How Deep Into October Do the Sox Have to Go For You to Consider '18 to Have Been a Success?

[OurF'ingCity]

And after having the Brewers as 48.4/51.6 underdogs to the Rockies despite HFA and seeing said Brewers sweep said Rockies they now have Milwaukee as 28.7/71.3 underdogs to the Dodgers (despite HFA).

Here's to hoping HFA is being severely underweighted this year.

I don't know how they calculate their odds (I think by team WAR?) but that's ridiculous for the Brewers-Dodgers series - no LCS should ever be considered that one-sided before a game has even been played barring catastrophic injuries or some such. (Vegas lines I see have Dodgers at -125 to the Brewers' -105, which seems much, much more reasonable.)

 

[24JoshuaPoint]

I am fully content. It would be nice to make it interesting but i am beyond happy; more so than i could have expected after the beat down and letting the Yankees and Ron Darling feel like they still had a chance to the bitter end.

edit - if they win the first game i'll probably change my mind

 

[BigSoxFan]

I thought I would be content after beating the Yankees but I’m not. This team won 108 games in the regular season and took down the Yankees in impressive fashion. Next up is the team won it all last year and ripped our hearts out in the process. I want payback. And then I want to take out an LA team in the World Series.

It’s been a highly successful season but the goal is always to win it all and this team is special. They deserve to join the pantheon of Boston sports teams.

 

[Al Zarilla]

Yeah, once game 1 starts, it's going to be let's do this, Houston beat us relatively easily last year and I want revenge.

 

[JimD]

I want it all too, for all of those reasons, but if I'm being totally honest with myself, I do think that Houston has the better team and is rightfully favored to win this series. If the Sox do fall to the Astros, the level of stress and disappointment will be much lower for me than it would have been if the Yankees had prevailed and the Red Sox joined the 2001 Mariners in the 'Great Regular-Season Teams That Couldn't Get Out of the First Round' club.

 

[Red(s)HawksFan]

I want it all too, for all of those reasons, but if I'm being totally honest with myself, I do think that Houston has the better team and is rightfully favored to win this series. If the Sox do fall to the Astros, the level of stress and disappointment will be much lower for me than it would have been if the Yankees had prevailed and the Red Sox joined the 2001 Mariners in the 'Great Regular-Season Teams That Couldn't Get Out of the First Round' club.

The M's lost in the ALCS in 2001...to the Yankees (obviously).

So the Sox could still tie them, only it would be "Great Regular Season Teams that couldn't get to the World Series".

 

[AB in DC]

I don't know how they calculate their odds (I think by team WAR?) but that's ridiculous for the Brewers-Dodgers series - no LCS should ever be considered that one-sided before a game has even been played barring catastrophic injuries or some such. (Vegas lines I see have Dodgers at -125 to the Brewers' -105, which seems much, much more reasonable.)

I posted something about this in the MLB Forum. I swear, it looks like Fangraphs decided in March that the Brewers would be a .500 team, and all of their projections from then on were based on the projection -- regardless of how well the team actually performed.

 

[Savin Hillbilly]

So, 57.7% of us are officially in the bonus round now.

 

[OurF'ingCity]

Just gonna re-post this here:

In a weird position where if the Red Sox lose the ALCS it won’t feel that disappointing, but if they win the ALCS and lose the World Series it will feel disappointing.

 

[SouthernBoSox]

Getting to the World series is incredibly difficult. Doing so while going through two One hundred win teams is damn near impossible. They just did that going 7-2.

At this point... you have to finish the job.