three years, 11th, 22nd, 14th; xFIP rank, mean of last three years: 15th. That puts him a little better than Cole Hamels and a little worse than Madison Bumgarner."
 

ivanvamp

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Jul 18, 2005
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Sign Lester.  For a ton.  So be it.  6/150.  
 
Trade for Porcello and a prospect. (Cespedes)
 
Trade for Shark.  (two of RDLR/Webster/Barnes/Ranaudo + Coyle + Craig - is this enough to get it done?  Maybe not...)
 
Your rotation becomes Lester, Shark, Porcello, Buchholz, Kelly.  With two of RDLR/Webster/Barnes/Ranaudo, plus Johnson and Rodriguez there in case.
 
That rotation absolutely can win you a World Series.  And you're still left with all your top prospects.
 

SoxFanForsyth

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ivanvamp said:
Sign Lester.  For a ton.  So be it.  6/150.  
 
Trade for Porcello and a prospect. (Cespedes)
 
Trade for Shark.  (two of RDLR/Webster/Barnes/Ranaudo + Coyle + Craig - is this enough to get it done?  Maybe not...)
 
Your rotation becomes Lester, Shark, Porcello, Buchholz, Kelly.  With two of RDLR/Webster/Barnes/Ranaudo, plus Johnson and Rodriguez there in case.
 
That rotation absolutely can win you a World Series.  And you're still left with all your top prospects.
Porcellos K rates are terrifying.

I would rather add Barnes or Johnson (maybe both) to Cespedes and go after Cashner, who doesn't have a great K:9 but is a power pitcher who has way more upside than Porcello.
 

OptimusPapi

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Honest question here why does there seem to be a segment of the population that thinks we need three starter instead of two? I get that De La Rosa, Webster, Ranaudo and Barnes didn't inspire a ton of confidence last year but we are asking them to be a back of the rotation not an ace.
 

PrometheusWakefield

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ivanvamp said:
Sign Lester.  For a ton.  So be it.  6/150.  
 
Trade for Porcello and a prospect. (Cespedes)
 
Trade for Shark.  (two of RDLR/Webster/Barnes/Ranaudo + Coyle + Craig - is this enough to get it done?  Maybe not...)
 
Your rotation becomes Lester, Shark, Porcello, Buchholz, Kelly.  With two of RDLR/Webster/Barnes/Ranaudo, plus Johnson and Rodriguez there in case.
 
That rotation absolutely can win you a World Series.  And you're still left with all your top prospects.
Except for the ones you have to give up to make your Shark trade realistic. Which means at least Swihart or Owens or Marrero in addition to the guys you listed. And maybe 2 of those 3.

I mean they have up Addison Russell to get him, I don't think RDLR really rates.
 

curly2

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OptimusPapi said:
Honest question here why does there seem to be a segment of the population that thinks we need three starter instead of two? I get that De La Rosa, Webster, Ranaudo and Barnes didn't inspire a ton of confidence last year but we are asking them to be a back of the rotation not an ace.
I think it's because there is no way to know what to expect from Buchholz. If people knew he would be healthy and pitch like a No. 3 I think they'd be fine with adding two pitchers. But with Clay he could be great or he could be awful -- or hurt.
 

ivanvamp

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Jul 18, 2005
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PrometheusWakefield said:
Except for the ones you have to give up to make your Shark trade realistic. Which means at least Swihart or Owens or Marrero in addition to the guys you listed. And maybe 2 of those 3.

I mean they have up Addison Russell to get him, I don't think RDLR really rates.
 
If you're right, then don't go get Shark.  I could live with Marrero going, but not Swihart or Owens.  It's just one year of Shark.  
 
 

SoxFanForsyth said:
Porcellos K rates are terrifying.

I would rather add Barnes or Johnson (maybe both) to Cespedes and go after Cashner, who doesn't have a great K:9 but is a power pitcher who has way more upside than Porcello.
 
 
Compare Porcello's K rates to Tim Hudson's.  I suppose a big difference being Hudson's much better GB/FB ratio.
 
But you can be successful without striking out a lot of batters.  Jamie Moyer, Mark Buehrle, Hudson, Derek Lowe, Doug Fister, Henderson Alvarez, etc.  All showed that you can be really good without big K rates.  You just have to go about it differently is all.
 

jimbobim

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PrometheusWakefield said:
Except for the ones you have to give up to make your Shark trade realistic. Which means at least Swihart or Owens or Marrero in addition to the guys you listed. And maybe 2 of those 3.

I mean they have up Addison Russell to get him, I don't think RDLR really rates.
 
That Shark deal is going to haunt Beane. He is not going to approach Russell value for one year of Shark. I mean apples and oranges but he didn't get Russell level value in the Donaldson deal.
 
I could see Shark to the White Sox for alexi ramirez. Another major league INF player that the Red Sox really can't match unless one believes in Brock Holt which i doubt OAK does.
 
 Beane told the oak beat writers a day or so ago he didn't envision a SS solution in FA . Lowrie at 3b Ramirez at SS and platoons everywhere. That would be very A's like. 
 

SoxFanForsyth

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Can anyone translate this?

https://twitter.com/marino_pepen/status/538759560098762753

I believe t says that if the Sox do dish Cespedes, it will be for a grade A level pitcher, even if it involves a package deal
 

jimbobim

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Heyman provided a useful list of teams in the OF market when discussing Upton but the Red Sox are definitely in the market to sell OF excess 
 
The Mariners are one of a handful of teams linked so far to Upton, although quite a long list could potentially be in the outfield market (Giants, Padres, Rangers, Astros, Royals, Orioles, Phillies, Reds, Blue Jays, Tigers and A's, to name a few)
 
Mariners- Been discussed earlier but perhaps if Cespedes was packaged with either Craig or the far more valuable Nava could land a paxton or walker. However, they might just land Upton instead 
Giants- unlikely fit for Sox very little pitching to deal 
Padres- Been thoroughly discussed would need to add either an additional ML OF to Cespedes or a pitching prospect or two to get either Cashner or Ross. Not a huge fan of kennedy 
Rangers- another team with not a ton of pitching prospects but I might try hard to get the lefty who was hurt in a freaky injury last year name esaping me. 
 
There are ton of other teams obviously. I think we'll be able to get an upside 3 that can pass for a 2 when pitching their best... 
 

E5 Yaz

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SoxFanForsyth said:
Can anyone translate this?

https://twitter.com/marino_pepen/status/538759560098762753

I believe t says that if the Sox do dish Cespedes, it will be for a grade A level pitcher, even if it involves a package deal
 
Basically says that it's unlikely that Cespedes, even in a package, will bring back a top-shelf pitcher
 

flymrfreakjar

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jimbobim said:
Heyman provided a useful list of teams in the OF market when discussing Upton but the Red Sox are definitely in the market to sell OF excess 
 
Mariners- Been discussed earlier but perhaps if Cespedes was packaged with either Craig or the far more valuable Nava could land a paxton or walker. However, they might just land Upton instead 
 
Ummm sign me up
 

E5 Yaz

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jacklamabe65 said:
So are there any Red Sox rumors out there?
 
They've actually made two trades and signed another free agent during this latest bullshit skirmish.
 
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