For those who'd like a cheat sheet for who gets in for each of the 16 scenarios (excluding ties) that those games create:
Great chart, reminds me of the color-coded one from last year. Hell, maybe I'll make one.
Fascinating to me that TEN gets the 5 seed if they win and BAL lose, but if MIA also beats BUF, then BAL is still the 6-seed, regardless of the LAC/OAK game. In other words, the Chargers' result only matters if they win and TEN loses - but if you look at row 7, then LAC
still doesn't make it if both BUF wins and BAL loses. If BUF
and BAL win (row 3), then BAL makes it (obviously) and the LAC jump ahead of BUF and take the 6 seed.
I assume that ends up being some crazy conference-record or common-opponents tiebreaker that generates that result. So if the LAC win and TEN loses, then LAC makes it 3/4s of the time. Meanwhile, BUF makes it in 5 of the 8 scenarios where they win (and in 2 of them, as the 5-seed!). Really funny how that all shakes out.